Rapid Debris-Volume Estimation from Post-Hurricane Aerial Imagery

Hurricane debris removal is planned, contracted, and federally reimbursed on the basis of volume estimates, yet operational practice still relies on parametric forecasts with 41-90% documented over-estimation or on truck-load tallies that arrive only after hauling begins. We present DebrisHeightNet, a segmentation-conditioned monocular debris-height network that estimates spatially explicit debris volume from a single pass of post-event aerial RGB imagery, the kind of survey routinely flown within days of a hurricane landfall. We train only a lightweight 1.08 M-parameter head on top of two frozen vision foundation models. This head regresses height from a Depth Anything V2 backbone, conditioned on the debris segmentation of CLIPSeg-debris from our prior work. Because no post-hurricane debris-height ground truth exists, we synthesize the training target by confidence-weighted LiDAR-monocular fusion (CW-LMF), designed to suppress non-debris LiDAR returns. This fused target is a constructed supervision signal rather than ground truth, so we corroborate it against external references rather than claiming it as truth. A region-level power-law calibration, driven by each region's low-density debris fraction, converts model volume into an estimate of the reported hauled debris with quantified uncertainty. Across ten regions spanning five hurricanes and three states, the uncalibrated model agrees with an independent uncrewed-aerial-vehicle (UAV) survey of the training region at Spearman $ρ= 0.87$ and lands within 30% of the reported record where the Hazus and FEMA-hybrid parametric forecasts over-predict it by 2.7-4.8$\times$. Deployment requires no LiDAR, no ground access, and no second flight, so the method can produce spatially explicit volume estimates wherever single-pass post-event imagery is flown.

Context Matters: Support Set Selection and Failure Detection for In-Context Medical Image Segmentation

In-context learning (ICL) adapts medical image segmentation models to unseen structures and modalities without retraining by conditioning on a task-specific support set of image-mask exemplars. Because this support set is the model's only task-specific signal, its composition directly influences segmentation performance. In this work, we investigate the support set as a controllable determinant of ICL reliability. First, we compare random sampling against similarity-based selection, where exemplars are retrieved based on their visual similarity to the query image. Second, we train a transformer-based classifier to predict, from the query and support images alone, whether a segmentation will fall below a specified Intersection-over-Union (IoU) threshold. Using MultiverSeg with DINOv3 embeddings across four benchmarks and three imaging modalities, we show that similarity-based selection consistently matches or outperforms random sampling, with the largest gains at the smallest support set sizes. Furthermore, our classifier predicts segmentation failure above chance on all four benchmarks. Ultimately, these results demonstrate that the reliability of in-context segmentation can be both improved via informed support selection and anticipated before use, providing practical mechanisms for safer clinical deployment.

Foveated Probes Recover Localized Binding Information in Vision Foundation Models

Frozen vision foundation models are commonly evaluated through a single global image embedding, but this interface can conflate missing information with information lost at readout time. We study this distinction by keeping a pretrained vision encoder frozen and varying only the readout applied to its final patch tokens. We compare standard global readouts against a lightweight foveated readout, which attention-pools patch tokens using a learned or question-conditioned query, and against an oracle readout with access to the annotated target region. We evaluate these interfaces on three localized binding problems: a controlled synthetic color--shape binding task under clutter, a color-free crowded shape-detection variant, and a GQA-derived natural-image task where paired questions ask for the colors of different same-category objects in the same image. Global readouts perform near perfectly when the synthetic target appears alone, but collapse under clutter and counterfactual target edits, whereas the foveated readout recovers most of the oracle-accessible signal. On the GQA-derived task, question-independent global image vectors improve only modestly over question-only priors, while question-conditioned foveation substantially improves paired localized color accuracy. A counterfactual nuisance-to-signal ratio explains the synthetic failures: global pooling dilutes localized label-changing evidence while exposing the probe to nuisance variation from irrelevant objects. These results indicate that apparent spatial blindness in frozen vision models can arise from the global embedding interface rather than from an absence of spatial information in the frozen patch tokens.

