Beyond Correlation: Refutation-Validated Aspect-Based Sentiment Analysis for Explainable Energy Market Returns

This paper proposes a refutation-validated framework for aspect-based sentiment analysis in financial markets, addressing the limitations of correlational studies that cannot distinguish genuine associations from spurious ones. Using X data for the energy sector, we test whether aspect-level sentiment signals show robust, refutation-validated relationships with equity returns. Our pipeline combines net-ratio scoring with z-normalization, OLS with Newey West HAC errors, and refutation tests including placebo, random common cause, subset stability, and bootstrap. Across six energy tickers, only a few associations survive all checks, while renewables show aspect and horizon specific responses. While not establishing causality, the framework provides statistically robust, directionally interpretable signals, with limited sample size (six stocks, one quarter) constraining generalizability and framing this work as a methodological proof of concept.

Triangulating Temporal Dynamics in Multilingual Swiss Online News

Analyzing news coverage in multilingual societies can offer valuable insights into the dynamics of public discourse and the development of collective narratives, yet comprehensive studies that account for linguistic and cultural diversity within national media ecosystems remain limited, particularly in complex contexts such as Switzerland. This paper studies temporal trends in Swiss digital media across the country's three main linguistic regions, French, German, and Italian, using a triangulated methodology that combines quantitative analyses with qualitative insights. We collected and processed over 1.7 million news articles, applying lexical metrics, named entity recognition and Wikidata-based linking, targeted sentiment analysis, and consensus-based change-point detection. To enable principled cross-language comparisons and to connect to theories of domestication and cultural proximity, we derive domestication profiles together with a proximity salience ratio. Our analysis spans thematic, recurrent, and singular events. By integrating quantitative data with qualitative interpretation, we provide new insights into the dynamics of Swiss digital media and demonstrate the usefulness of triangulation in media studies. The findings reveal distinct temporal patterns and highlight how linguistic and cultural contexts influence reporting. Our approach offers a framework applicable to other multilingual or culturally diverse media environments, contributing to a deeper understanding of how news is shaped by linguistic and cultural factors.

Engineering Distributed Governance for Regional Prosperity: A Socio-Technical Framework for Mitigating Under-Vibrancy via Human Data Engines

Most research in urban informatics and tourism focuses on mitigating overtourism in dense global cities. However, for regions experiencing demographic decline and structural stagnation, the primary risk is "under-vibrancy", a condition where low visitor density suppresses economic activity and diminishes satisfaction. This paper introduces the Distributed Human Data Engine (DHDE), a socio-technical framework previously validated in biological crisis management, and adapts it for regional economic flow optimization. Using high-granularity data from Japan's least-visited prefecture (Fukui), we utilize an AI-driven decision support system (DSS) to analyze two datasets: a raw Fukui spending database (90,350 records) and a regional standardized sentiment database (97,719 responses). The system achieves in-sample explanatory power of 81% (R^2 = 0.810) and out-of-sample predictive performance of 68% (R^2 = 0.683). We quantify an annual opportunity gap of 865,917 unrealized visits, equivalent to approximately 11.96 billion yen (USD 76.2 million) in lost revenue. We propose a dual-nudge governance architecture leveraging the DHDE to redistribute cross-prefectural flows and reduce economic leakage.

Evaluating Reasoning-Based Scaffolds for Human-AI Co-Annotation: The ReasonAlign Annotation Protocol

Human annotation is central to NLP evaluation, yet subjective tasks often exhibit substantial variability across annotators. While large language models (LLMs) can provide structured reasoning to support annotation, their influence on human annotation behavior remains unclear. We introduce ReasonAlign, a reasoning-based annotation scaffold that exposes LLM-generated explanations while withholding predicted labels. We frame this as a controlled study of how reasoning affects human annotation behavior, rather than a full evaluation of annotation accuracy. Using a two-pass protocol inspired by Delphi-style revision, annotators first label instances independently and then revise their decisions after viewing model-generated reasoning. We evaluate the approach on sentiment classification and opinion detection tasks, analyzing changes in inter-annotator agreement and revision behavior. To quantify these effects, we introduce the Annotator Effort Proxy (AEP), a metric capturing the proportion of labels revised after exposure to reasoning. Our results show that exposure to reasoning is associated with increased agreement alongside minimal revision, suggesting that reasoning primarily helps resolve ambiguous cases without inducing widespread changes. These findings provide insight into how reasoning explanations shape annotation consistency and highlight reasoning-based scaffolds as a practical mechanism for supporting human-AI annotation workflows.

