Neural machine translation of clinical procedure codes for medical diagnosis and uncertainty quantification

A Clinical Decision Support System (CDSS) is designed to enhance clinician decision-making by combining system-generated recommendations with medical expertise. Given the high costs, intensive labor, and time-sensitive nature of medical treatments, there is a pressing need for efficient decision support, especially in complex emergency scenarios. In these scenarios, where information can be limited, an advanced CDSS framework that leverages AI (artificial intelligence) models to effectively reduce diagnostic uncertainty has utility. Such an AI-enabled CDSS framework with quantified uncertainty promises to be practical and beneficial in the demanding context of real-world medical care. In this study, we introduce the concept of Medical Entropy, quantifying uncertainties in patient outcomes predicted by neural machine translation based on the ICD-9 code of procedures. Our experimental results not only show strong correlations between procedure and diagnosis sequences based on the simple ICD-9 code but also demonstrate the promising capacity to model trends of uncertainties during hospitalizations through a data-driven approach.

Multi-modal Representation Learning for Cross-modal Prediction of Continuous Weather Patterns from Discrete Low-Dimensional Data

World is looking for clean and renewable energy sources that do not pollute the environment, in an attempt to reduce greenhouse gas emissions that contribute to global warming. Wind energy has significant potential to not only reduce greenhouse emission, but also meet the ever increasing demand for energy. To enable the effective utilization of wind energy, addressing the following three challenges in wind data analysis is crucial. Firstly, improving data resolution in various climate conditions to ensure an ample supply of information for assessing potential energy resources. Secondly, implementing dimensionality reduction techniques for data collected from sensors/simulations to efficiently manage and store large datasets. Thirdly, extrapolating wind data from one spatial specification to another, particularly in cases where data acquisition may be impractical or costly. We propose a deep learning based approach to achieve multi-modal continuous resolution wind data prediction from discontinuous wind data, along with data dimensionality reduction.

Learning Active Subspaces for Effective and Scalable Uncertainty Quantification in Deep Neural Networks

Bayesian inference for neural networks, or Bayesian deep learning, has the potential to provide well-calibrated predictions with quantified uncertainty and robustness. However, the main hurdle for Bayesian deep learning is its computational complexity due to the high dimensionality of the parameter space. In this work, we propose a novel scheme that addresses this limitation by constructing a low-dimensional subspace of the neural network parameters-referred to as an active subspace-by identifying the parameter directions that have the most significant influence on the output of the neural network. We demonstrate that the significantly reduced active subspace enables effective and scalable Bayesian inference via either Monte Carlo (MC) sampling methods, otherwise computationally intractable, or variational inference. Empirically, our approach provides reliable predictions with robust uncertainty estimates for various regression tasks.

Comparative Performance Evaluation of Large Language Models for Extracting Molecular Interactions and Pathway Knowledge

Understanding protein interactions and pathway knowledge is crucial for unraveling the complexities of living systems and investigating the underlying mechanisms of biological functions and complex diseases. While existing databases provide curated biological data from literature and other sources, they are often incomplete and their maintenance is labor-intensive, necessitating alternative approaches. In this study, we propose to harness the capabilities of large language models to address these issues by automatically extracting such knowledge from the relevant scientific literature. Toward this goal, in this work, we investigate the effectiveness of different large language models in tasks that involve recognizing protein interactions, pathways, and gene regulatory relations. We thoroughly evaluate the performance of various models, highlight the significant findings, and discuss both the future opportunities and the remaining challenges associated with this approach. The code and data are available at: https://github.com/boxorange/BioIE-LLM

Comprehensive analysis of gene expression profiles to radiation exposure reveals molecular signatures of low-dose radiation response

There are various sources of ionizing radiation exposure, where medical exposure for radiation therapy or diagnosis is the most common human-made source. Understanding how gene expression is modulated after ionizing radiation exposure and investigating the presence of any dose-dependent gene expression patterns have broad implications for health risks from radiotherapy, medical radiation diagnostic procedures, as well as other environmental exposure. In this paper, we perform a comprehensive pathway-based analysis of gene expression profiles in response to low-dose radiation exposure, in order to examine the potential mechanism of gene regulation underlying such responses. To accomplish this goal, we employ a statistical framework to determine whether a specific group of genes belonging to a known pathway display coordinated expression patterns that are modulated in a manner consistent with the radiation level. Findings in our study suggest that there exist complex yet consistent signatures that reflect the molecular response to radiation exposure, which differ between low-dose and high-dose radiation.