ConRad: Efficient Conformal Prediction for Radiomics

Radiomic features derived from medical images and segmentation masks are used to support decision making in clinical imaging pipelines. In practice, these features are often computed from predicted masks, but segmentation models can be overconfident or poorly calibrated, making derived measurements appear more reliable than they are. Conformal prediction (CP) provides distribution-free prediction intervals with finite-sample marginal coverage guarantees, but black-box intervals for segmentation-derived radiomics can be inefficient because they ignore test-time information about image appearance, mask geometry, and segmentation uncertainty. We propose ConRad, a conformal framework for scalar radiomic targets that uses covariates derived from the predicted mask, input image, predicted radiomics, and boundary uncertainty to construct adaptive intervals while maintaining coverage. Across five 2D medical imaging datasets and 171 retained radiomic targets, we show that ConRad improves feature-level efficiency compared to baselines while maintaining near-nominal empirical coverage. Ablation results further indicate that segmentation boundary uncertainty features are the largest contributors to interval efficiency.

Splatshot: 3D Face Avatar Generation from a Single Unconstrained Photo

Reconstructing a photorealistic 3D face avatar from a single unconstrained photograph is challenging: feed-forward 3D Gaussian Splatting (3DGS) models degrade on out-of-distribution inputs, while pretrained diffusion models produce high-fidelity images but lack multi-view consistency. We observe that these paradigms are fundamentally complementary: explicit 3D representations guarantee geometric consistency, whereas 2D diffusion priors ensure photorealism. Building on this, we propose SplatShot, a training-free framework that couples these representations directly within the denoising process. Given a base 3DGS face model and a single reference image, we jointly denoise all target views using a per-step 3D feedback loop. At each timestep, we predict clean images from the noisy latents, refit the 3DGS to these multi-view predictions, and back-propagate the photometric discrepancy between the 3DGS re-renderings and 2D predictions into the noise estimate. This steers the sampling trajectory toward strictly 3D-coherent, identity-faithful outputs. Experiments on diverse in-the-wild images demonstrate that SplatShot produces 3D avatars with superior identity preservation, photorealism, and multi-view consistency.

Conformal Certification of Reasoning Trace Prefixes

Language model reasoning traces are rarely all-or-nothing; they frequently contain valid intermediate steps before a critical error occurs. Existing uncertainty quantification methods typically certify final answers or entire responses, failing to provide statistical guarantees for the proportion of a sequential trace that can be safely retained. To address this, we introduce CROP (Conformal Reasoning Output Prefixes), a verifier-agnostic calibration procedure for clean-prefix certification. Given any step-level risk proxy, CROP selects a calibrated threshold and returns the longest contiguous prefix whose step risk proxies remain below it, routing the uncertified suffix for downstream review or repair. Assuming exchangeability, CROP rigorously controls the marginal probability that the returned prefix contains an annotated error. Across six process-labeled reasoning datasets, we demonstrate that standard step-level metrics such as AUROC do not fully capture prefix utility, suggesting verifiers should instead be evaluated by certified prefix length. Furthermore, CROP balances over- and under-withholding, improving downstream repair accuracy by preserving valid intermediate reasoning while discarding misleading suffixes. Ultimately, this work positions prefix certification as a rigorous, practical bridge between process supervision, abstention, and repair.

GeoViSTA: Geospatial Vision-Tabular Transformer for Multimodal Environment Representation

