Bayesian Over-the-Air FedAvg via Channel Driven Stochastic Gradient Langevin Dynamics

The recent development of scalable Bayesian inference methods has renewed interest in the adoption of Bayesian learning as an alternative to conventional frequentist learning that offers improved model calibration via uncertainty quantification. Recently, federated averaging Langevin dynamics (FALD) was introduced as a variant of federated averaging that can efficiently implement distributed Bayesian learning in the presence of noiseless communications. In this paper, we propose wireless FALD (WFALD), a novel protocol that realizes FALD in wireless systems by integrating over-the-air computation and channel-driven sampling for Monte Carlo updates. Unlike prior work on wireless Bayesian learning, WFALD enables (\emph{i}) multiple local updates between communication rounds; and (\emph{ii}) stochastic gradients computed by mini-batch. A convergence analysis is presented in terms of the 2-Wasserstein distance between the samples produced by WFALD and the targeted global posterior distribution. Analysis and experiments show that, when the signal-to-noise ratio is sufficiently large, channel noise can be fully repurposed for Monte Carlo sampling, thus entailing no loss in performance.

Quantum Conformal Prediction for Reliable Uncertainty Quantification in Quantum Machine Learning

Quantum machine learning is a promising programming paradigm for the optimization of quantum algorithms in the current era of noisy intermediate scale quantum (NISQ) computers. A fundamental challenge in quantum machine learning is generalization, as the designer targets performance under testing conditions, while having access only to limited training data. Existing generalization analyses, while identifying important general trends and scaling laws, cannot be used to assign reliable and informative "error bars" to the decisions made by quantum models. In this article, we propose a general methodology that can reliably quantify the uncertainty of quantum models, irrespective of the amount of training data, of the number of shots, of the ansatz, of the training algorithm, and of the presence of quantum hardware noise. The approach, which builds on probabilistic conformal prediction, turns an arbitrary, possibly small, number of shots from a pre-trained quantum model into a set prediction, e.g., an interval, that provably contains the true target with any desired coverage level. Experimental results confirm the theoretical calibration guarantees of the proposed framework, referred to as quantum conformal prediction.

Guaranteed Dynamic Scheduling of Ultra-Reliable Low-Latency Traffic via Conformal Prediction

The dynamic scheduling of ultra-reliable and low-latency traffic (URLLC) in the uplink can significantly enhance the efficiency of coexisting services, such as enhanced mobile broadband (eMBB) devices, by only allocating resources when necessary. The main challenge is posed by the uncertainty in the process of URLLC packet generation, which mandates the use of predictors for URLLC traffic in the coming frames. In practice, such prediction may overestimate or underestimate the amount of URLLC data to be generated, yielding either an excessive or an insufficient amount of resources to be pre-emptively allocated for URLLC packets. In this paper, we introduce a novel scheduler for URLLC packets that provides formal guarantees on reliability and latency irrespective of the quality of the URLLC traffic predictor. The proposed method leverages recent advances in online conformal prediction (CP), and follows the principle of dynamically adjusting the amount of allocated resources so as to meet reliability and latency requirements set by the designer.

Modular Model-Based Bayesian Learning for Uncertainty-Aware and Reliable Deep MIMO Receivers

In the design of wireless receivers, DNNs can be combined with traditional model-based receiver algorithms to realize modular hybrid model-based/data-driven architectures that can account for domain knowledge. Such architectures typically include multiple modules, each carrying out a different functionality. Conventionally trained DNN-based modules are known to produce poorly calibrated, typically overconfident, decisions. This implies that an incorrect decision may propagate through the architecture without any indication of its insufficient accuracy. To address this problem, we present a novel combination of Bayesian learning with hybrid model-based/data-driven architectures for wireless receiver design. The proposed methodology, referred to as modular model-based Bayesian learning, results in better calibrated modules, improving accuracy and calibration of the overall receiver. We demonstrate this approach for the recently proposed DeepSIC MIMO receiver, showing significant improvements with respect to the state-of-the-art learning methods.

Bayesian Inference on Binary Spiking Networks Leveraging Nanoscale Device Stochasticity

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) can overcome the problem of overconfidence that plagues traditional frequentist deep neural networks, and are hence considered to be a key enabler for reliable AI systems. However, conventional hardware realizations of BNNs are resource intensive, requiring the implementation of random number generators for synaptic sampling. Owing to their inherent stochasticity during programming and read operations, nanoscale memristive devices can be directly leveraged for sampling, without the need for additional hardware resources. In this paper, we introduce a novel Phase Change Memory (PCM)-based hardware implementation for BNNs with binary synapses. The proposed architecture consists of separate weight and noise planes, in which PCM cells are configured and operated to represent the nominal values of weights and to generate the required noise for sampling, respectively. Using experimentally observed PCM noise characteristics, for the exemplary Breast Cancer Dataset classification problem, we obtain hardware accuracy and expected calibration error matching that of an 8-bit fixed-point (FxP8) implementation, with projected savings of over 9$\times$ in terms of core area transistor count.

