MarketGANs: Multivariate financial time-series data augmentation using generative adversarial networks

This paper introduces MarketGAN, a factor-based generative framework for high-dimensional asset return generation under severe data scarcity. We embed an explicit asset-pricing factor structure as an economic inductive bias and generate returns as a single joint vector, thereby preserving cross-sectional dependence and tail co-movement alongside inter-temporal dynamics. MarketGAN employs generative adversarial learning with a temporal convolutional network (TCN) backbone, which models stochastic, time-varying factor loadings and volatilities and captures long-range temporal dependence. Using daily returns of large U.S. equities, we find that MarketGAN more closely matches empirical stylized facts of asset returns, including heavy-tailed marginal distributions, volatility clustering, leverage effects, and, most notably, high-dimensional cross-sectional correlation structures and tail co-movement across assets, than conventional factor-model-based bootstrap approaches. In portfolio applications, covariance estimates derived from MarketGAN-generated samples outperform those derived from other methods when factor information is at least weakly informative, demonstrating tangible economic value.

Posting Bot Detection on Blockchain-based Social Media Platform using Machine Learning Techniques

Steemit is a blockchain-based social media platform, where authors can get author rewards in the form of cryptocurrencies called STEEM and SBD (Steem Blockchain Dollars) if their posts are upvoted. Interestingly, curators (or voters) can also get rewards by voting others' posts, which is called a curation reward. A reward is proportional to a curator's STEEM stakes. Throughout this process, Steemit hopes "good" content will be automatically discovered by users in a decentralized way, which is known as the Proof-of-Brain (PoB). However, there are many bot accounts programmed to post automatically and get rewards, which discourages real human users from creating good content. We call this type of bot a posting bot. While there are many papers that studied bots on traditional centralized social media platforms such as Facebook and Twitter, we are the first to study posting bots on a blockchain-based social media platform. Compared with the bot detection on the usual social media platforms, the features we created have an advantage that posting bots can be detected without limiting the number or length of posts. We can extract the features of posts by clustering distances between blog data or replies. These features are obtained from the Minimum Average Cluster from Clustering Distance between Frequent words and Articles (MAC-CDFA), which is not used in any of the previous social media research. Based on the enriched features, we enhanced the quality of classification tasks. Comparing the F1-scores, the features we created outperformed the features used for bot detection on Facebook and Twitter.