Beyond the Bellman Recursion: A Pontryagin-Guided Framework for Non-Exponential Discounting

Most value-based and actor--critic reinforcement learning methods rely on Bellman-style recursions, yet these recursions collapse under non-exponential discounting common in human preferences and survival processes. We show the breakdown is structural: exponential discounting sits at a fragile intersection of multiplicativity and time homogeneity, and violating either property breaks standard dynamic programming. To overcome this, we propose Pontryagin-Guided Direct Policy Optimization (PG-DPO), a variational framework that abandons recursion and couples the Pontryagin Maximum Principle with Monte Carlo rollouts via an Adjoint-MC projection enforcing pointwise Hamiltonian maximization. Across multi-dimensional hyperbolic and survival-discount benchmarks, PG-DPO improves accuracy and stability where equation-driven solvers and critic-based baselines diverge.

MarketGANs: Multivariate financial time-series data augmentation using generative adversarial networks

This paper introduces MarketGAN, a factor-based generative framework for high-dimensional asset return generation under severe data scarcity. We embed an explicit asset-pricing factor structure as an economic inductive bias and generate returns as a single joint vector, thereby preserving cross-sectional dependence and tail co-movement alongside inter-temporal dynamics. MarketGAN employs generative adversarial learning with a temporal convolutional network (TCN) backbone, which models stochastic, time-varying factor loadings and volatilities and captures long-range temporal dependence. Using daily returns of large U.S. equities, we find that MarketGAN more closely matches empirical stylized facts of asset returns, including heavy-tailed marginal distributions, volatility clustering, leverage effects, and, most notably, high-dimensional cross-sectional correlation structures and tail co-movement across assets, than conventional factor-model-based bootstrap approaches. In portfolio applications, covariance estimates derived from MarketGAN-generated samples outperform those derived from other methods when factor information is at least weakly informative, demonstrating tangible economic value.