Dual Lagrangian Learning for Conic Optimization

This paper presents Dual Lagrangian Learning (DLL), a principled learning methodology that combines conic duality theory with the representation power of ML models. DLL leverages conic duality to provide dual-feasible solutions, and therefore valid Lagrangian dual bounds, for parametric linear and nonlinear conic optimization problems. The paper introduces differentiable conic projection layers, a systematic dual completion procedure, and a self-supervised learning framework. The effectiveness of DLL is demonstrated on linear and nonlinear parametric optimization problems for which DLL provides valid dual bounds within 0.5% of optimality.

Dual Interior-Point Optimization Learning

This paper introduces Dual Interior Point Learning (DIPL) and Dual Supergradient Learning (DSL) to learn dual feasible solutions to parametric linear programs with bounded variables, which are pervasive across many industries. DIPL mimics a novel dual interior point algorithm while DSL mimics classical dual supergradient ascent. DIPL and DSL ensure dual feasibility by predicting dual variables associated with the constraints then exploiting the flexibility of the duals of the bound constraints. DIPL and DSL complement existing primal learning methods by providing a certificate of quality. They are shown to produce high-fidelity dual-feasible solutions to large-scale optimal power flow problems providing valid dual bounds under 0.5% optimality gap.

Learning Optimal Power Flow Value Functions with Input-Convex Neural Networks

The Optimal Power Flow (OPF) problem is integral to the functioning of power systems, aiming to optimize generation dispatch while adhering to technical and operational constraints. These constraints are far from straightforward; they involve intricate, non-convex considerations related to Alternating Current (AC) power flow, which are essential for the safety and practicality of electrical grids. However, solving the OPF problem for varying conditions within stringent time frames poses practical challenges. To address this, operators resort to model simplifications of varying accuracy. Unfortunately, better approximations (tight convex relaxations) are often computationally intractable. This research explores machine learning (ML) to learn convex approximate solutions for faster analysis in the online setting while still allowing for coupling into other convex dependent decision problems. By trading off a small amount of accuracy for substantial gains in speed, they enable the efficient exploration of vast solution spaces in these complex problems.

Dual Conic Proxies for AC Optimal Power Flow

In recent years, there has been significant interest in the development of machine learning-based optimization proxies for AC Optimal Power Flow (AC-OPF). Although significant progress has been achieved in predicting high-quality primal solutions, no existing learning-based approach can provide valid dual bounds for AC-OPF. This paper addresses this gap by training optimization proxies for a convex relaxation of AC-OPF. Namely, the paper considers a second-order cone (SOC) relaxation of ACOPF, and proposes a novel dual architecture that embeds a fast, differentiable (dual) feasibility recovery, thus providing valid dual bounds. The paper combines this new architecture with a self-supervised learning scheme, which alleviates the need for costly training data generation. Extensive numerical experiments on medium- and large-scale power grids demonstrate the efficiency and scalability of the proposed methodology.

Asset Bundling for Wind Power Forecasting

The growing penetration of intermittent, renewable generation in US power grids, especially wind and solar generation, results in increased operational uncertainty. In that context, accurate forecasts are critical, especially for wind generation, which exhibits large variability and is historically harder to predict. To overcome this challenge, this work proposes a novel Bundle-Predict-Reconcile (BPR) framework that integrates asset bundling, machine learning, and forecast reconciliation techniques. The BPR framework first learns an intermediate hierarchy level (the bundles), then predicts wind power at the asset, bundle, and fleet level, and finally reconciles all forecasts to ensure consistency. This approach effectively introduces an auxiliary learning task (predicting the bundle-level time series) to help the main learning tasks. The paper also introduces new asset-bundling criteria that capture the spatio-temporal dynamics of wind power time series. Extensive numerical experiments are conducted on an industry-size dataset of 283 wind farms in the MISO footprint. The experiments consider short-term and day-ahead forecasts, and evaluates a large variety of forecasting models that include weather predictions as covariates. The results demonstrate the benefits of BPR, which consistently and significantly improves forecast accuracy over baselines, especially at the fleet level.