Large-scale pretraining on Earth observation imagery has yielded powerful representations of the natural and built environment. However, most existing geospatial foundation models do not directly model the structured socioeconomic covariates typically stored in tabular form. This modality gap limits their ability to capture the complete total environment, which is critical for reasoning about complex environmental, social, and health-related outcomes. In this work, we propose GeoViSTA (Geospatial Vision-Tabular Transformer), a vision-tabular architecture that learns unified geospatial embeddings from co-registered gridded imagery and tabular data. GeoViSTA utilizes bilateral cross-attention to exchange spatial and semantic information across modalities, guided by a geography-aware attention mechanism that aligns continuous image patches with irregular census-tract tokens. We train GeoViSTA with a self-supervised joint masked-autoencoding objective, forcing it to recover missing image patches and tabular rows using local spatial context and cross-modal cues. Empirically, GeoViSTA's unified embeddings improve linear probing performance on high-impact downstream tasks, outperforming baselines in predicting disease-specific mortality and fire hazard frequency across held-out regions. These results demonstrate that jointly modeling the physical environment alongside structured socioeconomic context yields highly transferable representations for holistic geospatial inference.

Fast Amortized Fitting of Scientific Signals Across Time and Ensembles via Transferable Neural Fields

Neural fields, also known as implicit neural representations (INRs), offer a powerful framework for modeling continuous geometry, but their effectiveness in high-dimensional scientific settings is limited by slow convergence and scaling challenges. In this study, we extend INR models to handle spatiotemporal and multivariate signals and show how INR features can be transferred across scientific signals to enable efficient and scalable representation across time and ensemble runs in an amortized fashion. Across controlled transformation regimes (e.g., geometric transformations and localized perturbations of synthetic fields) and high-fidelity scientific domains-including turbulent flows, fluid-material impact dynamics, and astrophysical systems-we show that transferable features improve not only signal fidelity but also the accuracy of derived geometric and physical quantities, including density gradients and vorticity. In particular, transferable features reduce iterations to reach target reconstruction quality by up to an order of magnitude, increase early-stage reconstruction quality by multiple dB (with gains exceeding 10 dB in some cases), and consistently improve gradient-based physical accuracy.

Generating Humanless Environment Walkthroughs from Egocentric Walking Tour Videos

Egocentric "walking tour" videos provide a rich source of image data to develop rich and diverse visual models of environments around the world. However, the significant presence of humans in frames of these videos due to crowds and eye-level camera perspectives mitigates their usefulness in environment modeling applications. We focus on addressing this challenge by developing a generative algorithm that can realistically remove (i.e., inpaint) humans and their associated shadow effects from walking tour videos. Key to our approach is the construction of a rich semi-synthetic dataset of video clip pairs to train this generative model. Each pair in the dataset consists of an environment-only background clip, and a composite clip of walking humans with simulated shadows overlaid on the background. We randomly sourced both foreground and background components from real egocentric walking tour videos around the world to maintain visual diversity. We then used this dataset to fine-tune the state-of-the-art Casper video diffusion model for object and effects inpainting, and demonstrate that the resulting model performs far better than Casper both qualitatively and quantitatively at removing humans from walking tour clips with significant human presence and complex backgrounds. Finally, we show that the resulting generated clips can be used to build successful 3D/4D models of urban locations.

The Surprising Effectiveness of Noise Pretraining for Implicit Neural Representations

The approximation and convergence properties of implicit neural representations (INRs) are known to be highly sensitive to parameter initialization strategies. While several data-driven initialization methods demonstrate significant improvements over standard random sampling, the reasons for their success -- specifically, whether they encode classical statistical signal priors or more complex features -- remain poorly understood. In this study, we explore this phenomenon through a series of experimental analyses leveraging noise pretraining. We pretrain INRs on diverse noise classes (e.g., Gaussian, Dead Leaves, Spectral) and measure their ability to both fit unseen signals and encode priors for an inverse imaging task (denoising). Our analyses on image and video data reveal a surprising finding: simply pretraining on unstructured noise (Uniform, Gaussian) dramatically improves signal fitting capacity compared to all other baselines. However, unstructured noise also yields poor deep image priors for denoising. In contrast, we also find that noise with the classic $1/|f^α|$ spectral structure of natural images achieves an excellent balance of signal fitting and inverse imaging capabilities, performing on par with the best data-driven initialization methods. This finding enables more efficient INR training in applications lacking sufficient prior domain-specific data. For more details, visit project page at https://kushalvyas.github.io/noisepretraining.html