Predicting Outcomes in Video Games with Long Short Term Memory Networks

Forecasting winners in E-sports with real-time analytics has the potential to further engage audiences watching major tournament events. However, making such real-time predictions is challenging due to unpredictable variables within the game involving diverse player strategies and decision-making. Our work attempts to enhance audience engagement within video game tournaments by introducing a real-time method of predicting wins. Our Long Short Term Memory Network (LSTMs) based approach enables efficient predictions of win-lose outcomes by only using the health indicator of each player as a time series. As a proof of concept, we evaluate our model's performance within a classic, two-player arcade game, Super Street Fighter II Turbo. We also benchmark our method against state of the art methods for time series forecasting; i.e. Transformer models found in large language models (LLMs). Finally, we open-source our data set and code in hopes of furthering work in predictive analysis for arcade games.

Nodule detection and generation on chest X-rays: NODE21 Challenge

Pulmonary nodules may be an early manifestation of lung cancer, the leading cause of cancer-related deaths among both men and women. Numerous studies have established that deep learning methods can yield high-performance levels in the detection of lung nodules in chest X-rays. However, the lack of gold-standard public datasets slows down the progression of the research and prevents benchmarking of methods for this task. To address this, we organized a public research challenge, NODE21, aimed at the detection and generation of lung nodules in chest X-rays. While the detection track assesses state-of-the-art nodule detection systems, the generation track determines the utility of nodule generation algorithms to augment training data and hence improve the performance of the detection systems. This paper summarizes the results of the NODE21 challenge and performs extensive additional experiments to examine the impact of the synthetically generated nodule training images on the detection algorithm performance.

A Comparative Study of Open-Source Large Language Models, GPT-4 and Claude 2: Multiple-Choice Test Taking in Nephrology

In recent years, there have been significant breakthroughs in the field of natural language processing, particularly with the development of large language models (LLMs). These LLMs have showcased remarkable capabilities on various benchmarks. In the healthcare field, the exact role LLMs and other future AI models will play remains unclear. There is a potential for these models in the future to be used as part of adaptive physician training, medical co-pilot applications, and digital patient interaction scenarios. The ability of AI models to participate in medical training and patient care will depend in part on their mastery of the knowledge content of specific medical fields. This study investigated the medical knowledge capability of LLMs, specifically in the context of internal medicine subspecialty multiple-choice test-taking ability. We compared the performance of several open-source LLMs (Koala 7B, Falcon 7B, Stable-Vicuna 13B, and Orca Mini 13B), to GPT-4 and Claude 2 on multiple-choice questions in the field of Nephrology. Nephrology was chosen as an example of a particularly conceptually complex subspecialty field within internal medicine. The study was conducted to evaluate the ability of LLM models to provide correct answers to nephSAP (Nephrology Self-Assessment Program) multiple-choice questions. The overall success of open-sourced LLMs in answering the 858 nephSAP multiple-choice questions correctly was 17.1% - 25.5%. In contrast, Claude 2 answered 54.4% of the questions correctly, whereas GPT-4 achieved a score of 73.3%. We show that current widely used open-sourced LLMs do poorly in their ability for zero-shot reasoning when compared to GPT-4 and Claude 2. The findings of this study potentially have significant implications for the future of subspecialty medical training and patient care.

BERTHop: An Effective Vision-and-Language Model for Chest X-ray Disease Diagnosis

Vision-and-language(V&L) models take image and text as input and learn to capture the associations between them. Prior studies show that pre-trained V&L models can significantly improve the model performance for downstream tasks such as Visual Question Answering (VQA). However, V&L models are less effective when applied in the medical domain (e.g., on X-ray images and clinical notes) due to the domain gap. In this paper, we investigate the challenges of applying pre-trained V&L models in medical applications. In particular, we identify that the visual representation in general V&L models is not suitable for processing medical data. To overcome this limitation, we propose BERTHop, a transformer-based model based on PixelHop++ and VisualBERT, for better capturing the associations between the two modalities. Experiments on the OpenI dataset, a commonly used thoracic disease diagnosis benchmark, show that BERTHop achieves an average Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 98.12% which is 1.62% higher than state-of-the-art (SOTA) while it is trained on a 9 times smaller dataset.