End-to-End Feasible Optimization Proxies for Large-Scale Economic Dispatch

The paper proposes a novel End-to-End Learning and Repair (E2ELR) architecture for training optimization proxies for economic dispatch problems. E2ELR combines deep neural networks with closed-form, differentiable repair layers, thereby integrating learning and feasibility in an end-to-end fashion. E2ELR is also trained with self-supervised learning, removing the need for labeled data and the solving of numerous optimization problems offline. E2ELR is evaluated on industry-size power grids with tens of thousands of buses using an economic dispatch that co-optimizes energy and reserves. The results demonstrate that the self-supervised E2ELR achieves state-of-the-art performance, with optimality gaps that outperform other baselines by at least an order of magnitude.

Confidence-Aware Graph Neural Networks for Learning Reliability Assessment Commitments

Reliability Assessment Commitment (RAC) Optimization is increasingly important in grid operations due to larger shares of renewable generations in the generation mix and increased prediction errors. Independent System Operators (ISOs) also aim at using finer time granularities, longer time horizons, and possibly stochastic formulations for additional economic and reliability benefits. The goal of this paper is to address the computational challenges arising in extending the scope of RAC formulations. It presents RACLEARN that (1) uses Graph Neural Networks (GNN) to predict generator commitments and active line constraints, (2) associates a confidence value to each commitment prediction, (3) selects a subset of the high-confidence predictions, which are (4) repaired for feasibility, and (5) seeds a state-of-the-art optimization algorithm with the feasible predictions and the active constraints. Experimental results on exact RAC formulations used by the Midcontinent Independent System Operator (MISO) and an actual transmission network (8965 transmission lines, 6708 buses, 1890 generators, and 6262 load units) show that the RACLEARN framework can speed up RAC optimization by factors ranging from 2 to 4 with negligible loss in solution quality.

Just-In-Time Learning for Operational Risk Assessment in Power Grids

In a grid with a significant share of renewable generation, operators will need additional tools to evaluate the operational risk due to the increased volatility in load and generation. The computational requirements of the forward uncertainty propagation problem, which must solve numerous security-constrained economic dispatch (SCED) optimizations, is a major barrier for such real-time risk assessment. This paper proposes a Just-In-Time Risk Assessment Learning Framework (JITRALF) as an alternative. JITRALF trains risk surrogates, one for each hour in the day, using Machine Learning (ML) to predict the quantities needed to estimate risk, without explicitly solving the SCED problem. This significantly reduces the computational burden of the forward uncertainty propagation and allows for fast, real-time risk estimation. The paper also proposes a novel, asymmetric loss function and shows that models trained using the asymmetric loss perform better than those using symmetric loss functions. JITRALF is evaluated on the French transmission system for assessing the risk of insufficient operating reserves, the risk of load shedding, and the expected operating cost.

Active Bucketized Learning for ACOPF Optimization Proxies

This paper considers optimization proxies for Optimal Power Flow (OPF), i.e., machine-learning models that approximate the input/output relationship of OPF. Recent work has focused on showing that such proxies can be of high fidelity. However, their training requires significant data, each instance necessitating the (offline) solving of an OPF for a sample of the input distribution. To meet the requirements of market-clearing applications, this paper proposes Active Bucketized Sampling (ABS), a novel active learning framework that aims at training the best possible OPF proxy within a time limit. ABS partitions the input distribution into buckets and uses an acquisition function to determine where to sample next. It relies on an adaptive learning rate that increases and decreases over time. Experimental results demonstrate the benefits of ABS.

Learning Regionally Decentralized AC Optimal Power Flows with ADMM

One potential future for the next generation of smart grids is the use of decentralized optimization algorithms and secured communications for coordinating renewable generation (e.g., wind/solar), dispatchable devices (e.g., coal/gas/nuclear generations), demand response, battery & storage facilities, and topology optimization. The Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM) has been widely used in the community to address such decentralized optimization problems and, in particular, the AC Optimal Power Flow (AC-OPF). This paper studies how machine learning may help in speeding up the convergence of ADMM for solving AC-OPF. It proposes a novel decentralized machine-learning approach, namely ML-ADMM, where each agent uses deep learning to learn the consensus parameters on the coupling branches. The paper also explores the idea of learning only from ADMM runs that exhibit high-quality convergence properties, and proposes filtering mechanisms to select these runs. Experimental results on test cases based on the French system demonstrate the potential of the approach in speeding up the convergence of ADMM significantly.