BEACON: A Bayesian Optimization Strategy for Novelty Search in Expensive Black-Box Systems

Novelty search (NS) refers to a class of exploration algorithms that automatically uncover diverse system behaviors through simulations or experiments. Systematically obtaining diverse outcomes is a key component in many real-world design problems such as material and drug discovery, neural architecture search, reinforcement learning, and robot navigation. Since the relationship between the inputs and outputs (i.e., behaviors) of these complex systems is typically not available in closed form, NS requires a black-box perspective. Consequently, popular NS algorithms rely on evolutionary optimization and other meta-heuristics that require intensive sampling of the input space, which is impractical when the system is expensive to evaluate. We propose a Bayesian optimization inspired algorithm for sample-efficient NS that is specifically designed for such expensive black-box systems. Our approach models the input-to-behavior mapping with multi-output Gaussian processes (MOGP) and selects the next point to evaluate by maximizing a novelty metric that depends on a posterior sample drawn from the MOGP that promotes both exploration and exploitation. By leveraging advances in efficient posterior sampling and high-dimensional Gaussian process modeling, we discuss how our approach can be made scalable with respect to both amount of data and number of inputs. We test our approach on ten synthetic benchmark problems and eight real-world problems (with up to 2133 inputs) including new applications such as discovery of diverse metal organic frameworks for use in clean energy technology. We show that our approach greatly outperforms existing NS algorithms by finding substantially larger sets of diverse behaviors under limited sample budgets.

BO4IO: A Bayesian optimization approach to inverse optimization with uncertainty quantification

This work addresses data-driven inverse optimization (IO), where the goal is to estimate unknown parameters in an optimization model from observed decisions that can be assumed to be optimal or near-optimal solutions to the optimization problem. The IO problem is commonly formulated as a large-scale bilevel program that is notoriously difficult to solve. Deviating from traditional exact solution methods, we propose a derivative-free optimization approach based on Bayesian optimization, which we call BO4IO, to solve general IO problems. We treat the IO loss function as a black box and approximate it with a Gaussian process model. Using the predicted posterior function, an acquisition function is minimized at each iteration to query new candidate solutions and sequentially converge to the optimal parameter estimates. The main advantages of using Bayesian optimization for IO are two-fold: (i) it circumvents the need of complex reformulations of the bilevel program or specialized algorithms and can hence enable computational tractability even when the underlying optimization problem is nonconvex or involves discrete variables, and (ii) it allows approximations of the profile likelihood, which provide uncertainty quantification on the IO parameter estimates. We apply the proposed method to three computational case studies, covering different classes of forward optimization problems ranging from convex nonlinear to nonconvex mixed-integer nonlinear programs. Our extensive computational results demonstrate the efficacy and robustness of BO4IO to accurately estimate unknown model parameters from small and noisy datasets. In addition, the proposed profile likelihood analysis has proven to be effective in providing good approximations of the confidence intervals on the parameter estimates and assessing the identifiability of the unknown parameters.

CAGES: Cost-Aware Gradient Entropy Search for Efficient Local Multi-Fidelity Bayesian Optimization

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a popular approach for optimizing expensive-to-evaluate black-box objective functions. An important challenge in BO is its application to high-dimensional search spaces due in large part to the curse of dimensionality. One way to overcome this challenge is to focus on local BO methods that aim to efficiently learn gradients, which have shown strong empirical performance on a variety of high-dimensional problems including policy search in reinforcement learning (RL). However, current local BO methods assume access to only a single high-fidelity information source whereas, in many engineering and control problems, one has access to multiple cheaper approximations of the objective. We propose a novel algorithm, Cost-Aware Gradient Entropy Search (CAGES), for local BO of multi-fidelity black-box functions. CAGES makes no assumption about the relationship between different information sources, making it more flexible than other multi-fidelity methods. It also employs a new type of information-theoretic acquisition function, which enables systematic identification of samples that maximize the information gain about the unknown gradient per cost of the evaluation. We demonstrate CAGES can achieve significant performance improvements compared to other state-of-the-art methods on a variety of synthetic and benchmark RL problems.

Bayesian optimization as a flexible and efficient design framework for sustainable process systems

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful technology for optimizing noisy expensive-to-evaluate black-box functions, with a broad range of real-world applications in science, engineering, economics, manufacturing, and beyond. In this paper, we provide an overview of recent developments, challenges, and opportunities in BO for design of next-generation process systems. After describing several motivating applications, we discuss how advanced BO methods have been developed to more efficiently tackle important problems in these applications. We conclude the paper with a summary of challenges and opportunities related to improving the quality of the probabilistic model, the choice of internal optimization procedure used to select the next sample point, and the exploitation of problem structure to improve sample efficiency.