Neural Message Passing for Objective-Based Uncertainty Quantification and Optimal Experimental Design

Real-world scientific or engineering applications often involve mathematical modeling of complex uncertain systems with a large number of unknown parameters. The complexity of such systems, and the enormous uncertainties therein, typically make accurate model identification from the available data infeasible. In such cases, it is desirable to represent the model uncertainty in a Bayesian paradigm, based on which we can design robust operators that maintain the best overall performance across all possible models and design optimal experiments that can effectively reduce uncertainty to maximally enhance the performance of such operators. While objective-based uncertainty quantification (objective-UQ) based on MOCU (mean objective cost of uncertainty) has been shown to provide effective means for quantifying and handling uncertainty in complex systems, a major drawback has been the high computational cost of estimating MOCU. In this work, we demonstrate for the first time that one can design accurate surrogate models for efficient objective-UQ via MOCU based on a data-driven approach. We adopt a neural message passing model for surrogate modeling, which incorporates a novel axiomatic constraint loss that penalizes an increase in the estimated system uncertainty. As an illustrative example, we consider the optimal experimental design (OED) problem for uncertain Kuramoto models, where the goal is to predict the experiments that can most effectively enhance the robust synchronization performance through uncertainty reduction. Through quantitative performance assessment, we show that our proposed approach can accelerate MOCU-based OED by four to five orders of magnitude, virtually without any visible loss of performance compared to the previous state-of-the-art. The proposed approach can be applied to general OED tasks, beyond the Kuramoto model.

Multi-Objective Latent Space Optimization of Generative Molecular Design Models

Molecular design based on generative models, such as variational autoencoders (VAEs), has become increasingly popular in recent years due to its efficiency for exploring high-dimensional molecular space to identify molecules with desired properties. While the efficacy of the initial model strongly depends on the training data, the sampling efficiency of the model for suggesting novel molecules with enhanced properties can be further enhanced via latent space optimization. In this paper, we propose a multi-objective latent space optimization (LSO) method that can significantly enhance the performance of generative molecular design (GMD). The proposed method adopts an iterative weighted retraining approach, where the respective weights of the molecules in the training data are determined by their Pareto efficiency. We demonstrate that our multi-objective GMD LSO method can significantly improve the performance of GMD for jointly optimizing multiple molecular properties.

Adaptive Group Testing with Mismatched Models

Accurate detection of infected individuals is one of the critical steps in stopping any pandemic. When the underlying infection rate of the disease is low, testing people in groups, instead of testing each individual in the population, can be more efficient. In this work, we consider noisy adaptive group testing design with specific test sensitivity and specificity that select the optimal group given previous test results based on pre-selected utility function. As in prior studies on group testing, we model this problem as a sequential Bayesian Optimal Experimental Design (BOED) to adaptively design the groups for each test. We analyze the required number of group tests when using the updated posterior on the infection status and the corresponding Mutual Information (MI) as our utility function for selecting new groups. More importantly, we study how the potential bias on the ground-truth noise of group tests may affect the group testing sample complexity.

Optimal Decision Making in High-Throughput Virtual Screening Pipelines

Effective selection of the potential candidates that meet certain conditions in a tremendously large search space has been one of the major concerns in many real-world applications. In addition to the nearly infinitely large search space, rigorous evaluation of a sample based on the reliable experimental or computational platform is often prohibitively expensive, making the screening problem more challenging. In such a case, constructing a high-throughput screening (HTS) pipeline that pre-sifts the samples expected to be potential candidates through the efficient earlier stages, results in a significant amount of savings in resources. However, to the best of our knowledge, despite many successful applications, no one has studied optimal pipeline design or optimal pipeline operations. In this study, we propose two optimization frameworks, applying to most (if not all) screening campaigns involving experimental or/and computational evaluations, for optimally determining the screening thresholds of an HTS pipeline. We validate the proposed frameworks on both analytic and practical scenarios. In particular, we consider the optimal computational campaign for the long non-coding RNA (lncRNA) classification as a practical example. To accomplish this, we built the high-throughput virtual screening (HTVS) pipeline for classifying the lncRNA. The simulation results demonstrate that the proposed frameworks significantly reduce the effective selection cost per potential candidate and make the HTS pipelines less sensitive to their structural variations. In addition to the validation, we provide insights on constructing a better HTS pipeline based on the simulation results.

Robust Importance Sampling for Error Estimation in the Context of Optimal Bayesian Transfer Learning

Classification has been a major task for building intelligent systems as it enables decision-making under uncertainty. Classifier design aims at building models from training data for representing feature-label distributions--either explicitly or implicitly. In many scientific or clinical settings, training data are typically limited, which makes designing accurate classifiers and evaluating their classification error extremely challenging. While transfer learning (TL) can alleviate this issue by incorporating data from relevant source domains to improve learning in a different target domain, it has received little attention for performance assessment, notably in error estimation. In this paper, we fill this gap by investigating knowledge transferability in the context of classification error estimation within a Bayesian paradigm. We introduce a novel class of Bayesian minimum mean-square error (MMSE) estimators for optimal Bayesian transfer learning (OBTL), which enables rigorous evaluation of classification error under uncertainty in a small-sample setting. Using Monte Carlo importance sampling, we employ the proposed estimator to evaluate the classification accuracy of a broad family of classifiers that span diverse learning capabilities. Experimental results based on both synthetic data as well as real-world RNA sequencing (RNA-seq) data show that our proposed OBTL error estimation scheme clearly outperforms standard error estimators, especially in a small-sample setting, by tapping into the data from other relevant domains.