Abstract:Causal discovery from observational tabular data remains fundamentally challenging, primarily due to the heterogeneity of underlying causal mechanisms and the high-dimensional combinatorial search space of Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs). In this paper, we propose \textbf{DAG-FM}, a novel foundation model architecture that amortizes causal discovery. Unlike direct matrix prediction, DAG-FM decomposes the causal discovery process into two auto-regressive stages using two specialized Transformer-based sub-modules: a leaf-node predictor and a parent-node predictor. To effectively model complex row-column interactions, we adopt a robust tabular interaction block to output feature-wise representations. Crucially, to handle diverse and unknown Functional Causal Model (FCM) assumptions in real-world scenarios, we introduce Mixture-of-Leaf-Experts (MoLE), allowing the model to dynamically route and adapt to identifiable mechanism families. Through an iterative inference algorithm, DAG-FM seamlessly extracts causal orderings and constructs valid DAGs. Extensive experiments demonstrate that DAG-FM achieves state-of-the-art performance on both synthetic benchmarks and complex real-world datasets, significantly outperforming traditional classical algorithms and recent foundation models in both accuracy and scalability.
Abstract:Causal discovery is critical for understanding complex data-generating mechanisms, yet traditional algorithms often struggle with highly non-linear and noisy systems, or suffer from severe computational bottlenecks. Recent tabular foundation models based on Prior-Data Fitted Networks (PFNs) have demonstrated remarkable zero-shot inference capabilities, but their potential for explicit structural causal discovery remains underexplored. To bridge this gap, we propose DCD-PFN, a decoupling-aware foundation model for causal discovery. Instead of directly amortizing global graph reconstruction, DCD-PFN focuses on local causal discovery through a decoupling-based paradigm. Through pre-training on diverse synthetic Structural Causal Models (SCMs), the model learns sample-wise decoupling weights that enable Markov boundary (MB) identification. Furthermore, by leveraging parallelized local discovery, DCD-PFN efficiently reconstructs global causal graphs while remaining grounded in the theoretical foundations of decoupling-based causal discovery. Experiments demonstrate that our foundation model achieves robust zero-shot generalization.