Accelerating Black-Box Molecular Property Optimization by Adaptively Learning Sparse Subspaces

Molecular property optimization (MPO) problems are inherently challenging since they are formulated over discrete, unstructured spaces and the labeling process involves expensive simulations or experiments, which fundamentally limits the amount of available data. Bayesian optimization (BO) is a powerful and popular framework for efficient optimization of noisy, black-box objective functions (e.g., measured property values), thus is a potentially attractive framework for MPO. To apply BO to MPO problems, one must select a structured molecular representation that enables construction of a probabilistic surrogate model. Many molecular representations have been developed, however, they are all high-dimensional, which introduces important challenges in the BO process -- mainly because the curse of dimensionality makes it difficult to define and perform inference over a suitable class of surrogate models. This challenge has been recently addressed by learning a lower-dimensional encoding of a SMILE or graph representation of a molecule in an unsupervised manner and then performing BO in the encoded space. In this work, we show that such methods have a tendency to "get stuck," which we hypothesize occurs since the mapping from the encoded space to property values is not necessarily well-modeled by a Gaussian process. We argue for an alternative approach that combines numerical molecular descriptors with a sparse axis-aligned Gaussian process model, which is capable of rapidly identifying sparse subspaces that are most relevant to modeling the unknown property function. We demonstrate that our proposed method substantially outperforms existing MPO methods on a variety of benchmark and real-world problems. Specifically, we show that our method can routinely find near-optimal molecules out of a set of more than $>100$k alternatives within 100 or fewer expensive queries.

Physics-Informed Machine Learning for Modeling and Control of Dynamical Systems

Physics-informed machine learning (PIML) is a set of methods and tools that systematically integrate machine learning (ML) algorithms with physical constraints and abstract mathematical models developed in scientific and engineering domains. As opposed to purely data-driven methods, PIML models can be trained from additional information obtained by enforcing physical laws such as energy and mass conservation. More broadly, PIML models can include abstract properties and conditions such as stability, convexity, or invariance. The basic premise of PIML is that the integration of ML and physics can yield more effective, physically consistent, and data-efficient models. This paper aims to provide a tutorial-like overview of the recent advances in PIML for dynamical system modeling and control. Specifically, the paper covers an overview of the theory, fundamental concepts and methods, tools, and applications on topics of: 1) physics-informed learning for system identification; 2) physics-informed learning for control; 3) analysis and verification of PIML models; and 4) physics-informed digital twins. The paper is concluded with a perspective on open challenges and future research opportunities.

No-Regret Constrained Bayesian Optimization of Noisy and Expensive Hybrid Models using Differentiable Quantile Function Approximations

This paper investigates the problem of efficient constrained global optimization of composite functions (hybrid models) whose input is an expensive black-box function with vector-valued outputs and noisy observations, which often arises in real-world science, engineering, manufacturing, and control applications. We propose a novel algorithm, Constrained Upper Quantile Bound (CUQB), to solve such problems that directly exploits the composite structure of the objective and constraint functions that we show leads substantially improved sampling efficiency. CUQB is conceptually simple and avoids the constraint approximations used by previous methods. Although the CUQB acquisition function is not available in closed form, we propose a novel differentiable stochastic approximation that enables it to be efficiently maximized. We further derive bounds on the cumulative regret and constraint violation. Since these bounds depend sublinearly on the number of iterations under some regularity assumptions, we establish explicit bounds on the convergence rate to the optimal solution of the original constrained problem. In contrast to existing methods, CUQB further incorporates a simple infeasibility detection scheme, which we prove triggers in a finite number of iterations (with high probability) when the original problem is infeasible. Numerical experiments on several test problems, including environmental model calibration and real-time reactor optimization, show that CUQB significantly outperforms traditional Bayesian optimization in both constrained and unconstrained cases. Furthermore, compared to other state-of-the-art methods that exploit composite structure, CUQB achieves competitive empirical performance while also providing substantially improved theoretical guarantees.

Stochastic Physics-Informed Neural Networks (SPINN): A Moment-Matching Framework for Learning Hidden Physics within Stochastic Differential Equations

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are used to describe a wide variety of complex stochastic dynamical systems. Learning the hidden physics within SDEs is crucial for unraveling fundamental understanding of the stochastic and nonlinear behavior of these systems. We propose a flexible and scalable framework for training deep neural networks to learn constitutive equations that represent hidden physics within SDEs. The proposed stochastic physics-informed neural network framework (SPINN) relies on uncertainty propagation and moment-matching techniques along with state-of-the-art deep learning strategies. SPINN first propagates stochasticity through the known structure of the SDE (i.e., the known physics) to predict the time evolution of statistical moments of the stochastic states. SPINN learns (deep) neural network representations of the hidden physics by matching the predicted moments to those estimated from data. Recent advances in automatic differentiation and mini-batch gradient descent are leveraged to establish the unknown parameters of the neural networks. We demonstrate SPINN on three benchmark in-silico case studies and analyze the framework's robustness and numerical stability. SPINN provides a promising new direction for systematically unraveling the hidden physics of multivariate stochastic dynamical systems with multiplicative noise.