Robust model training and generalisation with Studentising flows

Normalising flows are tractable probabilistic models that leverage the power of deep learning to describe a wide parametric family of distributions, all while remaining trainable using maximum likelihood. We discuss how these methods can be further improved based on insights from robust (in particular, resistant) statistics. Specifically, we propose to endow flow-based models with fat-tailed latent distributions such as multivariate Student's $t$, as a simple drop-in replacement for the Gaussian distribution used by conventional normalising flows. While robustness brings many advantages, this paper explores two of them: 1) We describe how using fatter-tailed base distributions can give benefits similar to gradient clipping, but without compromising the asymptotic consistency of the method. 2) We also discuss how robust ideas lead to models with reduced generalisation gap and improved held-out data likelihood. Experiments on several different datasets confirm the efficacy of the proposed approach in both regards.

Let's face it: Probabilistic multi-modal interlocutor-aware generation of facial gestures in dyadic settings

To enable more natural face-to-face interactions, conversational agents need to adapt their behavior to their interlocutors. One key aspect of this is generation of appropriate non-verbal behavior for the agent, for example facial gestures, here defined as facial expressions and head movements. Most existing gesture-generating systems do not utilize multi-modal cues from the interlocutor when synthesizing non-verbal behavior. Those that do, typically use deterministic methods that risk producing repetitive and non-vivid motions. In this paper, we introduce a probabilistic method to synthesize interlocutor-aware facial gestures - represented by highly expressive FLAME parameters - in dyadic conversations. Our contributions are: a) a method for feature extraction from multi-party video and speech recordings, resulting in a representation that allows for independent control and manipulation of expression and speech articulation in a 3D avatar; b) an extension to MoGlow, a recent motion-synthesis method based on normalizing flows, to also take multi-modal signals from the interlocutor as input and subsequently output interlocutor-aware facial gestures; and c) subjective and objective experiments assessing the use and relative importance of the different modalities in the synthesized output. The results show that the model successfully leverages the input from the interlocutor to generate more appropriate behavior.

Gesticulator: A framework for semantically-aware speech-driven gesture generation

During speech, people spontaneously gesticulate, which plays a key role in conveying information. Similarly, realistic co-speech gestures are crucial to enable natural and smooth interactions with social agents. Current data-driven co-speech gesture generation systems use a single modality for representing speech: either audio or text. These systems are therefore confined to producing either acoustically-linked beat gestures or semantically-linked gesticulation (e.g., raising a hand when saying ``high''): they cannot appropriately learn to generate both gesture types. We present a model designed to produce arbitrary beat and semantic gestures together. Our deep-learning based model takes both acoustic and semantic representations of speech as input, and generates gestures as a sequence of joint angle rotations as output. The resulting gestures can be applied to both virtual agents and humanoid robots. We illustrate the model's efficacy with subjective and objective evaluations.

MoGlow: Probabilistic and controllable motion synthesis using normalising flows

Data-driven modelling and synthesis of motion data is an active research area with applications that include animation and games. This paper introduces a new class of probabilistic, generative motion-data models based on normalising flows, specifically Glow. Models of this kind can describe highly complex distributions (unlike many classical approaches like GMMs) yet can be trained stably and efficiently using standard maximum likelihood (unlike GANs). Several model variants are described: unconditional fixed-length sequence models, conditional (i.e., controllable) fixed-length sequence models, and finally conditional, variable-length sequence models. The last type uses LSTMs to enable arbitrarily long time-dependencies and is, importantly, causal, meaning it only depends on control and pose information from current and previous timesteps. This makes it suitable for generating controllable motion in real-time applications. Every model type can in principle be applied to any motion since they do not make restrictive assumptions such as the motion being cyclic in nature. Experiments on a motion-capture dataset of human locomotion confirm that motion (sequences of 3D joint coordinates) sampled randomly from the new methods is judged as convincingly natural by human observers.

