Quantifying Uncertainty in Motion Prediction with Variational Bayesian Mixture

Safety and robustness are crucial factors in developing trustworthy autonomous vehicles. One essential aspect of addressing these factors is to equip vehicles with the capability to predict future trajectories for all moving objects in the surroundings and quantify prediction uncertainties. In this paper, we propose the Sequential Neural Variational Agent (SeNeVA), a generative model that describes the distribution of future trajectories for a single moving object. Our approach can distinguish Out-of-Distribution data while quantifying uncertainty and achieving competitive performance compared to state-of-the-art methods on the Argoverse 2 and INTERACTION datasets. Specifically, a 0.446 meters minimum Final Displacement Error, a 0.203 meters minimum Average Displacement Error, and a 5.35% Miss Rate are achieved on the INTERACTION test set. Extensive qualitative and quantitative analysis is also provided to evaluate the proposed model. Our open-source code is available at https://github.com/PurdueDigitalTwin/seneva.

Towards Generalizable and Interpretable Motion Prediction: A Deep Variational Bayes Approach

Estimating the potential behavior of the surrounding human-driven vehicles is crucial for the safety of autonomous vehicles in a mixed traffic flow. Recent state-of-the-art achieved accurate prediction using deep neural networks. However, these end-to-end models are usually black boxes with weak interpretability and generalizability. This paper proposes the Goal-based Neural Variational Agent (GNeVA), an interpretable generative model for motion prediction with robust generalizability to out-of-distribution cases. For interpretability, the model achieves target-driven motion prediction by estimating the spatial distribution of long-term destinations with a variational mixture of Gaussians. We identify a causal structure among maps and agents' histories and derive a variational posterior to enhance generalizability. Experiments on motion prediction datasets validate that the fitted model can be interpretable and generalizable and can achieve comparable performance to state-of-the-art results.

Large Language Models for Autonomous Driving: Real-World Experiments

Autonomous driving systems are increasingly popular in today's technological landscape, where vehicles with partial automation have already been widely available on the market, and the full automation era with ``driverless'' capabilities is near the horizon. However, accurately understanding humans' commands, particularly for autonomous vehicles that have only passengers instead of drivers, and achieving a high level of personalization remain challenging tasks in the development of autonomous driving systems. In this paper, we introduce a Large Language Model (LLM)-based framework Talk-to-Drive (Talk2Drive) to process verbal commands from humans and make autonomous driving decisions with contextual information, satisfying their personalized preferences for safety, efficiency, and comfort. First, a speech recognition module is developed for Talk2Drive to interpret verbal inputs from humans to textual instructions, which are then sent to LLMs for reasoning. Then, appropriate commands for the Electrical Control Unit (ECU) are generated, achieving a 100\% success rate in executing codes. Real-world experiments show that our framework can substantially reduce the takeover rate for a diverse range of drivers by up to 90.1\%. To the best of our knowledge, Talk2Drive marks the first instance of employing an LLM-based system in a real-world autonomous driving environment.

LaMPilot: An Open Benchmark Dataset for Autonomous Driving with Language Model Programs

We present LaMPilot, a novel framework for planning in the field of autonomous driving, rethinking the task as a code-generation process that leverages established behavioral primitives. This approach aims to address the challenge of interpreting and executing spontaneous user instructions such as "overtake the car ahead," which have typically posed difficulties for existing frameworks. We introduce the LaMPilot benchmark specifically designed to quantitatively evaluate the efficacy of Large Language Models (LLMs) in translating human directives into actionable driving policies. We then evaluate a wide range of state-of-the-art code generation language models on tasks from the LaMPilot Benchmark. The results of the experiments showed that GPT-4, with human feedback, achieved an impressive task completion rate of 92.7% and a minimal collision rate of 0.9%. To encourage further investigation in this area, our code and dataset will be made available.

A Survey on Multimodal Large Language Models for Autonomous Driving

With the emergence of Large Language Models (LLMs) and Vision Foundation Models (VFMs), multimodal AI systems benefiting from large models have the potential to equally perceive the real world, make decisions, and control tools as humans. In recent months, LLMs have shown widespread attention in autonomous driving and map systems. Despite its immense potential, there is still a lack of a comprehensive understanding of key challenges, opportunities, and future endeavors to apply in LLM driving systems. In this paper, we present a systematic investigation in this field. We first introduce the background of Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs), the multimodal models development using LLMs, and the history of autonomous driving. Then, we overview existing MLLM tools for driving, transportation, and map systems together with existing datasets and benchmarks. Moreover, we summarized the works in The 1st WACV Workshop on Large Language and Vision Models for Autonomous Driving (LLVM-AD), which is the first workshop of its kind regarding LLMs in autonomous driving. To further promote the development of this field, we also discuss several important problems regarding using MLLMs in autonomous driving systems that need to be solved by both academia and industry.

