Same State, Different Task: Continual Reinforcement Learning without Interference

Continual Learning (CL) considers the problem of training an agent sequentially on a set of tasks while seeking to retain performance on all previous tasks. A key challenge in CL is catastrophic forgetting, which arises when performance on a previously mastered task is reduced when learning a new task. While a variety of methods exist to combat forgetting, in some cases tasks are fundamentally incompatible with each other and thus cannot be learnt by a single policy. This can occur, in reinforcement learning (RL) when an agent may be rewarded for achieving different goals from the same observation. In this paper we formalize this ``interference'' as distinct from the problem of forgetting. We show that existing CL methods based on single neural network predictors with shared replay buffers fail in the presence of interference. Instead, we propose a simple method, OWL, to address this challenge. OWL learns a factorized policy, using shared feature extraction layers, but separate heads, each specializing on a new task. The separate heads in OWL are used to prevent interference. At test time, we formulate policy selection as a multi-armed bandit problem, and show it is possible to select the best policy for an unknown task using feedback from the environment. The use of bandit algorithms allows the OWL agent to constructively re-use different continually learnt policies at different times during an episode. We show in multiple RL environments that existing replay based CL methods fail, while OWL is able to achieve close to optimal performance when training sequentially.

OffCon$^3$: What is state of the art anyway?

Two popular approaches to model-free continuous control tasks are SAC and TD3. At first glance these approaches seem rather different; SAC aims to solve the entropy-augmented MDP by minimising the KL-divergence between a stochastic proposal policy and a hypotheical energy-basd soft Q-function policy, whereas TD3 is derived from DPG, which uses a deterministic policy to perform policy gradient ascent along the value function. In reality, both approaches are remarkably similar, and belong to a family of approaches we call `Off-Policy Continuous Generalized Policy Iteration'. This illuminates their similar performance in most continuous control benchmarks, and indeed when hyperparameters are matched, their performance can be statistically indistinguishable. To further remove any difference due to implementation, we provide OffCon$^3$ (Off-Policy Continuous Control: Consolidated), a code base featuring state-of-the-art versions of both algorithms.

The Effect of Prior Lipschitz Continuity on the Adversarial Robustness of Bayesian Neural Networks

It is desirable, and often a necessity, for machine learning models to be robust against adversarial attacks. This is particularly true for Bayesian models, as they are well-suited for safety-critical applications, in which adversarial attacks can have catastrophic outcomes. In this work, we take a deeper look at the adversarial robustness of Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs). In particular, we consider whether the adversarial robustness of a BNN can be increased by model choices, particularly the Lipschitz continuity induced by the prior. Conducting in-depth analysis on the case of i.i.d., zero-mean Gaussian priors and posteriors approximated via mean-field variational inference, we find evidence that adversarial robustness is indeed sensitive to the prior variance.

Introducing an Explicit Symplectic Integration Scheme for Riemannian Manifold Hamiltonian Monte Carlo

We introduce a recent symplectic integration scheme derived for solving physically motivated systems with non-separable Hamiltonians. We show its relevance to Riemannian manifold Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (RMHMC) and provide an alternative to the currently used generalised leapfrog symplectic integrator, which relies on solving multiple fixed point iterations to convergence. Via this approach, we are able to reduce the number of higher-order derivative calculations per leapfrog step. We explore the implications of this integrator and demonstrate its efficacy in reducing the computational burden of RMHMC. Our code is provided in a new open-source Python package, hamiltorch.

Adaptive Configuration Oracle for Online Portfolio Selection Methods

Financial markets are complex environments that produce enormous amounts of noisy and non-stationary data. One fundamental problem is online portfolio selection, the goal of which is to exploit this data to sequentially select portfolios of assets to achieve positive investment outcomes while managing risks. Various algorithms have been proposed for solving this problem in fields such as finance, statistics and machine learning, among others. Most of the methods have parameters that are estimated from backtests for good performance. Since these algorithms operate on non-stationary data that reflects the complexity of financial markets, we posit that adaptively tuning these parameters in an intelligent manner is a remedy for dealing with this complexity. In this paper, we model the mapping between the parameter space and the space of performance metrics using a Gaussian process prior. We then propose an oracle based on adaptive Bayesian optimization for automatically and adaptively configuring online portfolio selection methods. We test the efficacy of our solution on algorithms operating on equity and index data from various markets.

