An Online Learning Theory of Brokerage

We investigate brokerage between traders from an online learning perspective. At any round $t$, two traders arrive with their private valuations, and the broker proposes a trading price. Unlike other bilateral trade problems already studied in the online learning literature, we focus on the case where there are no designated buyer and seller roles: each trader will attempt to either buy or sell depending on the current price of the good. We assume the agents' valuations are drawn i.i.d. from a fixed but unknown distribution. If the distribution admits a density bounded by some constant $M$, then, for any time horizon $T$: $\bullet$ If the agents' valuations are revealed after each interaction, we provide an algorithm achieving regret $M \log T$ and show this rate is optimal, up to constant factors. $\bullet$ If only their willingness to sell or buy at the proposed price is revealed after each interaction, we provide an algorithm achieving regret $\sqrt{M T}$ and show this rate is optimal, up to constant factors. Finally, if we drop the bounded density assumption, we show that the optimal rate degrades to $\sqrt{T}$ in the first case, and the problem becomes unlearnable in the second.

The Role of Transparency in Repeated First-Price Auctions with Unknown Valuations

We study the problem of regret minimization for a single bidder in a sequence of first-price auctions where the bidder knows the item's value only if the auction is won. Our main contribution is a complete characterization, up to logarithmic factors, of the minimax regret in terms of the auction's transparency, which regulates the amount of information on competing bids disclosed by the auctioneer at the end of each auction. Our results hold under different assumptions (stochastic, adversarial, and their smoothed variants) on the environment generating the bidder's valuations and competing bids. These minimax rates reveal how the interplay between transparency and the nature of the environment affects how fast one can learn to bid optimally in first-price auctions.

On the Minimax Regret for Online Learning with Feedback Graphs

In this work, we improve on the upper and lower bounds for the regret of online learning with strongly observable undirected feedback graphs. The best known upper bound for this problem is $\mathcal{O}\bigl(\sqrt{\alpha T\ln K}\bigr)$, where $K$ is the number of actions, $\alpha$ is the independence number of the graph, and $T$ is the time horizon. The $\sqrt{\ln K}$ factor is known to be necessary when $\alpha = 1$ (the experts case). On the other hand, when $\alpha = K$ (the bandits case), the minimax rate is known to be $\Theta\bigl(\sqrt{KT}\bigr)$, and a lower bound $\Omega\bigl(\sqrt{\alpha T}\bigr)$ is known to hold for any $\alpha$. Our improved upper bound $\mathcal{O}\bigl(\sqrt{\alpha T(1+\ln(K/\alpha))}\bigr)$ holds for any $\alpha$ and matches the lower bounds for bandits and experts, while interpolating intermediate cases. To prove this result, we use FTRL with $q$-Tsallis entropy for a carefully chosen value of $q \in [1/2, 1)$ that varies with $\alpha$. The analysis of this algorithm requires a new bound on the variance term in the regret. We also show how to extend our techniques to time-varying graphs, without requiring prior knowledge of their independence numbers. Our upper bound is complemented by an improved $\Omega\bigl(\sqrt{\alpha T(\ln K)/(\ln\alpha)}\bigr)$ lower bound for all $\alpha > 1$, whose analysis relies on a novel reduction to multitask learning. This shows that a logarithmic factor is necessary as soon as $\alpha < K$.

Repeated Bilateral Trade Against a Smoothed Adversary

We study repeated bilateral trade where an adaptive $\sigma$-smooth adversary generates the valuations of sellers and buyers. We provide a complete characterization of the regret regimes for fixed-price mechanisms under different feedback models in the two cases where the learner can post either the same or different prices to buyers and sellers. We begin by showing that the minimax regret after $T$ rounds is of order $\sqrt{T}$ in the full-feedback scenario. Under partial feedback, any algorithm that has to post the same price to buyers and sellers suffers worst-case linear regret. However, when the learner can post two different prices at each round, we design an algorithm enjoying regret of order $T^{3/4}$ ignoring log factors. We prove that this rate is optimal by presenting a surprising $T^{3/4}$ lower bound, which is the main technical contribution of the paper.

