Informed Spectral Normalized Gaussian Processes for Trajectory Prediction

Prior parameter distributions provide an elegant way to represent prior expert and world knowledge for informed learning. Previous work has shown that using such informative priors to regularize probabilistic deep learning (DL) models increases their performance and data-efficiency. However, commonly used sampling-based approximations for probabilistic DL models can be computationally expensive, requiring multiple inference passes and longer training times. Promising alternatives are compute-efficient last layer kernel approximations like spectral normalized Gaussian processes (SNGPs). We propose a novel regularization-based continual learning method for SNGPs, which enables the use of informative priors that represent prior knowledge learned from previous tasks. Our proposal builds upon well-established methods and requires no rehearsal memory or parameter expansion. We apply our informed SNGP model to the trajectory prediction problem in autonomous driving by integrating prior drivability knowledge. On two public datasets, we investigate its performance under diminishing training data and across locations, and thereby demonstrate an increase in data-efficiency and robustness to location-transfers over non-informed and informed baselines.

Explainable Bayesian Optimization

In industry, Bayesian optimization (BO) is widely applied in the human-AI collaborative parameter tuning of cyber-physical systems. However, BO's solutions may deviate from human experts' actual goal due to approximation errors and simplified objectives, requiring subsequent tuning. The black-box nature of BO limits the collaborative tuning process because the expert does not trust the BO recommendations. Current explainable AI (XAI) methods are not tailored for optimization and thus fall short of addressing this gap. To bridge this gap, we propose TNTRules (TUNE-NOTUNE Rules), a post-hoc, rule-based explainability method that produces high quality explanations through multiobjective optimization. Our evaluation of benchmark optimization problems and real-world hyperparameter optimization tasks demonstrates TNTRules' superiority over state-of-the-art XAI methods in generating high quality explanations. This work contributes to the intersection of BO and XAI, providing interpretable optimization techniques for real-world applications.

Overcoming the Limitations of Localization Uncertainty: Efficient & Exact Non-Linear Post-Processing and Calibration

Robustly and accurately localizing objects in real-world environments can be challenging due to noisy data, hardware limitations, and the inherent randomness of physical systems. To account for these factors, existing works estimate the aleatoric uncertainty of object detectors by modeling their localization output as a Gaussian distribution $\mathcal{N}(\mu,\,\sigma^{2})\,$, and training with loss attenuation. We identify three aspects that are unaddressed in the state of the art, but warrant further exploration: (1) the efficient and mathematically sound propagation of $\mathcal{N}(\mu,\,\sigma^{2})\,$ through non-linear post-processing, (2) the calibration of the predicted uncertainty, and (3) its interpretation. We overcome these limitations by: (1) implementing loss attenuation in EfficientDet, and proposing two deterministic methods for the exact and fast propagation of the output distribution, (2) demonstrating on the KITTI and BDD100K datasets that the predicted uncertainty is miscalibrated, and adapting two calibration methods to the localization task, and (3) investigating the correlation between aleatoric uncertainty and task-relevant error sources. Our contributions are: (1) up to five times faster propagation while increasing localization performance by up to 1\%, (2) up to fifteen times smaller expected calibration error, and (3) the predicted uncertainty is found to correlate with occlusion, object distance, detection accuracy, and image quality.

Informed Priors for Knowledge Integration in Trajectory Prediction

Informed machine learning methods allow the integration of prior knowledge into learning systems. This can increase accuracy and robustness or reduce data needs. However, existing methods often assume hard constraining knowledge, that does not require to trade-off prior knowledge with observations, but can be used to directly reduce the problem space. Other approaches use specific, architectural changes as representation of prior knowledge, limiting applicability. We propose an informed machine learning method, based on continual learning. This allows the integration of arbitrary, prior knowledge, potentially from multiple sources, and does not require specific architectures. Furthermore, our approach enables probabilistic and multi-modal predictions, that can improve predictive accuracy and robustness. We exemplify our approach by applying it to a state-of-the-art trajectory predictor for autonomous driving. This domain is especially dependent on informed learning approaches, as it is subject to an overwhelming large variety of possible environments and very rare events, while requiring robust and accurate predictions. We evaluate our model on a commonly used benchmark dataset, only using data already available in a conventional setup. We show that our method outperforms both non-informed and informed learning methods, that are often used in the literature. Furthermore, we are able to compete with a conventional baseline, even using half as many observation examples.

