Agent-Based Post-Hoc Correction of Agricultural Yield Forecasts

Accurate crop yield forecasting in commercial soft fruit production is constrained by the data available in typical commercial farm records, which lack the sensor networks, satellite imagery, and high-resolution meteorological inputs that most state-of-the-art approaches assume. We propose a structured LLM agent framework that performs post-hoc correction of existing model predictions, encoding agricultural domain knowledge across tools for phase detection, bias learning, and range validation. Evaluated on a proprietary strawberry yield dataset and a public USDA corn harvest dataset, agent refinement of XGBoost reduced MAE by 20% and MASE by 56% on strawberry, with consistent improvements across Moirai2 (MAE 24%, MASE 22%) and Random Forest (MAE 28%, MASE 66%) baselines. Using Llama 3.1 8B as the agent produced the strongest corrections across all configurations; LLaVA 13B showed inconsistent gains, highlighting sensitivity to the choice of refinement model.

MixINN: Accelerating Plant Breeding by Combining Mixed Models and Deep Learning for Interaction Prediction

Plant breeding underpins global food security through incremental, accumulating improvements in crop yield, quality and sustainability, achieved via repeated cycles of crop ranking, selection and crossing. Climate change disrupts this process by altering local growing conditions, thereby shifting the relative performance of crop genotypes. Predicting these relative changes in yield is critical for food security. Yet, this problem remains an open challenge in plant breeding, and relatively unexplored within the AI community. We propose MixINN, an approach that first isolates high-quality genotype-environment interaction labels using mixed models, and then predicts these interactions for new crop varieties in future environmental conditions with a deep neural network. We evaluate our method on a corn multi-environment trial across the continental United States and show improved prediction of genotype ranking over current plant breeding methods. MixINN demonstrated superior performance in identifying the 20% most productive corn genotypes, leading to a 5.8% higher average yield, which further improved to 7.2% when targeting specific growing environments. These are competitive results for real-world breeding programs, demonstrating the potential of AI research in accelerating the development of climate-adapted crops, and improving future food security under climate change.

Attention-based Multi-modal Deep Learning Model of Spatio-temporal Crop Yield Prediction with Satellite, Soil and Climate Data

Crop yield prediction is one of the most important challenge, which is crucial to world food security and policy-making decisions. The conventional forecasting techniques are limited in their accuracy with reference to the fact that they utilize static data sources that do not reflect the dynamic and intricate relationships that exist between the variables of the environment over time [5,13]. This paper presents Attention-Based Multi-Modal Deep Learning Framework (ABMMDLF), which is suggested to be used in high-accuracy spatio-temporal crop yield prediction. The model we use combines multi-year satellite imagery, high-resolution time-series of meteorological data and initial soil properties as opposed to the traditional models which use only one of the aforementioned factors [12, 21]. The main architecture involves the use of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) to extract spatial features and a Temporal Attention Mechanism to adaptively weight important phenological periods targeted by the algorithm to change over time and condition on spatial features of images and video sequences. As can be experimentally seen, the proposed research work provides an R^2 score of 0.89, which is far better than the baseline models do.

Agri-CPJ: A Training-Free Explainable Framework for Agricultural Pest Diagnosis Using Caption-Prompt-Judge and LLM-as-a-Judge

Crop disease diagnosis from field photographs faces two recurring problems: models that score well on benchmarks frequently hallucinate species names, and when predictions are correct, the reasoning behind them is typically inaccessible to the practitioner. This paper describes Agri-CPJ (Caption-Prompt-Judge), a training-free few-shot framework in which a large vision-language model first generates a structured morphological caption, iteratively refined through multi-dimensional quality gating, before any diagnostic question is answered. Two candidate responses are then generated from complementary viewpoints, and an LLM judge selects the stronger one based on domain-specific criteria. Caption refinement is the component with the largest individual impact: ablations confirm that skipping it consistently degrades downstream accuracy across both models tested. On CDDMBench, pairing GPT-5-Nano with GPT-5-mini-generated captions yields \textbf{+22.7} pp in disease classification and \textbf{+19.5} points in QA score over no-caption baselines. Evaluated without modification on AgMMU-MCQs, GPT-5-Nano reached 77.84\% and Qwen-VL-Chat reached 64.54\%, placing them at or above most open-source models of comparable scale despite the format shift from open-ended to multiple-choice. The structured caption and judge rationale together constitute a readable audit trail: a practitioner who disagrees with a diagnosis can identify the specific caption observation that was incorrect. Code and data are publicly available https://github.com/CPJ-Agricultural/CPJ-Agricultural-Diagnosis

