Neural-Actuarial Longevity Forecasting: Anchoring LSTMs for Explainable Risk Management

Traditional multi-population models, such as the Li-Lee framework, rely on the assumption of mean-reverting country-specific deviations. However, recent data from high-longevity clusters suggest a systemic break in this paradigm. We identify a stationarity paradox where mortality residuals in countries like Sweden and West Germany exhibit persistent unit roots, leading to a systematic mispricing of longevity risk in linear models. To address these non-linearities, we propose Hybrid-Lift, a neural-actuarial framework that combines Hierarchical LSTM networks with a Mean-Bias Correction (MBC) anchoring mechanism. Positioned as a governance-friendly model challenger rather than a replacement of classical approaches, the framework exhibits selective superiority on out-of-sample validation (2012-2020): it outperforms Li-Lee by 17.40% in Sweden and 12.57% in West Germany, while remaining comparable for near-linear regimes such as Switzerland and Japan. We complement the predictive model with an integrated governance suite comprising SHAP-based cross-country influence mapping, a dual uncertainty framework for regulatory capital calibration (Swiss ES 99.0% of +1.153 years), and a reverse stress test identifying the critical shock threshold for solvency buffer exhaustion. This research provides evidence that neural networks, when properly anchored by actuarial principles, can serve as effective model challengers for longevity risk management under the SST and Solvency II standards.

A Scalable Digital Twin Framework for Energy Optimization in Data Centers

This study proposes a scalable Digital Twin framework for energy optimization in data centers.The framework integrates IoT-based data acquisition, cloud computing, and machine learning techniques to enable real-time monitoring, forecasting, and intelligent energy management. A controlled small-scale data center environment was developed to monitor variables such as power consumption, temperature, and computational workload. Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models were employed to predict energy demand and support operational decision-making. Experimental results demonstrated improvements in energy efficiency, including reductions in power consumption and enhancements in Power Usage Effectiveness (PUE). Despite being evaluated in a constrained environment, the proposed framework demonstrates strong potential as a scalable and cost-effective solution for sustainable data center management.

Event-Based Early Warning of Vineyard Disease Risk from Environmental Time Series

Accurate early warning of vineyard disease risk from environmental observations is essential for timely intervention and more sustainable crop protection. However, many existing studies formulate disease prediction as daily presence classification, which can favor persistence-driven predictions and provide only limited support for actionable short-horizon warning. In this paper, we present an event-based approach for early warning of vineyard disease risk from environmental time series and evaluate it through a vineyard case study. Rather than predicting daily disease status, the task is reformulated to predict transitions into annotated disease-risk periods within a future window of 3-7 days. To reduce fragmentation caused by short interruptions in the binary labels, new events are defined only after a minimum disease-free gap. This formulation encourages models to capture environmental precursors associated with upcoming risk periods instead of merely reproducing temporal persistence. Using multi-year agro-meteorological data, we construct input representations that capture humidity dynamics, rainfall accumulation, temperature variability, and seasonal structure through cyclic temporal encoding. We evaluate representative methods from classical machine learning and deep learning, including XGBoost, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, and Temporal Convolutional Networks (TCNs), using both standard classification metrics and an event-oriented early warning protocol. The results show that the event-based formulation supports practical short-horizon warning, while the compared models exhibit distinct trade-offs between event recall, lead time, and false-alert behavior. Overall, the study underscores the importance of problem formulation in environmental time-series learning and demonstrates the value of event-based prediction for vineyard disease warning systems.

Joint Treatment Effect Estimation from Incomplete Healthcare Data: Temporal Causal Normalizing Flows with LLM-driven Evolutionary MNAR Imputation