Deep Encoder-Decoder Models for Unsupervised Learning of Controllable Speech Synthesis

Generating versatile and appropriate synthetic speech requires control over the output expression separate from the spoken text. Important non-textual speech variation is seldom annotated, in which case output control must be learned in an unsupervised fashion. In this paper, we perform an in-depth study of methods for unsupervised learning of control in statistical speech synthesis. For example, we show that popular unsupervised training heuristics can be interpreted as variational inference in certain autoencoder models. We additionally connect these models to VQ-VAEs, another, recently-proposed class of deep variational autoencoders, which we show can be derived from a very similar mathematical argument. The implications of these new probabilistic interpretations are discussed. We illustrate the utility of the various approaches with an application to acoustic modelling for emotional speech synthesis, where the unsupervised methods for learning expression control (without access to emotional labels) are found to give results that in many aspects match or surpass the previous best supervised approach.

Kernel Density Estimation-Based Markov Models with Hidden State

We consider Markov models of stochastic processes where the next-step conditional distribution is defined by a kernel density estimator (KDE), similar to Markov forecast densities and certain time-series bootstrap schemes. The KDE Markov models (KDE-MMs) we discuss are nonlinear, nonparametric, fully probabilistic representations of stationary processes, based on techniques with strong asymptotic consistency properties. The models generate new data by concatenating points from the training data sequences in a context-sensitive manner, together with some additive driving noise. We present novel EM-type maximum-likelihood algorithms for data-driven bandwidth selection in KDE-MMs. Additionally, we augment the KDE-MMs with a hidden state, yielding a new model class, KDE-HMMs. The added state variable captures non-Markovian long memory and signal structure (e.g., slow oscillations), complementing the short-range dependences described by the Markov process. The resulting joint Markov and hidden-Markov structure is appealing for modelling complex real-world processes such as speech signals. We present guaranteed-ascent EM-update equations for model parameters in the case of Gaussian kernels, as well as relaxed update formulas that greatly accelerate training in practice. Experiments demonstrate increased held-out set probability for KDE-HMMs on several challenging natural and synthetic data series, compared to traditional techniques such as autoregressive models, HMMs, and their combinations.

Consensus-based Sequence Training for Video Captioning

Captioning models are typically trained using the cross-entropy loss. However, their performance is evaluated on other metrics designed to better correlate with human assessments. Recently, it has been shown that reinforcement learning (RL) can directly optimize these metrics in tasks such as captioning. However, this is computationally costly and requires specifying a baseline reward at each step to make training converge. We propose a fast approach to optimize one's objective of interest through the REINFORCE algorithm. First we show that, by replacing model samples with ground-truth sentences, RL training can be seen as a form of weighted cross-entropy loss, giving a fast, RL-based pre-training algorithm. Second, we propose to use the consensus among ground-truth captions of the same video as the baseline reward. This can be computed very efficiently. We call the complete proposal Consensus-based Sequence Training (CST). Applied to the MSRVTT video captioning benchmark, our proposals train significantly faster than comparable methods and establish a new state-of-the-art on the task, improving the CIDEr score from 47.3 to 54.2.

Median-Based Generation of Synthetic Speech Durations using a Non-Parametric Approach

This paper proposes a new approach to duration modelling for statistical parametric speech synthesis in which a recurrent statistical model is trained to output a phone transition probability at each timestep (acoustic frame). Unlike conventional approaches to duration modelling -- which assume that duration distributions have a particular form (e.g., a Gaussian) and use the mean of that distribution for synthesis -- our approach can in principle model any distribution supported on the non-negative integers. Generation from this model can be performed in many ways; here we consider output generation based on the median predicted duration. The median is more typical (more probable) than the conventional mean duration, is robust to training-data irregularities, and enables incremental generation. Furthermore, a frame-level approach to duration prediction is consistent with a longer-term goal of modelling durations and acoustic features together. Results indicate that the proposed method is competitive with baseline approaches in approximating the median duration of held-out natural speech.