A Systematic Evaluation of Generated Time Series and Their Effects in Self-Supervised Pretraining

Self-supervised Pretrained Models (PTMs) have demonstrated remarkable performance in computer vision and natural language processing tasks. These successes have prompted researchers to design PTMs for time series data. In our experiments, most self-supervised time series PTMs were surpassed by simple supervised models. We hypothesize this undesired phenomenon may be caused by data scarcity. In response, we test six time series generation methods, use the generated data in pretraining in lieu of the real data, and examine the effects on classification performance. Our results indicate that replacing a real-data pretraining set with a greater volume of only generated samples produces noticeable improvement.

Masked Graph Transformer for Large-Scale Recommendation

Graph Transformers have garnered significant attention for learning graph-structured data, thanks to their superb ability to capture long-range dependencies among nodes. However, the quadratic space and time complexity hinders the scalability of Graph Transformers, particularly for large-scale recommendation. Here we propose an efficient Masked Graph Transformer, named MGFormer, capable of capturing all-pair interactions among nodes with a linear complexity. To achieve this, we treat all user/item nodes as independent tokens, enhance them with positional embeddings, and feed them into a kernelized attention module. Additionally, we incorporate learnable relative degree information to appropriately reweigh the attentions. Experimental results show the superior performance of our MGFormer, even with a single attention layer.

Random Projection Layers for Multidimensional Time Series Forecasting

All-Multi-Layer Perceptron (all-MLP) mixer models have been shown to be effective for time series forecasting problems. However, when such a model is applied to high-dimensional time series (e.g., the time series in a spatial-temporal dataset), its performance is likely to degrade due to overfitting issues. In this paper, we propose an all-MLP time series forecasting architecture, referred to as RPMixer. Our method leverages the ensemble-like behavior of deep neural networks, where each individual block within the network acts like a base learner in an ensemble model, especially when identity mapping residual connections are incorporated. By integrating random projection layers into our model, we increase the diversity among the blocks' outputs, thereby enhancing the overall performance of RPMixer. Extensive experiments conducted on large-scale spatial-temporal forecasting benchmark datasets demonstrate that our proposed method outperforms alternative methods, including both spatial-temporal graph models and general forecasting models.

PUPAE: Intuitive and Actionable Explanations for Time Series Anomalies

In recent years there has been significant progress in time series anomaly detection. However, after detecting an (perhaps tentative) anomaly, can we explain it? Such explanations would be useful to triage anomalies. For example, in an oil refinery, should we respond to an anomaly by dispatching a hydraulic engineer, or an intern to replace the battery on a sensor? There have been some parallel efforts to explain anomalies, however many proposed techniques produce explanations that are indirect, and often seem more complex than the anomaly they seek to explain. Our review of the literature/checklists/user-manuals used by frontline practitioners in various domains reveals an interesting near-universal commonality. Most practitioners discuss, explain and report anomalies in the following format: The anomaly would be like normal data A, if not for the corruption B. The reader will appreciate that is a type of counterfactual explanation. In this work we introduce a domain agnostic counterfactual explanation technique to produce explanations for time series anomalies. As we will show, our method can produce both visual and text-based explanations that are objectively correct, intuitive and in many circumstances, directly actionable.

Ego-Network Transformer for Subsequence Classification in Time Series Data

Time series classification is a widely studied problem in the field of time series data mining. Previous research has predominantly focused on scenarios where relevant or foreground subsequences have already been extracted, with each subsequence corresponding to a single label. However, real-world time series data often contain foreground subsequences that are intertwined with background subsequences. Successfully classifying these relevant subsequences requires not only distinguishing between different classes but also accurately identifying the foreground subsequences amidst the background. To address this challenge, we propose a novel subsequence classification method that represents each subsequence as an ego-network, providing crucial nearest neighbor information to the model. The ego-networks of all subsequences collectively form a time series subsequence graph, and we introduce an algorithm to efficiently construct this graph. Furthermore, we have demonstrated the significance of enforcing temporal consistency in the prediction of adjacent subsequences for the subsequence classification problem. To evaluate the effectiveness of our approach, we conducted experiments using 128 univariate and 30 multivariate time series datasets. The experimental results demonstrate the superior performance of our method compared to alternative approaches. Specifically, our method outperforms the baseline on 104 out of 158 datasets.

Sketching Multidimensional Time Series for Fast Discord Mining

Time series discords are a useful primitive for time series anomaly detection, and the matrix profile is capable of capturing discord effectively. There exist many research efforts to improve the scalability of discord discovery with respect to the length of time series. However, there is surprisingly little work focused on reducing the time complexity of matrix profile computation associated with dimensionality of a multidimensional time series. In this work, we propose a sketch for discord mining among multi-dimensional time series. After an initial pre-processing of the sketch as fast as reading the data, the discord mining has runtime independent of the dimensionality of the original data. On several real world examples from water treatment and transportation, the proposed algorithm improves the throughput by at least an order of magnitude (50X) and only has minimal impact on the quality of the approximated solution. Additionally, the proposed method can handle the dynamic addition or deletion of dimensions inconsequential overhead. This allows a data analyst to consider "what-if" scenarios in real time while exploring the data.