Target trial emulation (TTE) enables causal questions to be studied with observational data when randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are infeasible. Yet treatment-effect methods often address causal estimation, missingness, and temporal structure separately, limiting their robustness in electronic health records (EHRs), where time-varying confounding and missing-not-at-random (MNAR) biomarkers can reach 50%--80%. We propose a two-stage pipeline for treatment effect estimation from incomplete longitudinal EHRs. First, CausalFlow-T, a directed acyclic graph (DAG)-constrained normalizing flow with long short-term memory (LSTM)-encoded patient history, performs exact invertible counterfactual inference, avoiding approximation errors from variational inference and separating confounding through explicit causal structure. Ablations on four synthetic and one semi-synthetic benchmark with known counterfactuals show that DAG constraints and exact inference address distinct failure modes: neither compensates for the other. Second, because CausalFlow-T requires completed inputs, we introduce an LLM-driven evolutionary imputer that proposes executable imputation operators rather than individual entries, and evaluate it with three large language model (LLM) backends, including two open-source models. Across 30%--80% MNAR missingness, this imputer achieves the best pooled rank over biomarker and causal metrics, leading in point-wise accuracy and temporal extrapolation while preserving average treatment effect (ATE) recovery as statistical baselines degrade. On Swiss primary-care EHRs from adults with type 2 diabetes initiating a GLP-1 receptor agonist or SGLT-2 inhibitor, the pipeline estimates a per-protocol weight-loss difference of -0.98 kg [95% CI -1.01, -0.96] favoring GLP-1 receptor agonists, consistent with randomized evidence and obtained from realistically incomplete real-world EHRs.

A Comparison of Traditional Machine Learning Algorithms and LSTM-Based Deep Learning Models for Email Sentiment Analysis

The rapid growth of electronic communication has necessitated more robust systems for email classification and sentiment detection. This study presents a comparative performance analysis between traditional machine learning algorithms and deep learning architectures, specifically focusing on Support Vector Machines (SVMs), Logistic Regression, Naive Bayes, and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). Utilizing Word2Vec embeddings for feature representation, our experimental results indicate that the SVM model with a linear kernel achieves the highest efficiency and accuracy, reaching a peak performance of 98.74%. While the LSTM model demonstrates exceptional recall capabilities in detecting spam-related sentiments, it requires significantly more computational time compared to discriminative statistical models. Detailed evaluations via confusion matrices further reveal that traditional classifiers remain highly robust for dense vector spaces. This research concludes that for email detection tasks, SVM offers the most optimal balance between predictive precision and processing speed. These findings provide critical insights for developing high-performance automated email filtering systems in professional and academic environments.

Capabilities of Auto-encoders and Principal Component Analysis of the Reduction of Microstructural Images; Application on the Acceleration of Phase-Field Simulations

In this work, a data-driven framework based on Phase-Field simulations data is proposed to highlight the capabilities of neural networks to ensure accurate low dimensionality reduction of simulated microstructural images and to provide time-series analysis. The dataset was indeed constructed from high-fidelity Phase-Field simulations. Analyses demonstrated that the association of auto-encoder neural networks and principal component analyses leads to ensure efficient and significant dimensionality reduction: 1/196 of reduction ratio with more than 80% of accuracy. These findings give insight to apply analyses on data from the latent dimension. Application of Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks showed the possibility of making next frame predictions; that makes possible the acceleration of Phase-Field simulation without the need of high computing resources. We discussed the application of such a framework on various areas of research. Different methods are proposed from the conducted analyses, in order to ensure dimensionality reduction, including auto-encoders, principal component analysis and Artificial Neural Networks, and time-series analysis, including LSTM and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU).

Symmetry-Protected Lyapunov Neutral Modes in Equivariant Recurrent Networks

Recurrent networks that store position, phase, or other continuous variables need state-space directions that remain neutral over long horizons. We give a symmetry-based account of when such neutral directions are guaranteed rather than merely tuned. For a finite-dimensional autonomous \(C^1\) vector field equivariant under a Lie group \(G\), we prove that any compact invariant set carrying a uniformly nondegenerate group-orbit bundle with stabilizer type \(H\) has, at points where the Lyapunov spectrum is defined, at least \(\dim(G/H)\) zero Lyapunov exponents tangent to the group orbit. These symmetry-protected modes have zero group-tangent growth because of exact equivariance and orbit geometry. When this protection is explicitly broken, the formerly protected direction can acquire a pseudo-gap; in our controlled breaking experiments this pseudo-gap predicts finite memory lifetime. We verify the finite-dimensional consequences with normalized equivariance error, direct group-tangent exponents, principal-angle alignment, autonomous-flow-zero controls, and orbit-dimension scaling across \(S^1\), \(T^q\), \(SO(n)\), \(U(m)\), product-group, and coupled equivariant RNN-style systems. We also train an exactly equivariant recurrent cell on velocity-input \(S^1\) path integration across six seeds and compare it with matched GRU, LSTM, and orthogonal-RNN baselines. The learned equivariant cell preserves step equivariance to \(3.2\times10^{-8}\), has a near-zero group-tangent exponent under the zero-input autonomous restriction, and improves horizon, speed, and restricted-phase generalization in this matched protocol. The learned task results are consequence evidence; the theorem-level evidence remains exact equivariance, group-tangent exponents, orbit-dimension scaling, and tangent-subspace alignment.