Quality-Aware Calibration for AI-Generated Image Detection in the Wild

Significant progress has been made in detecting synthetic images, however most existing approaches operate on a single image instance and overlook a key characteristic of real-world dissemination: as viral images circulate on the web, multiple near-duplicate versions appear and lose quality due to repeated operations like recompression, resizing and cropping. As a consequence, the same image may yield inconsistent forensic predictions based on which version has been analyzed. In this work, to address this issue we propose QuAD (Quality-Aware calibration with near-Duplicates) a novel framework that makes decisions based on all available near-duplicates of the same image. Given a query, we retrieve its online near-duplicates and feed them to a detector: the resulting scores are then aggregated based on the estimated quality of the corresponding instance. By doing so, we take advantage of all pieces of information while accounting for the reduced reliability of images impaired by multiple processing steps. To support large-scale evaluation, we introduce two datasets: AncesTree, an in-lab dataset of 136k images organized in stochastic degradation trees that simulate online reposting dynamics, and ReWIND, a real-world dataset of nearly 10k near-duplicate images collected from viral web content. Experiments on several state-of-the-art detectors show that our quality-aware fusion improves their performance consistently, with an average gain of around 8% in terms of balanced accuracy compared to plain average. Our results highlight the importance of jointly processing all the images available online to achieve reliable detection of AI-generated content in real-world applications. Code and data are publicly available at https://grip-unina.github.io/QuAD/

YieldSAT: A Multimodal Benchmark Dataset for High-Resolution Crop Yield Prediction

Crop yield prediction requires substantial data to train scalable models. However, creating yield prediction datasets is constrained by high acquisition costs, heterogeneous data quality, and data privacy regulations. Consequently, existing datasets are scarce, low in quality, or limited to regional levels or single crop types, hindering the development of scalable data-driven solutions. In this work, we release YieldSAT, a large, high-quality, and multimodal dataset for high-resolution crop yield prediction. YieldSAT spans various climate zones across multiple countries, including Argentina, Brazil, Uruguay, and Germany, and includes major crop types, including corn, rapeseed, soybeans, and wheat, across 2,173 expert-curated fields. In total, over 12.2 million yield samples are available, each with a spatial resolution of 10 m. Each field is paired with multispectral satellite imagery, resulting in 113,555 labeled satellite images, complemented by auxiliary environmental data. We demonstrate the potential of large-scale and high-resolution crop yield prediction as a pixel regression task by comparing various deep learning models and data fusion architectures. Furthermore, we highlight open challenges arising from severe distribution shifts in the ground truth data under real-world conditions. To mitigate this, we explore a domain-informed Deep Ensemble approach that exhibits significant performance gains. The dataset is available at https://yieldsat.github.io/.

A Comparative Study of Modern Object Detectors for Robust Apple Detection in Orchard Imagery

Accurate apple detection in orchard images is important for yield prediction, fruit counting, robotic harvesting, and crop monitoring. However, changing illumination, leaf clutter, dense fruit clusters, and partial occlusion make detection difficult. To provide a fair and reproducible comparison, this study establishes a controlled benchmark for single-class apple detection on the public AppleBBCH81 dataset using one deterministic train, validation, and test split and a unified evaluation protocol across six representative detectors: YOLOv10n, YOLO11n, RT-DETR-L, Faster R-CNN (ResNet50-FPN), FCOS (ResNet50-FPN), and SSDLite320 (MobileNetV3-Large). Performance is evaluated primarily using COCO-style mAP@0.5 and mAP@0.5:0.95, and threshold-dependent behavior is further analyzed using precision-recall curves and fixed-threshold precision, recall, and F1-score at IoU = 0.5. On the validation split, YOLO11n achieves the best strict localization performance with mAP@0.5:0.95 = 0.6065 and mAP@0.5 = 0.9620, followed closely by RT-DETR-L and YOLOv10n. At a fixed operating point with confidence >= 0.05, YOLOv10n attains the highest F1-score, whereas RT-DETR-L achieves very high recall but low precision because of many false positives at low confidence. These findings show that detector selection for orchard deployment should be guided not only by localization-aware accuracy but also by threshold robustness and the requirements of the downstream task.

