Knowledge Is Not Static: Order-Aware Hypergraph RAG for Language Models

Retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) enhances large language models by grounding outputs in retrieved knowledge. However, existing RAG methods including graph- and hypergraph-based approaches treat retrieved evidence as an unordered set, implicitly assuming permutation invariance. This assumption is misaligned with many real-world reasoning tasks, where outcomes depend not only on which interactions occur, but also on the order in which they unfold. We propose Order-Aware Knowledge Hypergraph RAG (OKH-RAG), which treats order as a first-class structural property. OKH-RAG represents knowledge as higher-order interactions within a hypergraph augmented with precedence structure, and reformulates retrieval as sequence inference over hyperedges. Instead of selecting independent facts, it recovers coherent interaction trajectories that reflect underlying reasoning processes. A learned transition model infers precedence directly from data without requiring explicit temporal supervision. We evaluate OKH-RAG on order-sensitive question answering and explanation tasks, including tropical cyclone and port operation scenarios. OKH-RAG consistently outperforms permutation-invariant baselines, and ablations show that these gains arise specifically from modeling interaction order. These results highlight a key limitation of set-based retrieval: effective reasoning requires not only retrieving relevant evidence, but organizing it into structured sequences.

How Independent are Large Language Models? A Statistical Framework for Auditing Behavioral Entanglement and Reweighting Verifier Ensembles

The rapid growth of the large language model (LLM) ecosystem raises a critical question: are seemingly diverse models truly independent? Shared pretraining data, distillation, and alignment pipelines can induce hidden behavioral dependencies, latent entanglement, that undermine multi-model systems such as LLM-as-a-judge pipelines and ensemble verification, which implicitly assume independent signals. In practice, this manifests as correlated reasoning patterns and synchronized failures, where apparent agreement reflects shared error modes rather than independent validation. To address this, we develop a statistical framework for auditing behavioral entanglement among black-box LLMs. Our approach introduces a multi-resolution hierarchy that characterizes the joint failure manifold through two information-theoretic metrics: (i) a Difficulty-Weighted Behavioral Entanglement Index, which amplifies synchronized failures on easy tasks, and (ii) a Cumulative Information Gain (CIG) metric, which captures directional alignment in erroneous responses. Through extensive experiments on 18 LLMs from six model families, we identify widespread behavioral entanglement and analyze its impact on LLM-as-a-judge evaluation. We find that CIG exhibits a statistically significant association with degradation in judge precision, with Spearman coefficient of 0.64 (p < 0.001) for GPT-4o-mini and 0.71 (p < 0.01) for Llama3-based judges, indicating that stronger dependency corresponds to increased over-endorsement bias. Finally, we demonstrate a practical use case of entanglement through de-entangled verifier ensemble reweighting. By adjusting model contributions based on inferred independence, the proposed method mitigates correlated bias and improves verification performance, achieving up to a 4.5% accuracy gain over majority voting.

Simulating the Unseen: Crash Prediction Must Learn from What Did Not Happen

Traffic safety science has long been hindered by a fundamental data paradox: the crashes we most wish to prevent are precisely those events we rarely observe. Existing crash-frequency models and surrogate safety metrics rely heavily on sparse, noisy, and under-reported records, while even sophisticated, high-fidelity simulations undersample the long-tailed situations that trigger catastrophic outcomes such as fatalities. We argue that the path to achieving Vision Zero, i.e., the complete elimination of traffic fatalities and severe injuries, requires a paradigm shift from traditional crash-only learning to a new form of counterfactual safety learning: reasoning not only about what happened, but also about the vast set of plausible yet perilous scenarios that could have happened under slightly different circumstances. To operationalize this shift, our proposed agenda bridges macro to micro. Guided by crash-rate priors, generative scene engines, diverse driver models, and causal learning, near-miss events are synthesized and explained. A crash-focused digital twin testbed links micro scenes to macro patterns, while a multi-objective validator ensures that simulations maintain statistical realism. This pipeline transforms sparse crash data into rich signals for crash prediction, enabling the stress-testing of vehicles, roads, and policies before deployment. By learning from crashes that almost happened, we can shift traffic safety from reactive forensics to proactive prevention, advancing Vision Zero.

NuScenes-SpatialQA: A Spatial Understanding and Reasoning Benchmark for Vision-Language Models in Autonomous Driving

Recent advancements in Vision-Language Models (VLMs) have demonstrated strong potential for autonomous driving tasks. However, their spatial understanding and reasoning-key capabilities for autonomous driving-still exhibit significant limitations. Notably, none of the existing benchmarks systematically evaluate VLMs' spatial reasoning capabilities in driving scenarios. To fill this gap, we propose NuScenes-SpatialQA, the first large-scale ground-truth-based Question-Answer (QA) benchmark specifically designed to evaluate the spatial understanding and reasoning capabilities of VLMs in autonomous driving. Built upon the NuScenes dataset, the benchmark is constructed through an automated 3D scene graph generation pipeline and a QA generation pipeline. The benchmark systematically evaluates VLMs' performance in both spatial understanding and reasoning across multiple dimensions. Using this benchmark, we conduct extensive experiments on diverse VLMs, including both general and spatial-enhanced models, providing the first comprehensive evaluation of their spatial capabilities in autonomous driving. Surprisingly, the experimental results show that the spatial-enhanced VLM outperforms in qualitative QA but does not demonstrate competitiveness in quantitative QA. In general, VLMs still face considerable challenges in spatial understanding and reasoning.