Regret Analysis of Dyadic Search

We analyze the cumulative regret of the Dyadic Search algorithm of Bachoc et al. [2022].

A Near-Optimal Algorithm for Univariate Zeroth-Order Budget Convex Optimization

This paper studies a natural generalization of the problem of minimizing a univariate convex function $f$ by querying its values sequentially. At each time-step $t$, the optimizer can invest a budget $b_t$ in a query point $X_t$ of their choice to obtain a fuzzy evaluation of $f$ at $X_t$ whose accuracy depends on the amount of budget invested in $X_t$ across times. This setting is motivated by the minimization of objectives whose values can only be determined approximately through lengthy or expensive computations. We design an any-time parameter-free algorithm called Dyadic Search, for which we prove near-optimal optimization error guarantees. As a byproduct of our analysis, we show that the classical dependence on the global Lipschitz constant in the error bounds is an artifact of the granularity of the budget. Finally, we illustrate our theoretical findings with numerical simulations.

Online Learning in Supply-Chain Games

We study a repeated game between a supplier and a retailer who want to maximize their respective profits without full knowledge of the problem parameters. After characterizing the uniqueness of the Stackelberg equilibrium of the stage game with complete information, we show that even with partial knowledge of the joint distribution of demand and production costs, natural learning dynamics guarantee convergence of the joint strategy profile of supplier and retailer to the Stackelberg equilibrium of the stage game. We also prove finite-time bounds on the supplier's regret and asymptotic bounds on the retailer's regret, where the specific rates depend on the type of knowledge preliminarily available to the players. In the special case when the supplier is not strategic (vertical integration), we prove optimal finite-time regret bounds on the retailer's regret (or, equivalently, the social welfare) when costs and demand are adversarially generated and the demand is censored.

An Application of Online Learning to Spacecraft Memory Dump Optimization

In this paper, we present a real-world application of online learning with expert advice to the field of Space Operations, testing our theory on real-life data coming from the Copernicus Sentinel-6 satellite. We show that in Spacecraft Memory Dump Optimization, a lightweight Follow-The-Leader algorithm leads to an increase in performance of over $60\%$ when compared to traditional techniques.

Nonstochastic Bandits with Composite Anonymous Feedback

We investigate a nonstochastic bandit setting in which the loss of an action is not immediately charged to the player, but rather spread over the subsequent rounds in an adversarial way. The instantaneous loss observed by the player at the end of each round is then a sum of many loss components of previously played actions. This setting encompasses as a special case the easier task of bandits with delayed feedback, a well-studied framework where the player observes the delayed losses individually. Our first contribution is a general reduction transforming a standard bandit algorithm into one that can operate in the harder setting: We bound the regret of the transformed algorithm in terms of the stability and regret of the original algorithm. Then, we show that the transformation of a suitably tuned FTRL with Tsallis entropy has a regret of order $\sqrt{(d+1)KT}$, where $d$ is the maximum delay, $K$ is the number of arms, and $T$ is the time horizon. Finally, we show that our results cannot be improved in general by exhibiting a matching (up to a log factor) lower bound on the regret of any algorithm operating in this setting.

Bilateral Trade: A Regret Minimization Perspective

Bilateral trade, a fundamental topic in economics, models the problem of intermediating between two strategic agents, a seller and a buyer, willing to trade a good for which they hold private valuations. In this paper, we cast the bilateral trade problem in a regret minimization framework over $T$ rounds of seller/buyer interactions, with no prior knowledge on their private valuations. Our main contribution is a complete characterization of the regret regimes for fixed-price mechanisms with different feedback models and private valuations, using as a benchmark the best fixed-price in hindsight. More precisely, we prove the following tight bounds on the regret: - $\Theta(\sqrt{T})$ for full-feedback (i.e., direct revelation mechanisms). - $\Theta(T^{2/3})$ for realistic feedback (i.e., posted-price mechanisms) and independent seller/buyer valuations with bounded densities. - $\Theta(T)$ for realistic feedback and seller/buyer valuations with bounded densities. - $\Theta(T)$ for realistic feedback and independent seller/buyer valuations. - $\Theta(T)$ for the adversarial setting.