FinRL-X: An AI-Native Modular Infrastructure for Quantitative Trading

We present FinRL-X, a modular and deployment-consistent trading architecture that unifies data processing, strategy construction, backtesting, and broker execution under a weight-centric interface. While existing open-source platforms are often backtesting- or model-centric, they rarely provide system-level consistency between research evaluation and live deployment. FinRL-X addresses this gap through a composable strategy pipeline that integrates stock selection, portfolio allocation, timing, and portfolio-level risk overlays within a unified protocol. The framework supports both rule-based and AI-driven components, including reinforcement learning allocators and LLM-based sentiment signals, without altering downstream execution semantics. FinRL-X provides an extensible foundation for reproducible, end-to-end quantitative trading research and deployment. The official FinRL-X implementation is available at https://github.com/AI4Finance-Foundation/FinRL-Trading.

Learning to Aggregate Zero-Shot LLM Agents for Corporate Disclosure Classification

This paper studies whether a lightweight trained aggregator can combine diverse zero-shot large language model judgments into a stronger downstream signal for corporate disclosure classification. Zero-shot LLMs can read disclosures without task-specific fine-tuning, but their predictions often vary across prompts, reasoning styles, and model families. I address this problem with a multi-agent framework in which three zero-shot agents independently read each disclosure and output a sentiment label, a confidence score, and a short rationale. A logistic meta-classifier then aggregates these signals to predict next-day stock return direction. I use a sample of 18,420 U.S. corporate disclosures issued by Nasdaq and S&P 500 firms between 2018 and 2024, matched to next-day stock returns. Results show that the trained aggregator outperforms all single agents, majority vote, confidence-weighted voting, and a FinBERT baseline. Balanced accuracy rises from 0.561 for the best single agent to 0.612 for the trained aggregator, with the largest gains in disclosures combining strong current performance with weak guidance or elevated risk. The results suggest that zero-shot LLM agents capture complementary financial signals and that supervised aggregation can turn cross-agent disagreement into a more useful classification target.

NDT: Non-Differential Transformer and Its Application to Sentiment Analysis

From customer feedback to social media, understanding human sentiment in text is central to how machines can interact meaningfully with people. However, despite notable progress, accurately capturing sentiment remains a challenging task, which continues to motivate further research in this area. To this end, we introduce Non-Differential Transformer (NDT). It is inspired by (but in contrast to) the state-of-the-art Differential Transformer (DT) model. While standard Transformers can struggle with irrelevant context, the sota DT model uses attention map subtraction, potentially for noise cancellation. We explore an alternative motivation, hypothesizing that benefits may arise from enabling different attention components to specialize on distinct concepts within the text, similar to multiplexing information channels or mixture models, rather than primarily canceling noise via subtraction. Guided by this concept-multiplexing (ConPlex) view, the specific architecture presented in this paper employs a purely additive strategy. It uses only positive weights, learned during training, to ensure constructive combination of these specialized attention perspectives. This design choice explores positive only integration, though our broader framework also shows promise with less constrained linear combinations involving both positive and negative weights. Our model computes attention via this positively weighted sum of multiple distinct attention maps. This allows the model to constructively integrate diverse signals and potentially capture more complex contextual relationships. Competitive performance is achieved by the proposed model for Sentiment Analysis while tested on multiple datasets. We conclude by presenting our results, challenges and future research agenda in this important area of research.

