3D Localization and Tracking Methods for Multi-Platform Radar Networks

Multi-platform radar networks (MPRNs) are an emerging sensing technology due to their ability to provide improved surveillance capabilities over plain monostatic and bistatic systems. The design of advanced detection, localization, and tracking algorithms for efficient fusion of information obtained through multiple receivers has attracted much attention. However, considerable challenges remain. This article provides an overview on recent unconstrained and constrained localization techniques as well as multitarget tracking (MTT) algorithms tailored to MPRNs. In particular, two data-processing methods are illustrated and explored in detail, one aimed at accomplishing localization tasks the other tracking functions. As to the former, assuming a MPRN with one transmitter and multiple receivers, the angular and range constrained estimator (ARCE) algorithm capitalizes on the knowledge of the transmitter antenna beamwidth. As to the latter, the scalable sum-product algorithm (SPA) based MTT technique is presented. Additionally, a solution to combine ARCE and SPA-based MTT is investigated in order to boost the accuracy of the overall surveillance system. Simulated experiments show the benefit of the combined algorithm in comparison with the conventional baseline SPA-based MTT and the stand-alone ARCE localization, in a 3D sensing scenario.

Monitoring of Underwater Critical Infrastructures: the Nord Stream and Other Recent Case Studies

The explosions on September 26th, 2022, which damaged the gas pipelines of Nord Stream 1 and Nord Stream 2, have highlighted the need and urgency of improving the resilience of Underwater Critical Infrastructures (UCIs). Comprising gas pipelines and power and communication cables, these connect countries worldwide and are critical for the global economy and stability. An attack targeting multiple of such infrastructures simultaneously could potentially cause significant damage and greatly affect various aspects of daily life. Due to the increasing number and continuous deployment of UCIs, existing underwater surveillance solutions, such as Autonomous Underwater Vehicles (AUVs) or Remotely Operated Vehicles (ROVs), are not adequate enough to ensure thorough monitoring. We show that the combination of information from both underwater and above-water surveillance sensors enables achieving Seabed-to-Space Situational Awareness (S3A), mainly thanks to Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Information Fusion (IF) methodologies. These are designed to process immense volumes of information, fused from a variety of sources and generated from monitoring a very large number of assets on a daily basis. The learned knowledge can be used to anticipate future behaviors, identify threats, and determine critical situations concerning UCIs. To illustrate the capabilities and importance of S3A, we consider three events that occurred in the second half of 2022: the aforementioned Nord Stream explosions, the cutoff of the underwater communication cable SHEFA-2 connecting the Shetland Islands and the UK mainland, and the suspicious activity of a large vessel in the Adriatic Sea. Specifically, we provide analyses of the available data, from Automatic Identification System (AIS) and satellite data, integrated with possible contextual information, e.g., bathymetry, weather conditions, and human intelligence.

Fusion of Sensor Measurements and Target-Provided Information in Multitarget Tracking

Tracking multiple time-varying states based on heterogeneous observations is a key problem in many applications. Here, we develop a statistical model and algorithm for tracking an unknown number of targets based on the probabilistic fusion of observations from two classes of data sources. The first class, referred to as target-independent perception systems (TIPSs), consists of sensors that periodically produce noisy measurements of targets without requiring target cooperation. The second class, referred to as target-dependent reporting systems (TDRSs), relies on cooperative targets that report noisy measurements of their state and their identity. We present a joint TIPS-TDRS observation model that accounts for observation-origin uncertainty, missed detections, false alarms, and asynchronicity. We then establish a factor graph that represents this observation model along with a state evolution model including target identities. Finally, by executing the sum-product algorithm on that factor graph, we obtain a scalable multitarget tracking algorithm with inherent TIPS-TDRS fusion. The performance of the proposed algorithm is evaluated using simulated data as well as real data from a maritime surveillance experiment.

Cooperative Localization and Multitarget Tracking in Agent Networks with the Sum-Product Algorithm

This paper addresses the problem of multitarget tracking using a network of sensing agents with unknown positions. Agents have to both localize themselves in the sensor network and, at the same time, perform multitarget tracking in the presence of clutter and target miss detection. These two problems are jointly resolved in a holistic approach where graph theory is used to describe the statistical relationships among agent states, target states, and observations. A scalable message passing scheme, based on the sum-product algorithm, enables to efficiently approximate the marginal posterior distributions of both agent and target states. The proposed solution is general enough to accommodate a full multistatic network configuration, with multiple transmitters and receivers. Numerical simulations show superior performance of the proposed joint approach with respect to the case in which cooperative self-localization and multitarget tracking are performed separately, as the former manages to extract valuable information from targets. Lastly, data acquired in 2018 by the NATO Science and Technology (STO) Centre for Maritime Research and Experimentation (CMRE) through a network of autonomous underwater vehicles demonstrates the effectiveness of the approach in practical applications.

Quickest Detection and Forecast of Pandemic Outbreaks: Analysis of COVID-19 Waves

The COVID-19 pandemic has, worldwide and up to December 2020, caused over 1.7 million deaths, and put the world's most advanced healthcare systems under heavy stress. In many countries, drastic restriction measures adopted by political authorities, such as national lockdowns, have not prevented the outbreak of new pandemic's waves. In this article, we propose an integrated detection-estimation-forecasting framework that, using publicly available data published by the national authorities, is designed to: (i) learn relevant features of the epidemic (e.g., the infection rate); (ii) detect as quickly as possible the onset (or the termination) of an exponential growth of the contagion; and (iii) reliably forecast the epidemic evolution. The proposed solution is validated by analyzing the COVID-19 second and third waves in the USA.