Time-Warping Invariant Quantum Recurrent Neural Networks via Quantum-Classical Adaptive Gating

Adaptive gating plays a key role in temporal data processing via classical recurrent neural networks (RNN), as it facilitates retention of past information necessary to predict the future, providing a mechanism that preserves invariance to time warping transformations. This paper builds on quantum recurrent neural networks (QRNNs), a dynamic model with quantum memory, to introduce a novel class of temporal data processing quantum models that preserve invariance to time-warping transformations of the (classical) input-output sequences. The model, referred to as time warping-invariant QRNN (TWI-QRNN), augments a QRNN with a quantum-classical adaptive gating mechanism that chooses whether to apply a parameterized unitary transformation at each time step as a function of the past samples of the input sequence via a classical recurrent model. The TWI-QRNN model class is derived from first principles, and its capacity to successfully implement time-warping transformations is experimentally demonstrated on examples with classical or quantum dynamics.

Bayesian and Multi-Armed Contextual Meta-Optimization for Efficient Wireless Radio Resource Management

Optimal resource allocation in modern communication networks calls for the optimization of objective functions that are only accessible via costly separate evaluations for each candidate solution. The conventional approach carries out the optimization of resource-allocation parameters for each system configuration, characterized, e.g., by topology and traffic statistics, using global search methods such as Bayesian optimization (BO). These methods tend to require a large number of iterations, and hence a large number of key performance indicator (KPI) evaluations. In this paper, we propose the use of meta-learning to transfer knowledge from data collected from related, but distinct, configurations in order to speed up optimization on new network configurations. Specifically, we combine meta-learning with BO, as well as with multi-armed bandit (MAB) optimization, with the latter having the potential advantage of operating directly on a discrete search space. Furthermore, we introduce novel contextual meta-BO and meta-MAB algorithms, in which transfer of knowledge across configurations occurs at the level of a mapping from graph-based contextual information to resource-allocation parameters. Experiments for the problem of open loop power control (OLPC) parameter optimization for the uplink of multi-cell multi-antenna systems provide insights into the potential benefits of meta-learning and contextual optimization.

Semantics-Aware Remote Estimation via Information Bottleneck-Inspired Type Based Multiple Access

Type-based multiple access (TBMA) is a semantics-aware multiple access protocol for remote inference. In TBMA, codewords are reused across transmitting sensors, with each codeword being assigned to a different observation value. Existing TBMA protocols are based on fixed shared codebooks and on conventional maximum-likelihood or Bayesian decoders, which require knowledge of the distributions of observations and channels. In this letter, we propose a novel design principle for TBMA based on the information bottleneck (IB). In the proposed IB-TBMA protocol, the shared codebook is jointly optimized with a decoder based on artificial neural networks (ANNs), so as to adapt to source, observations, and channel statistics based on data only. We also introduce the Compressed IB-TBMA (CB-TBMA) protocol, which improves IB-TBMA by enabling a reduction in the number of codewords via an IB-inspired clustering phase. Numerical results demonstrate the importance of a joint design of codebook and neural decoder, and validate the benefits of codebook compression.

Calibrating AI Models for Wireless Communications via Conformal Prediction

When used in complex engineered systems, such as communication networks, artificial intelligence (AI) models should be not only as accurate as possible, but also well calibrated. A well-calibrated AI model is one that can reliably quantify the uncertainty of its decisions, assigning high confidence levels to decisions that are likely to be correct and low confidence levels to decisions that are likely to be erroneous. This paper investigates the application of conformal prediction as a general framework to obtain AI models that produce decisions with formal calibration guarantees. Conformal prediction transforms probabilistic predictors into set predictors that are guaranteed to contain the correct answer with a probability chosen by the designer. Such formal calibration guarantees hold irrespective of the true, unknown, distribution underlying the generation of the variables of interest, and can be defined in terms of ensemble or time-averaged probabilities. In this paper, conformal prediction is applied for the first time to the design of AI for communication systems in conjunction to both frequentist and Bayesian learning, focusing on demodulation, modulation classification, and channel prediction.

Online Convex Optimization of Programmable Quantum Computers to Simulate Time-Varying Quantum Channels

Simulating quantum channels is a fundamental primitive in quantum computing, since quantum channels define general (trace-preserving) quantum operations. An arbitrary quantum channel cannot be exactly simulated using a finite-dimensional programmable quantum processor, making it important to develop optimal approximate simulation techniques. In this paper, we study the challenging setting in which the channel to be simulated varies adversarially with time. We propose the use of matrix exponentiated gradient descent (MEGD), an online convex optimization method, and analytically show that it achieves a sublinear regret in time. Through experiments, we validate the main results for time-varying dephasing channels using a programmable generalized teleportation processor.