CRAFT: Time Series Forecasting with Cross-Future Behavior Awareness

The past decades witness the significant advancements in time series forecasting (TSF) across various real-world domains, including e-commerce and disease spread prediction. However, TSF is usually constrained by the uncertainty dilemma of predicting future data with limited past observations. To settle this question, we explore the use of Cross-Future Behavior (CFB) in TSF, which occurs before the current time but takes effect in the future. We leverage CFB features and propose the CRoss-Future Behavior Awareness based Time Series Forecasting method (CRAFT). The core idea of CRAFT is to utilize the trend of cross-future behavior to mine the trend of time series data to be predicted. Specifically, to settle the sparse and partial flaws of cross-future behavior, CRAFT employs the Koopman Predictor Module to extract the key trend and the Internal Trend Mining Module to supplement the unknown area of the cross-future behavior matrix. Then, we introduce the External Trend Guide Module with a hierarchical structure to acquire more representative trends from higher levels. Finally, we apply the demand-constrained loss to calibrate the distribution deviation of prediction results. We conduct experiments on real-world dataset. Experiments on both offline large-scale dataset and online A/B test demonstrate the effectiveness of CRAFT. Our dataset and code is available at https://github.com/CRAFTinTSF/CRAFT.

FHBench: Towards Efficient and Personalized Federated Learning for Multimodal Healthcare

Federated Learning (FL) has emerged as an effective solution for multi-institutional collaborations without sharing patient data, offering a range of methods tailored for diverse applications. However, real-world medical datasets are often multimodal, and computational resources are limited, posing significant challenges for existing FL approaches. Recognizing these limitations, we developed the Federated Healthcare Benchmark(FHBench), a benchmark specifically designed from datasets derived from real-world healthcare applications. FHBench encompasses critical diagnostic tasks across domains such as the nervous, cardiovascular, and respiratory systems and general pathology, providing comprehensive support for multimodal healthcare evaluations and filling a significant gap in existing benchmarks. Building on FHBench, we introduced Efficient Personalized Federated Learning with Adaptive LoRA(EPFL), a personalized FL framework that demonstrates superior efficiency and effectiveness across various healthcare modalities. Our results highlight the robustness of FHBench as a benchmarking tool and the potential of EPFL as an innovative approach to advancing healthcare-focused FL, addressing key limitations of existing methods.