Exploring Large Language Models for Human Mobility Prediction under Public Events

Public events, such as concerts and sports games, can be major attractors for large crowds, leading to irregular surges in travel demand. Accurate human mobility prediction for public events is thus crucial for event planning as well as traffic or crowd management. While rich textual descriptions about public events are commonly available from online sources, it is challenging to encode such information in statistical or machine learning models. Existing methods are generally limited in incorporating textual information, handling data sparsity, or providing rationales for their predictions. To address these challenges, we introduce a framework for human mobility prediction under public events (LLM-MPE) based on Large Language Models (LLMs), leveraging their unprecedented ability to process textual data, learn from minimal examples, and generate human-readable explanations. Specifically, LLM-MPE first transforms raw, unstructured event descriptions from online sources into a standardized format, and then segments historical mobility data into regular and event-related components. A prompting strategy is designed to direct LLMs in making and rationalizing demand predictions considering historical mobility and event features. A case study is conducted for Barclays Center in New York City, based on publicly available event information and taxi trip data. Results show that LLM-MPE surpasses traditional models, particularly on event days, with textual data significantly enhancing its accuracy. Furthermore, LLM-MPE offers interpretable insights into its predictions. Despite the great potential of LLMs, we also identify key challenges including misinformation and high costs that remain barriers to their broader adoption in large-scale human mobility analysis.

Global Attention Mechanism: Retain Information to Enhance Channel-Spatial Interactions

A variety of attention mechanisms have been studied to improve the performance of various computer vision tasks. However, the prior methods overlooked the significance of retaining the information on both channel and spatial aspects to enhance the cross-dimension interactions. Therefore, we propose a global attention mechanism that boosts the performance of deep neural networks by reducing information reduction and magnifying the global interactive representations. We introduce 3D-permutation with multilayer-perceptron for channel attention alongside a convolutional spatial attention submodule. The evaluation of the proposed mechanism for the image classification task on CIFAR-100 and ImageNet-1K indicates that our method stably outperforms several recent attention mechanisms with both ResNet and lightweight MobileNet.

NAM: Normalization-based Attention Module

Recognizing less salient features is the key for model compression. However, it has not been investigated in the revolutionary attention mechanisms. In this work, we propose a novel normalization-based attention module (NAM), which suppresses less salient weights. It applies a weight sparsity penalty to the attention modules, thus, making them more computational efficient while retaining similar performance. A comparison with three other attention mechanisms on both Resnet and Mobilenet indicates that our method results in higher accuracy. Code for this paper can be publicly accessed at https://github.com/Christian-lyc/NAM.