Intra-Domain Task-Adaptive Transfer Learning to Determine Acute Ischemic Stroke Onset Time

Treatment of acute ischemic strokes (AIS) is largely contingent upon the time since stroke onset (TSS). However, TSS may not be readily available in up to 25% of patients with unwitnessed AIS. Current clinical guidelines for patients with unknown TSS recommend the use of MRI to determine eligibility for thrombolysis, but radiology assessments have high inter-reader variability. In this work, we present deep learning models that leverage MRI diffusion series to classify TSS based on clinically validated thresholds. We propose an intra-domain task-adaptive transfer learning method, which involves training a model on an easier clinical task (stroke detection) and then refining the model with different binary thresholds of TSS. We apply this approach to both 2D and 3D CNN architectures with our top model achieving an ROC-AUC value of 0.74, with a sensitivity of 0.70 and a specificity of 0.81 for classifying TSS < 4.5 hours. Our pretrained models achieve better classification metrics than the models trained from scratch, and these metrics exceed those of previously published models applied to our dataset. Furthermore, our pipeline accommodates a more inclusive patient cohort than previous work, as we did not exclude imaging studies based on clinical, demographic, or image processing criteria. When applied to this broad spectrum of patients, our deep learning model achieves an overall accuracy of 75.78% when classifying TSS < 4.5 hours, carrying potential therapeutic implications for patients with unknown TSS.

Conditional GAN for Prediction of Glaucoma Progression with Macular Optical Coherence Tomography

The estimation of glaucoma progression is a challenging task as the rate of disease progression varies among individuals in addition to other factors such as measurement variability and the lack of standardization in defining progression. Structural tests, such as thickness measurements of the retinal nerve fiber layer or the macula with optical coherence tomography (OCT), are able to detect anatomical changes in glaucomatous eyes. Such changes may be observed before any functional damage. In this work, we built a generative deep learning model using the conditional GAN architecture to predict glaucoma progression over time. The patient's OCT scan is predicted from three or two prior measurements. The predicted images demonstrate high similarity with the ground truth images. In addition, our results suggest that OCT scans obtained from only two prior visits may actually be sufficient to predict the next OCT scan of the patient after six months.

Prostate cancer inference via weakly-supervised learning using a large collection of negative MRI

Recent advances in medical imaging techniques have led to significant improvements in the management of prostate cancer (PCa). In particular, multi-parametric MRI (mp-MRI) continues to gain clinical acceptance as the preferred imaging technique for non-invasive detection and grading of PCa. However, the machine learning-based diagnosis systems for PCa are often constrained by the limited access to accurate lesion ground truth annotations for training. The performance of the machine learning system is highly dependable on both quality and quantity of lesion annotations associated with histopathologic findings, resulting in limited scalability and clinical validation. Here, we propose the baseline MRI model to alternatively learn the appearance of mp-MRI using radiology-confirmed negative MRI cases via weakly supervised learning. Since PCa lesions are case-specific and highly heterogeneous, it is assumed to be challenging to synthesize PCa lesions using the baseline MRI model, while it would be relatively easier to synthesize the normal appearance in mp-MRI. We then utilize the baseline MRI model to infer the pixel-wise suspiciousness of PCa by comparing the original and synthesized MRI with two distance functions. We trained and validated the baseline MRI model using 1,145 negative prostate mp-MRI scans. For evaluation, we used separated 232 mp-MRI scans, consisting of both positive and negative MRI cases. The 116 positive MRI scans were annotated by radiologists, confirmed with post-surgical whole-gland specimens. The suspiciousness map was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis for PCa lesions versus non-PCa regions classification and free-response receiver operating characteristic (FROC) analysis for PCa localization. Our proposed method achieved 0.84 area under the ROC curve and 77.0% sensitivity at one false positive per patient in FROC analysis.

Synthetic Perfusion Maps: Imaging Perfusion Deficits in DSC-MRI with Deep Learning

In this work, we present a novel convolutional neural net- work based method for perfusion map generation in dynamic suscepti- bility contrast-enhanced perfusion imaging. The proposed architecture is trained end-to-end and solely relies on raw perfusion data for inference. We used a dataset of 151 acute ischemic stroke cases for evaluation. Our method generates perfusion maps that are comparable to the target maps used for clinical routine, while being model-free, fast, and less noisy.