MAGPIE-Net: Predicting short-duration heavy-rainfall events in station neighborhoods from multitemporal FY-4A AGRI observations

Short-duration heavy-rainfall warning determines whether 1 h rainfall will exceed a threshold within a target-station neighborhood over the next few hours. Multitemporal infrared and water-vapor observations from the Fengyun-4A Advanced Geostationary Radiation Imager (FY-4A AGRI) capture cloud-top cooling, moisture evolution, and cloud expansion before substantial surface rainfall develops. However, most deep-learning nowcasting methods convert these signals into local warnings by post-processing gridded precipitation predictions, preventing station-neighborhood event targets from directly supervising the satellite-to-station learning pathway. We propose MAGPIE-Net, which embeds a geographically adaptive, differentiable grid-to-station mapping in a pathway combining convection-initiation features, multiscale encoding, and auxiliary gridded precipitation diagnosis. Station-neighborhood event losses thereby constrain the satellite representation and its mapping to irregular station locations for 0-3 h event prediction. In independent 2023 warm-season tests over central and eastern China, critical success index (CSI) values under the primary 40 km/20 mm h-1 definition were 0.371, 0.304, and 0.238 at 0-1, 1-2, and 2-3 h. Across episodes, MAGPIE-Net achieved a detection rate of 65.1% and a mean lead time of 64.6 min, compared with 23.6% and 18.3 min for the best gridded-output baseline, and remained superior for smaller neighborhoods and the 50 mm h-1 threshold. During the critical early-warning stage, when antecedent 1 h rainfall within 40 km remained below 1 mm, MAGPIE-Net detected 51.9% of episodes with a mean lead time of 38.5 min. These results show that event-oriented satellite-to-station modeling converts multitemporal geostationary cloud and moisture observations into local heavy-rainfall warnings more effectively than gridded-precipitation modeling.

Tensor Decomposition-Based Wireless Sensing for MIMO-OFDM ISAC via Flexible Spatial-Temporal-Spectral Optimization

Integrated sensing and communication (ISAC) is regarded as a key enabling technique in future 6th-generation (6G) mobile communication systems. However, existing multi-input multi-output (MIMO) orthogonal frequency division multiplexing (OFDM) ISAC designs generally rely on the fixed-position antennas and fixed allocation of time-frequency resources, thereby limiting the degrees of freedom of wireless sensing along the spatial-temporal-spectral dimensions. In this paper, we propose a novel wireless sensing framework for MIMO-OFDM ISAC systems with flexible spatial-temporal-spectral optimization and propose a tensor decomposition-based approach to estimate target parameters, including azimuth/elevation angles, ranges, and velocities. Specifically, we first establish a monostatic wireless sensing model for MIMO-OFDM ISAC systems, where the positions of antenna elements, the allocation of OFDM symbols and subcarriers can be flexibly configured. Then, we formulate the problem of estimating target parameters as a tensor decomposition problem admitting to the canonical polyadic format, which enables the parallel target parameters estimation process from corresponding factor matrices along the spatial, temporal, and spectral dimensions, respectively. Based on the decomposed factor matrices, we derive the Cramer-Rao Bound (CRB) for the unknown target parameters and reveal that the estimation accuracy of azimuth/elevation angles, velocities and ranges is fundamentally determined by the array geometry, the distribution of OFDM symbols and subcarriers. Building on this insight, we obtain an optimized solution for the positions of antenna elements, and optimal solutions for the subcarrier allocation and OFDM symbol allocation to minimize the CRB, as well as the mean square error of target parameters estimation.

Self-Calibration DOA Estimation for Movable Antenna Systems with Antenna Position Errors

In this letter, we investigate the direction-of-arrival (DOA) estimation problem for wireless sensing with movable antenna (MA) systems in the presence of unknown antenna position errors (APE). To achieve robust wireless sensing, we transform the DOA estimation problem with APE into an optimization problem via the orthogonality between the steering vector and the noise subspace. Then we propose an alternating optimization (AO)-based self-calibration estimation, which consists of two stages and iteratively estimates the APE and DOA. Specifically, in the first stage, by fixing the APE, the problem reduces to the classical DOA estimation problem, which is solved using the multiple signal classification (MUSIC) algorithm. In the second stage, we fix the DOA to estimate the APE. By applying the Lagrange multiplier technique to the subproblem, we obtain a closed-form expression for the APE estimation. Simulation results demonstrate the superior DOA estimation performance of the proposed self-calibration algorithm for MA systems compared to the existing approaches.

Rotatable Antenna-Enhanced Wireless Sensing with Uniform Sparse Array via Tensor Decomposition

In this letter, we propose a new wireless sensing system equipped with a rotatable antenna (RA) array to enhance the sensing performance of a uniform sparse array (USA). To tackle the severe spatial undersampling issues, we propose a novel tensor decomposition-based direction-of-arrival (DOA) estimation algorithm. Specifically, we introduce a synchronous multiple rotation pattern for active target probing such that the received signals across multiple rotations to capture the diverse spatial degree of freedoms. Subsequently, we mathematically formulate the received signals across successive rotations as a third-order tensor, and leverage the canonical polyadic decomposition to obtain the factor matrices incorporating the DOA of targets. By analyzing the extrema distribution laws of array steering vector correlation (SVC) and gain SVC of RAs, we propose to combine the array and gain factor matrices via the Kronecker product, which theoretically guarantees the unambiguous DOA estimation. Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed RA-enhanced tensor decomposition-based algorithm achieves high-precision and unambiguous sensing performance compared to conventional uniform dense arrays and omnidirectional antenna systems.

Joint Shape-Position Optimization Enhanced 2D DOA Estimation in Movable Antenna Systems

Movable Antenna (MA) technology is emerging as a promising advancement with the potential to significantly enhance the performance of future wireless communication and sensing systems. In this paper, we address two-dimensional (2D) direction of arrival (DOA) estimation via joint shape-position optimization. Specifically, we formulate an optimization problem aimed at minimizing the Cramér-Rao Bound (CRB) based on a 2D DOA estimation model for MA systems. To tackle the highly non-convex nature of this CRB minimization, we investigate the spatial utilization of the movable region (MR) under minimum antenna spacing constraints. By demonstrating that an equilateral triangle yields the minimum overlap area, we strategically design an equilateral triangular MR. This specific geometric configuration enables the exploitation of structural symmetry to simplify the geometric constraints, which effectively reduces the complexity of solving the optimization problem. Subsequently, we derive the optimal MA positions by selecting the candidate locations farthest from the centroid of MR. The results demonstrate that the proposed joint shape-position optimization substantially enhances 2D DOA estimation performance.