Time Series Synthesis Using the Matrix Profile for Anonymization

Publishing and sharing data is crucial for the data mining community, allowing collaboration and driving open innovation. However, many researchers cannot release their data due to privacy regulations or fear of leaking confidential business information. To alleviate such issues, we propose the Time Series Synthesis Using the Matrix Profile (TSSUMP) method, where synthesized time series can be released in lieu of the original data. The TSSUMP method synthesizes time series by preserving similarity join information (i.e., Matrix Profile) while reducing the correlation between the synthesized and the original time series. As a result, neither the values for the individual time steps nor the local patterns (or shapes) from the original data can be recovered, yet the resulting data can be used for downstream tasks that data analysts are interested in. We concentrate on similarity joins because they are one of the most widely applied time series data mining routines across different data mining tasks. We test our method on a case study of ECG and gender masking prediction. In this case study, the gender information is not only removed from the synthesized time series, but the synthesized time series also preserves enough information from the original time series. As a result, unmodified data mining tools can obtain near-identical performance on the synthesized time series as on the original time series.

Temporal Treasure Hunt: Content-based Time Series Retrieval System for Discovering Insights

Time series data is ubiquitous across various domains such as finance, healthcare, and manufacturing, but their properties can vary significantly depending on the domain they originate from. The ability to perform Content-based Time Series Retrieval (CTSR) is crucial for identifying unknown time series examples. However, existing CTSR works typically focus on retrieving time series from a single domain database, which can be inadequate if the user does not know the source of the query time series. This limitation motivates us to investigate the CTSR problem in a scenario where the database contains time series from multiple domains. To facilitate this investigation, we introduce a CTSR benchmark dataset that comprises time series data from a variety of domains, such as motion, power demand, and traffic. This dataset is sourced from a publicly available time series classification dataset archive, making it easily accessible to researchers in the field. We compare several popular methods for modeling and retrieving time series data using this benchmark dataset. Additionally, we propose a novel distance learning model that outperforms the existing methods. Overall, our study highlights the importance of addressing the CTSR problem across multiple domains and provides a useful benchmark dataset for future research.

FATA-Trans: Field And Time-Aware Transformer for Sequential Tabular Data

Sequential tabular data is one of the most commonly used data types in real-world applications. Different from conventional tabular data, where rows in a table are independent, sequential tabular data contains rich contextual and sequential information, where some fields are dynamically changing over time and others are static. Existing transformer-based approaches analyzing sequential tabular data overlook the differences between dynamic and static fields by replicating and filling static fields into each transformer, and ignore temporal information between rows, which leads to three major disadvantages: (1) computational overhead, (2) artificially simplified data for masked language modeling pre-training task that may yield less meaningful representations, and (3) disregarding the temporal behavioral patterns implied by time intervals. In this work, we propose FATA-Trans, a model with two field transformers for modeling sequential tabular data, where each processes static and dynamic field information separately. FATA-Trans is field- and time-aware for sequential tabular data. The field-type embedding in the method enables FATA-Trans to capture differences between static and dynamic fields. The time-aware position embedding exploits both order and time interval information between rows, which helps the model detect underlying temporal behavior in a sequence. Our experiments on three benchmark datasets demonstrate that the learned representations from FATA-Trans consistently outperform state-of-the-art solutions in the downstream tasks. We also present visualization studies to highlight the insights captured by the learned representations, enhancing our understanding of the underlying data. Our codes are available at https://github.com/zdy93/FATA-Trans.

Multitask Learning for Time Series Data with 2D Convolution

Multitask learning (MTL) aims to develop a unified model that can handle a set of closely related tasks simultaneously. By optimizing the model across multiple tasks, MTL generally surpasses its non-MTL counterparts in terms of generalizability. Although MTL has been extensively researched in various domains such as computer vision, natural language processing, and recommendation systems, its application to time series data has received limited attention. In this paper, we investigate the application of MTL to the time series classification (TSC) problem. However, when we integrate the state-of-the-art 1D convolution-based TSC model with MTL, the performance of the TSC model actually deteriorates. By comparing the 1D convolution-based models with the Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) distance function, it appears that the underwhelming results stem from the limited expressive power of the 1D convolutional layers. To overcome this challenge, we propose a novel design for a 2D convolution-based model that enhances the model's expressiveness. Leveraging this advantage, our proposed method outperforms competing approaches on both the UCR Archive and an industrial transaction TSC dataset.