MACP: Efficient Model Adaptation for Cooperative Perception

Vehicle-to-vehicle (V2V) communications have greatly enhanced the perception capabilities of connected and automated vehicles (CAVs) by enabling information sharing to "see through the occlusions", resulting in significant performance improvements. However, developing and training complex multi-agent perception models from scratch can be expensive and unnecessary when existing single-agent models show remarkable generalization capabilities. In this paper, we propose a new framework termed MACP, which equips a single-agent pre-trained model with cooperation capabilities. We approach this objective by identifying the key challenges of shifting from single-agent to cooperative settings, adapting the model by freezing most of its parameters and adding a few lightweight modules. We demonstrate in our experiments that the proposed framework can effectively utilize cooperative observations and outperform other state-of-the-art approaches in both simulated and real-world cooperative perception benchmarks while requiring substantially fewer tunable parameters with reduced communication costs. Our source code is available at https://github.com/PurdueDigitalTwin/MACP.

Radar Enlighten the Dark: Enhancing Low-Visibility Perception for Automated Vehicles with Camera-Radar Fusion

Sensor fusion is a crucial augmentation technique for improving the accuracy and reliability of perception systems for automated vehicles under diverse driving conditions. However, adverse weather and low-light conditions remain challenging, where sensor performance degrades significantly, exposing vehicle safety to potential risks. Advanced sensors such as LiDARs can help mitigate the issue but with extremely high marginal costs. In this paper, we propose a novel transformer-based 3D object detection model "REDFormer" to tackle low visibility conditions, exploiting the power of a more practical and cost-effective solution by leveraging bird's-eye-view camera-radar fusion. Using the nuScenes dataset with multi-radar point clouds, weather information, and time-of-day data, our model outperforms state-of-the-art (SOTA) models on classification and detection accuracy. Finally, we provide extensive ablation studies of each model component on their contributions to address the above-mentioned challenges. Particularly, it is shown in the experiments that our model achieves a significant performance improvement over the baseline model in low-visibility scenarios, specifically exhibiting a 31.31% increase in rainy scenes and a 46.99% enhancement in nighttime scenes.The source code of this study is publicly available.

Generalizability Analysis of Graph-based Trajectory Predictor with Vectorized Representation

Trajectory prediction is one of the essential tasks for autonomous vehicles. Recent progress in machine learning gave birth to a series of advanced trajectory prediction algorithms. Lately, the effectiveness of using graph neural networks (GNNs) with vectorized representations for trajectory prediction has been demonstrated by many researchers. Nonetheless, these algorithms either pay little attention to models' generalizability across various scenarios or simply assume training and test data follow similar statistics. In fact, when test scenarios are unseen or Out-of-Distribution (OOD), the resulting train-test domain shift usually leads to significant degradation in prediction performance, which will impact downstream modules and eventually lead to severe accidents. Therefore, it is of great importance to thoroughly investigate the prediction models in terms of their generalizability, which can not only help identify their weaknesses but also provide insights on how to improve these models. This paper proposes a generalizability analysis framework using feature attribution methods to help interpret black-box models. For the case study, we provide an in-depth generalizability analysis of one of the state-of-the-art graph-based trajectory predictors that utilize vectorized representation. Results show significant performance degradation due to domain shift, and feature attribution provides insights to identify potential causes of these problems. Finally, we conclude the common prediction challenges and how weighting biases induced by the training process can deteriorate the accuracy.

An Automated Machine Learning (AutoML) Method for Driving Distraction Detection Based on Lane-Keeping Performance

With the enrichment of smartphones, driving distractions caused by phone usages have become a threat to driving safety. A promising way to mitigate driving distractions is to detect them and give real-time safety warnings. However, existing detection algorithms face two major challenges, low user acceptance caused by in-vehicle camera sensors, and uncertain accuracy of pre-trained models due to drivers individual differences. Therefore, this study proposes a domain-specific automated machine learning (AutoML) to self-learn the optimal models to detect distraction based on lane-keeping performance data. The AutoML integrates the key modeling steps into an auto-optimizable pipeline, including knowledge-based feature extraction, feature selection by recursive feature elimination (RFE), algorithm selection, and hyperparameter auto-tuning by Bayesian optimization. An AutoML method based on XGBoost, termed AutoGBM, is built as the classifier for prediction and feature ranking. The model is tested based on driving simulator experiments of three driving distractions caused by phone usage: browsing short messages, browsing long messages, and answering a phone call. The proposed AutoGBM method is found to be reliable and promising to predict phone-related driving distractions, which achieves satisfactory results prediction, with a predictive power of 80\% on group level and 90\% on individual level accuracy. Moreover, the results also evoke the fact that each distraction types and drivers require different optimized hyperparameters values, which reconfirm the necessity of utilizing AutoML to detect driving distractions. The purposed AutoGBM not only produces better performance with fewer features; but also provides data-driven insights about system design.