Process Reward Informed Tree Rollout for Effective Multi-Turn RL

Reinforcement learning (RL) has become a key approach for training LLM agents, yet popular methods such as GRPO/RLOO rely on multiple independently sampled complete trajectories for advantage estimation. In long-horizon agentic tasks, such a uniform rollout strategy can waste budget on uninformative dead-end attempts, while promising intermediate states do not receive sufficient exploration. The multi-turn structure of agentic trajectories, with interleaved actions and observations, naturally supports organizing a trajectory group as a tree, where each turn serves as a decision point for exploration. This perspective reframes effective exploration as the problem of deciding where to branch. We propose Process-Scorer Guided Adaptive Tree Rollout (PATR), a quality-aware rollout framework for multi-turn agent RL. PATR uses task-appropriate process feedback to score partial trajectories, selectively branches from promising states, reuses shared prefixes, and conservatively stops degenerate paths to reduce wasted sampling. The resulting rollout groups remain compatible with standard policy optimization while providing more efficient exploration under the same training budget. We evaluate PATR on FrozenLake and the challenging SWE-Bench, which is largely unexplored by prior tree-rollout agent RL methods. Experiments show that PATR improves performance by up to +5.0 points on SWE-Bench and +9.3 points on FrozenLake, highlighting process-guided tree rollouts as an effective strategy for scalable multi-turn RL.

Event-CausNet: Unlocking Causal Knowledge from Text with Large Language Models for Reliable Spatio-Temporal Forecasting

While spatio-temporal Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) excel at modeling recurring traffic patterns, their reliability plummets during non-recurring events like accidents. This failure occurs because GNNs are fundamentally correlational models, learning historical patterns that are invalidated by the new causal factors introduced during disruptions. To address this, we propose Event-CausNet, a framework that uses a Large Language Model to quantify unstructured event reports, builds a causal knowledge base by estimating average treatment effects, and injects this knowledge into a dual-stream GNN-LSTM network using a novel causal attention mechanism to adjust and enhance the forecast. Experiments on a real-world dataset demonstrate that Event-CausNet achieves robust performance, reducing prediction error (MAE) by up to 35.87%, significantly outperforming state-of-the-art baselines. Our framework bridges the gap between correlational models and causal reasoning, providing a solution that is more accurate and transferable, while also offering crucial interpretability, providing a more reliable foundation for real-world traffic management during critical disruptions.