Dual-Modality Anchor-Guided Filtering for Test-time Prompt Tuning

Test-Time Prompt Tuning (TPT) adapts vision-language models using augmented views, but its effectiveness is hindered by the challenge of determining which views are beneficial. Standard entropy-based filtering relies on the internal confidence scores of the model, which are often miscalibrated under distribution shift, assigning high confidence to irrelevant crops or background regions while ignoring semantic content. To address this, we propose a dual-modality anchor-guided framework that grounds view selection in semantic evidence. We introduce a text anchor from attribute-rich descriptions, to provide fine-grained class semantics, and an adaptive image anchor that captures evolving test-time statistics. Using these anchors, we filter views based on alignment and confidence, ensuring that only informative views guide adaptation. Moreover, we treat the anchors as auxiliary predictive heads and combine their predictions with the original output in a confidence-weighted ensemble, yielding a stable supervision signal for prompt updates. Extensive experiments on 15 benchmark datasets demonstrate new state-of-the-art performance, highlighting the contribution of anchor-guided supervision as a foundation for robust prompt updates.

Efficient KernelSHAP Explanations for Patch-based 3D Medical Image Segmentation

Perturbation-based explainability methods such as KernelSHAP provide model-agnostic attributions but are typically impractical for patch-based 3D medical image segmentation due to the large number of coalition evaluations and the high cost of sliding-window inference. We present an efficient KernelSHAP framework for volumetric CT segmentation that restricts computation to a user-defined region of interest and its receptive-field support, and accelerates inference via patch logit caching, reusing baseline predictions for unaffected patches while preserving nnU-Net's fusion scheme. To enable clinically meaningful attributions, we compare three automatically generated feature abstractions within the receptive-field crop: whole-organ units, regular FCC supervoxels, and hybrid organ-aware supervoxels, and we study multiple aggregation/value functions targeting stabilizing evidence (TP/Dice/Soft Dice) or false-positive behavior. Experiments on whole-body CT segmentations show that caching substantially reduces redundant computation (with computational savings ranging from 15% to 30%) and that faithfulness and interpretability exhibit clear trade-offs: regular supervoxels often maximize perturbation-based metrics but lack anatomical alignment, whereas organ-aware units yield more clinically interpretable explanations and are particularly effective for highlighting false-positive drivers under normalized metrics.

Seeing the Evidence, Missing the Answer: Tool-Guided Vision-Language Models on Visual Illusions

Vision-language models (VLMs) exhibit a systematic bias when confronted with classic optical illusions: they overwhelmingly predict the illusion as "real" regardless of whether the image has been counterfactually modified. We present a tool-guided inference framework for the DataCV 2026 Challenge (Tasks I and II) that addresses this failure mode without any model training. An off-the-shelf vision-language model is given access to a small set of generic image manipulation tools: line drawing, region cropping, side-by-side comparison, and channel isolation, together with an illusion-type-routing system prompt that prescribes which tools to invoke for each perceptual question category. Critically, every tool call produces a new, immutable image resource appended to a persistent registry, so the model can reference and compose any prior annotated view throughout its reasoning chain. Rather than hard-coding illusion-specific modules, this generic-tool-plus-routing design yields strong cross-structural generalization: performance remained consistent from the validation set to a test set containing structurally unfamiliar illusion variants (e.g., Mach Bands rotated from vertical to horizontal stacking). We further report three empirical observations that we believe warrant additional investigation: (i) a strong positive-detection bias likely rooted in imbalanced illusion training data, (ii) a striking dissociation between pixel-accurate spatial reasoning and logical inference over self-generated annotations, and (iii) pronounced sensitivity to image compression artifacts that compounds false positives.