Efficient Utility Function Learning for Multi-Objective Parameter Optimization with Prior Knowledge

The current state-of-the-art in multi-objective optimization assumes either a given utility function, learns a utility function interactively or tries to determine the complete Pareto front, requiring a post elicitation of the preferred result. However, result elicitation in real world problems is often based on implicit and explicit expert knowledge, making it difficult to define a utility function, whereas interactive learning or post elicitation requires repeated and expensive expert involvement. To mitigate this, we learn a utility function offline, using expert knowledge by means of preference learning. In contrast to other works, we do not only use (pairwise) result preferences, but also coarse information about the utility function space. This enables us to improve the utility function estimate, especially when using very few results. Additionally, we model the occurring uncertainties in the utility function learning task and propagate them through the whole optimization chain. Our method to learn a utility function eliminates the need of repeated expert involvement while still leading to high-quality results. We show the sample efficiency and quality gains of the proposed method in 4 domains, especially in cases where the surrogate utility function is not able to exactly capture the true expert utility function. We also show that to obtain good results, it is important to consider the induced uncertainties and analyze the effect of biased samples, which is a common problem in real world domains.

Knowledge Augmented Machine Learning with Applications in Autonomous Driving: A Survey

The existence of representative datasets is a prerequisite of many successful artificial intelligence and machine learning models. However, the subsequent application of these models often involves scenarios that are inadequately represented in the data used for training. The reasons for this are manifold and range from time and cost constraints to ethical considerations. As a consequence, the reliable use of these models, especially in safety-critical applications, is a huge challenge. Leveraging additional, already existing sources of knowledge is key to overcome the limitations of purely data-driven approaches, and eventually to increase the generalization capability of these models. Furthermore, predictions that conform with knowledge are crucial for making trustworthy and safe decisions even in underrepresented scenarios. This work provides an overview of existing techniques and methods in the literature that combine data-based models with existing knowledge. The identified approaches are structured according to the categories integration, extraction and conformity. Special attention is given to applications in the field of autonomous driving.

Concept Embeddings for Fuzzy Logic Verification of Deep Neural Networks in Perception Tasks

One major drawback of deep neural networks (DNNs) for use in sensitive application domains is their black-box nature. This makes it hard to verify or monitor complex, symbolic requirements. In this work, we present a simple, yet effective, approach to verify whether a trained convolutional neural network (CNN) respects specified symbolic background knowledge. The knowledge may consist of any fuzzy predicate logic rules. For this, we utilize methods from explainable artificial intelligence (XAI): First, using concept embedding analysis, the output of a computer vision CNN is post-hoc enriched by concept outputs; second, logical rules from prior knowledge are fuzzified to serve as continuous-valued functions on the concept outputs. These can be evaluated with little computational overhead. We demonstrate three diverse use-cases of our method on stateof-the-art object detectors: Finding corner cases, utilizing the rules for detecting and localizing DNN misbehavior during runtime, and comparing the logical consistency of DNNs. The latter is used to find related differences between EfficientDet D1 and Mask R-CNN object detectors. We show that this approach benefits from fuzziness and calibrating the concept outputs.

Preference-Based Monte Carlo Tree Search

Monte Carlo tree search (MCTS) is a popular choice for solving sequential anytime problems. However, it depends on a numeric feedback signal, which can be difficult to define. Real-time MCTS is a variant which may only rarely encounter states with an explicit, extrinsic reward. To deal with such cases, the experimenter has to supply an additional numeric feedback signal in the form of a heuristic, which intrinsically guides the agent. Recent work has shown evidence that in different areas the underlying structure is ordinal and not numerical. Hence erroneous and biased heuristics are inevitable, especially in such domains. In this paper, we propose a MCTS variant which only depends on qualitative feedback, and therefore opens up new applications for MCTS. We also find indications that translating absolute into ordinal feedback may be beneficial. Using a puzzle domain, we show that our preference-based MCTS variant, wich only receives qualitative feedback, is able to reach a performance level comparable to a regular MCTS baseline, which obtains quantitative feedback.