Abstract:We provide evidence that language models can detect, localize and, to a certain degree, verbalize the difference between perturbations applied to their activations. More precisely, we either (a) \emph{mask} activations, simulating \emph{dropout}, or (b) add \emph{Gaussian noise} to them, at a target sentence. We then ask a multiple-choice question such as ``\emph{Which of the previous sentences was perturbed?}'' or ``\emph{Which of the two perturbations was applied?}''. We test models from the Llama, Olmo, and Qwen families, with sizes between 8B and 32B, all of which can easily detect and localize the perturbations, often with perfect accuracy. These models can also learn, when taught in context, to distinguish between dropout and Gaussian noise. Notably, \qwenb's \emph{zero-shot} accuracy in identifying which perturbation was applied improves as a function of the perturbation strength and, moreover, decreases if the in-context labels are flipped, suggesting a prior for the correct ones -- even modulo controls. Because dropout has been used as a training-regularization technique, while Gaussian noise is sometimes added during inference, we discuss the possibility of a data-agnostic ``training awareness'' signal and the implications for AI safety. The code and data are available at \href{https://github.com/saifh-github/llm-dropout-noise-recognition}{link 1} and \href{https://drive.google.com/file/d/1es-Sfw_AH9GficeXgeqpy87rocrZZ_PQ/view}{link 2}, respectively.
Abstract:The leading AI companies are increasingly focused on building generalist AI agents -- systems that can autonomously plan, act, and pursue goals across almost all tasks that humans can perform. Despite how useful these systems might be, unchecked AI agency poses significant risks to public safety and security, ranging from misuse by malicious actors to a potentially irreversible loss of human control. We discuss how these risks arise from current AI training methods. Indeed, various scenarios and experiments have demonstrated the possibility of AI agents engaging in deception or pursuing goals that were not specified by human operators and that conflict with human interests, such as self-preservation. Following the precautionary principle, we see a strong need for safer, yet still useful, alternatives to the current agency-driven trajectory. Accordingly, we propose as a core building block for further advances the development of a non-agentic AI system that is trustworthy and safe by design, which we call Scientist AI. This system is designed to explain the world from observations, as opposed to taking actions in it to imitate or please humans. It comprises a world model that generates theories to explain data and a question-answering inference machine. Both components operate with an explicit notion of uncertainty to mitigate the risks of overconfident predictions. In light of these considerations, a Scientist AI could be used to assist human researchers in accelerating scientific progress, including in AI safety. In particular, our system can be employed as a guardrail against AI agents that might be created despite the risks involved. Ultimately, focusing on non-agentic AI may enable the benefits of AI innovation while avoiding the risks associated with the current trajectory. We hope these arguments will motivate researchers, developers, and policymakers to favor this safer path.


Abstract:Is there a way to design powerful AI systems based on machine learning methods that would satisfy probabilistic safety guarantees? With the long-term goal of obtaining a probabilistic guarantee that would apply in every context, we consider estimating a context-dependent bound on the probability of violating a given safety specification. Such a risk evaluation would need to be performed at run-time to provide a guardrail against dangerous actions of an AI. Noting that different plausible hypotheses about the world could produce very different outcomes, and because we do not know which one is right, we derive bounds on the safety violation probability predicted under the true but unknown hypothesis. Such bounds could be used to reject potentially dangerous actions. Our main results involve searching for cautious but plausible hypotheses, obtained by a maximization that involves Bayesian posteriors over hypotheses. We consider two forms of this result, in the iid case and in the non-iid case, and conclude with open problems towards turning such theoretical results into practical AI guardrails.