Location Agnostic Source-Free Domain Adaptive Learning to Predict Solar Power Generation

The prediction of solar power generation is a challenging task due to its dependence on climatic characteristics that exhibit spatial and temporal variability. The performance of a prediction model may vary across different places due to changes in data distribution, resulting in a model that works well in one region but not in others. Furthermore, as a consequence of global warming, there is a notable acceleration in the alteration of weather patterns on an annual basis. This phenomenon introduces the potential for diminished efficacy of existing models, even within the same geographical region, as time progresses. In this paper, a domain adaptive deep learning-based framework is proposed to estimate solar power generation using weather features that can solve the aforementioned challenges. A feed-forward deep convolutional network model is trained for a known location dataset in a supervised manner and utilized to predict the solar power of an unknown location later. This adaptive data-driven approach exhibits notable advantages in terms of computing speed, storage efficiency, and its ability to improve outcomes in scenarios where state-of-the-art non-adaptive methods fail. Our method has shown an improvement of $10.47 \%$, $7.44 \%$, $5.11\%$ in solar power prediction accuracy compared to best performing non-adaptive method for California (CA), Florida (FL) and New York (NY), respectively.

XOOD: Extreme Value Based Out-Of-Distribution Detection For Image Classification

Detecting out-of-distribution (OOD) data at inference time is crucial for many applications of machine learning. We present XOOD: a novel extreme value-based OOD detection framework for image classification that consists of two algorithms. The first, XOOD-M, is completely unsupervised, while the second XOOD-L is self-supervised. Both algorithms rely on the signals captured by the extreme values of the data in the activation layers of the neural network in order to distinguish between in-distribution and OOD instances. We show experimentally that both XOOD-M and XOOD-L outperform state-of-the-art OOD detection methods on many benchmark data sets in both efficiency and accuracy, reducing false-positive rate (FPR95) by 50%, while improving the inferencing time by an order of magnitude.