U-Net Kalman Filter (UNetKF): An Example of Machine Learning-assisted Ensemble Data Assimilation

Machine learning techniques have seen a tremendous rise in popularity in weather and climate sciences. Data assimilation (DA), which combines observations and numerical models, has great potential to incorporate machine learning and artificial intelligence (ML/AI) techniques. In this paper, we use U-Net, a type of convolutional neutral network (CNN), to predict the localized ensemble covariances for the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) algorithm. Using a 2-layer quasi-geostrophic model, U-Nets are trained using data from EnKF DA experiments. The trained U-Nets are then used to predict the flow-dependent localized error covariance matrices in U-Net Kalman Filter (UNetKF) experiments, which are compared to traditional 3-dimensional variational (3DVar), ensemble 3DVar (En3DVar) and EnKF methods. The performance of UNetKF can match or exceed that of 3DVar, En3DVar or EnKF. We also demonstrate that trained U-Nets can be transferred to a higher-resolution model for UNetKF implementation, which again performs competitively to 3DVar and EnKF, particularly for small ensemble sizes.

XAIR: A Framework of Explainable AI in Augmented Reality

Explainable AI (XAI) has established itself as an important component of AI-driven interactive systems. With Augmented Reality (AR) becoming more integrated in daily lives, the role of XAI also becomes essential in AR because end-users will frequently interact with intelligent services. However, it is unclear how to design effective XAI experiences for AR. We propose XAIR, a design framework that addresses "when", "what", and "how" to provide explanations of AI output in AR. The framework was based on a multi-disciplinary literature review of XAI and HCI research, a large-scale survey probing 500+ end-users' preferences for AR-based explanations, and three workshops with 12 experts collecting their insights about XAI design in AR. XAIR's utility and effectiveness was verified via a study with 10 designers and another study with 12 end-users. XAIR can provide guidelines for designers, inspiring them to identify new design opportunities and achieve effective XAI designs in AR.