Bayesian Heatmaps: Probabilistic Classification with Multiple Unreliable Information Sources

Unstructured data from diverse sources, such as social media and aerial imagery, can provide valuable up-to-date information for intelligent situation assessment. Mining these different information sources could bring major benefits to applications such as situation awareness in disaster zones and mapping the spread of diseases. Such applications depend on classifying the situation across a region of interest, which can be depicted as a spatial "heatmap". Annotating unstructured data using crowdsourcing or automated classifiers produces individual classifications at sparse locations that typically contain many errors. We propose a novel Bayesian approach that models the relevance, error rates and bias of each information source, enabling us to learn a spatial Gaussian Process classifier by aggregating data from multiple sources with varying reliability and relevance. Our method does not require gold-labelled data and can make predictions at any location in an area of interest given only sparse observations. We show empirically that our approach can handle noisy and biased data sources, and that simultaneously inferring reliability and transferring information between neighbouring reports leads to more accurate predictions. We demonstrate our method on two real-world problems from disaster response, showing how our approach reduces the amount of crowdsourced data required and can be used to generate valuable heatmap visualisations from SMS messages and satellite images.

Asynchronous Batch Bayesian Optimisation with Improved Local Penalisation

Batch Bayesian optimisation (BO) has been successfully applied to hyperparameter tuning using parallel computing, but it is wasteful of resources: workers that complete jobs ahead of others are left idle. We address this problem by developing an approach, Penalising Locally for Asynchronous Bayesian Optimisation on $k$ workers (PLAyBOOK), for asynchronous parallel BO. We demonstrate empirically the efficacy of PLAyBOOK and its variants on synthetic tasks and a real-world problem. We undertake a comparison between synchronous and asynchronous BO, and show that asynchronous BO often outperforms synchronous batch BO in both wall-clock time and number of function evaluations.

Automated bird sound recognition in realistic settings

We evaluated the effectiveness of an automated bird sound identification system in a situation that emulates a realistic, typical application. We trained classification algorithms on a crowd-sourced collection of bird audio recording data and restricted our training methods to be completely free of manual intervention. The approach is hence directly applicable to the analysis of multiple species collections, with labelling provided by crowd-sourced collection. We evaluated the performance of the bird sound recognition system on a realistic number of candidate classes, corresponding to real conditions. We investigated the use of two canonical classification methods, chosen due to their widespread use and ease of interpretation, namely a k Nearest Neighbour (kNN) classifier with histogram-based features and a Support Vector Machine (SVM) with time-summarisation features. We further investigated the use of a certainty measure, derived from the output probabilities of the classifiers, to enhance the interpretability and reliability of the class decisions. Our results demonstrate that both identification methods achieved similar performance, but we argue that the use of the kNN classifier offers somewhat more flexibility. Furthermore, we show that employing an outcome certainty measure provides a valuable and consistent indicator of the reliability of classification results. Our use of generic training data and our investigation of probabilistic classification methodologies that can flexibly address the variable number of candidate species/classes that are expected to be encountered in the field, directly contribute to the development of a practical bird sound identification system with potentially global application. Further, we show that certainty measures associated with identification outcomes can significantly contribute to the practical usability of the overall system.

Optimization, fast and slow: optimally switching between local and Bayesian optimization

We develop the first Bayesian Optimization algorithm, BLOSSOM, which selects between multiple alternative acquisition functions and traditional local optimization at each step. This is combined with a novel stopping condition based on expected regret. This pairing allows us to obtain the best characteristics of both local and Bayesian optimization, making efficient use of function evaluations while yielding superior convergence to the global minimum on a selection of optimization problems, and also halting optimization once a principled and intuitive stopping condition has been fulfilled.