Enhancing Hyperspace Analogue to Language (HAL) Representations via Attention-Based Pooling for Text Classification

The Hyperspace Analogue to Language (HAL) model relies on global word co-occurrence matrices to construct distributional semantic representations. While these representations capture lexical relationships effectively, aggregating them into sentence-level embeddings via standard mean pooling often results in information loss. Mean pooling assigns equal weight to all tokens, thereby diluting the impact of contextually salient words with uninformative structural tokens. In this paper, we address this limitation by integrating a learnable, temperature-scaled additive attention mechanism into the HAL representation pipeline. To mitigate the sparsity and high dimensionality of the raw co-occurrence matrices, we apply Truncated Singular Value Decomposition (SVD) to project the vectors into a dense latent space prior to the attention layer. We evaluate the proposed architecture on the IMDB sentiment analysis dataset. Empirical results demonstrate that the attention-based pooling approach achieves a test accuracy of 82.38%, yielding an absolute improvement of 6.74 percentage points over the traditional mean pooling baseline (75.64%). Furthermore, qualitative analysis of the attention weights indicates that the mechanism successfully suppresses stop-words and selectively attends to sentiment-bearing tokens, improving both classification performance and model interpretability.

Neither Here Nor There: Cross-Lingual Representation Dynamics of Code-Mixed Text in Multilingual Encoders

Multilingual encoder-based language models are widely adopted for code-mixed analysis tasks, yet we know surprisingly little about how they represent code-mixed inputs internally - or whether those representations meaningfully connect to the constituent languages being mixed. Using Hindi-English as a case study, we construct a unified trilingual corpus of parallel English, Hindi (Devanagari), and Romanized code-mixed sentences, and probe cross-lingual representation alignment across standard multilingual encoders and their code-mixed adapted variants via CKA, token-level saliency, and entropy-based uncertainty analysis. We find that while standard models align English and Hindi well, code-mixed inputs remain loosely connected to either language - and that continued pre-training on code-mixed data improves English-code-mixed alignment at the cost of English-Hindi alignment. Interpretability analyses further reveal a clear asymmetry: models process code-mixed text through an English-dominant semantic subspace, while native-script Hindi provides complementary signals that reduce representational uncertainty. Motivated by these findings, we introduce a trilingual post-training alignment objective that brings code-mixed representations closer to both constituent languages simultaneously, yielding more balanced cross-lingual alignment and downstream gains on sentiment analysis and hate speech detection - showing that grounding code-mixed representations in their constituent languages meaningfully helps cross-lingual understanding.

AlignMamba-2: Enhancing Multimodal Fusion and Sentiment Analysis with Modality-Aware Mamba

In the era of large-scale pre-trained models, effectively adapting general knowledge to specific affective computing tasks remains a challenge, particularly regarding computational efficiency and multimodal heterogeneity. While Transformer-based methods have excelled at modeling inter-modal dependencies, their quadratic computational complexity limits their use with long-sequence data. Mamba-based models have emerged as a computationally efficient alternative; however, their inherent sequential scanning mechanism struggles to capture the global, non-sequential relationships that are crucial for effective cross-modal alignment. To address these limitations, we propose \textbf{AlignMamba-2}, an effective and efficient framework for multimodal fusion and sentiment analysis. Our approach introduces a dual alignment strategy that regularizes the model using both Optimal Transport distance and Maximum Mean Discrepancy, promoting geometric and statistical consistency between modalities without incurring any inference-time overhead. More importantly, we design a Modality-Aware Mamba layer, which employs a Mixture-of-Experts architecture with modality-specific and modality-shared experts to explicitly handle data heterogeneity during the fusion process. Extensive experiments on four challenging benchmarks, including dynamic time-series (on the CMU-MOSI and CMU-MOSEI datasets) and static image-related tasks (on the NYU-Depth V2 and MVSA-Single datasets), demonstrate that AlignMamba-2 establishes a new state-of-the-art in both effectiveness and efficiency across diverse pattern recognition tasks, ranging from dynamic time-series analysis to static image-text classification.