Clustering Enabled Few-Shot Load Forecasting

While the advanced machine learning algorithms are effective in load forecasting, they often suffer from low data utilization, and hence their superior performance relies on massive datasets. This motivates us to design machine learning algorithms with improved data utilization. Specifically, we consider the load forecasting for a new user in the system by observing only few shots (data points) of its energy consumption. This task is challenging since the limited samples are insufficient to exploit the temporal characteristics, essential for load forecasting. Nonetheless, we notice that there are not too many temporal characteristics for residential loads due to the limited kinds of human lifestyle. Hence, we propose to utilize the historical load profile data from existing users to conduct effective clustering, which mitigates the challenges brought by the limited samples. Specifically, we first design a feature extraction clustering method for categorizing historical data. Then, inheriting the prior knowledge from the clustering results, we propose a two-phase Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) model to conduct load forecasting for new users. The proposed method outperforms the traditional LSTM model, especially when the training sample size fails to cover a whole period (i.e., 24 hours in our task). Extensive case studies on two real-world datasets and one synthetic dataset verify the effectiveness and efficiency of our method.

Hallucinated Adversarial Learning for Robust Visual Tracking

Humans can easily learn new concepts from just a single exemplar, mainly due to their remarkable ability to imagine or hallucinate what the unseen exemplar may look like in different settings. Incorporating such an ability to hallucinate diverse new samples of the tracked instance can help the trackers alleviate the over-fitting problem in the low-data tracking regime. To achieve this, we propose an effective adversarial approach, denoted as adversarial "hallucinator" (AH), for robust visual tracking. The proposed AH is designed to firstly learn transferable non-linear deformations between a pair of same-identity instances, and then apply these deformations to an unseen tracked instance in order to generate diverse positive training samples. By incorporating AH into an online tracking-by-detection framework, we propose the hallucinated adversarial tracker (HAT), which jointly optimizes AH with an online classifier (e.g., MDNet) in an end-to-end manner. In addition, a novel selective deformation transfer (SDT) method is presented to better select the deformations which are more suitable for transfer. Extensive experiments on 3 popular benchmarks demonstrate that our HAT achieves the state-of-the-art performance.