Dependency Parsing Across the Resource Spectrum: Evaluating Architectures on High and Low-Resource Languages

Transformer-based models achieve state-of-the-art dependency parsing for high-resource languages, yet their advantage over simpler architectures in low-resource settings remains poorly understood. We evaluate four parsers -- the Biaffine LSTM, Stack-Pointer Network, AfroXLMR-large, and RemBERT -- across ten typologically diverse languages, with a focus on low-resource African languages. We find that the Biaffine LSTM consistently outperforms transformer models in low-resource regimes, with transformers recovering their advantage as training data increases. The crossover falls within a resource range typical of treebanks for under-resourced languages. Morphological complexity (measured via MATTR) emerges as a significant secondary predictor of transformers' relative disadvantage after controlling for corpus size. These results indicate that the Biaffine LSTM may be better suited for syntactic tool development in low-resource regimes until sufficient annotated data is available to leverage the representational capacity of pre-trained transformers.

Recurrent Deep Reinforcement Learning for Chemotherapy Control under Partial Observability

Chemotherapy dose optimization can be formulated as a dynamic treatment regime, requiring sequential decisions under uncertainty that must balance tumor suppression against toxicity. However, most reinforcement learning approaches assume full observability of the patient state, a condition rarely met in clinical practice. We investigate whether memory-augmented policies can improve chemotherapy control under partial observability. To this end, we employ a recurrent TD3-based approach with separate LSTM actor-critic networks and evaluate it on the AhnChemoEnv benchmark from DTR-Bench, considering both off-policy and on-policy recurrent architectures against feed-forward TD3 and Soft Actor-Critic. Pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic variability are held fixed to isolate hidden-state uncertainty and observation noise and to avoid confounding effects from inter-patient variability. Across ten random seeds, recurrence yields modest benefit under full observability but substantially stronger and more stable performance under partial observability, with more consistent tumor suppression and improved normal-cell preservation. These findings indicate that memory-based policies are particularly beneficial when clinically relevant state information is incomplete or noisy.

A Systematic Benchmark of Machine Transliteration Models for the Tajik-Farsi Language Pair: A Comparative Study from Rule-Based to Transformer Architectures

This paper presents the first comprehensive comparative analysis of modern machine learning architectures for transliteration between Tajik (Cyrillic script) and Persian (Arabic script). A key contribution is the creation and validation of a unique parallel corpus aggregated from multiple heterogeneous sources, including crowdsourced projects, lexicographic pairs, parallel texts of "Shahnameh", diplomatic articles, texts of "Masnavi-i Ma'navi", official terminology lists, and transliterated correspondences. The initial dataset comprised 328,253 sentence pairs; a representative subset of 40,000 pairs was formed using stratified random sampling. The experiment compared six classes of models: rule-based baseline, LSTM with attention, character-level Transformer, G2P Transformer (trained from scratch), pre-trained multilingual models (mBART, mT5 with LoRA), and byte-level ByT5. Results demonstrate the overwhelming superiority of ByT5 (chrF++ 87.4 for Tajik to Farsi, 80.1 for reverse). The G2P Transformer significantly outperformed mBART (72.3 vs. 62.2 chrF++) despite limited data. Models using subword tokenization (mT5) failed completely (chrF++ less than 18.5). The findings demonstrate that for accurate transliteration of the Tajik-Farsi pair, architectures operating at the byte or character level are unequivocally more effective than traditional multilingual Seq2Seq models relying on subword tokenization.