A Scalable Reinforcement Learning-based System Using On-Chain Data for Cryptocurrency Portfolio Management

On-chain data (metrics) of blockchain networks, akin to company fundamentals, provide crucial and comprehensive insights into the networks. Despite their informative nature, on-chain data have not been utilized in reinforcement learning (RL)-based systems for cryptocurrency (crypto) portfolio management (PM). An intriguing subject is the extent to which the utilization of on-chain data can enhance an RL-based system's return performance compared to baselines. Therefore, in this study, we propose CryptoRLPM, a novel RL-based system incorporating on-chain data for end-to-end crypto PM. CryptoRLPM consists of five units, spanning from information comprehension to trading order execution. In CryptoRLPM, the on-chain data are tested and specified for each crypto to solve the issue of ineffectiveness of metrics. Moreover, the scalable nature of CryptoRLPM allows changes in the portfolios' cryptos at any time. Backtesting results on three portfolios indicate that CryptoRLPM outperforms all the baselines in terms of accumulated rate of return (ARR), daily rate of return (DRR), and Sortino ratio (SR). Particularly, when compared to Bitcoin, CryptoRLPM enhances the ARR, DRR, and SR by at least 83.14%, 0.5603%, and 2.1767 respectively.

Network Graph Based Neural Architecture Search

Neural architecture search enables automation of architecture design. Despite its success, it is computationally costly and does not provide an insight on how to design a desirable architecture. Here we propose a new way of searching neural network where we search neural architecture by rewiring the corresponding graph and predict the architecture performance by graph properties. Because we do not perform machine learning over the entire graph space and use predicted architecture performance to search architecture, the searching process is remarkably efficient. We find graph based search can give a reasonably good prediction of desirable architecture. In addition, we find graph properties that are effective to predict architecture performance. Our work proposes a new way of searching neural architecture and provides insights on neural architecture design.

A Modularized and Scalable Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning-based System for Financial Portfolio Management

Financial Portfolio Management is one of the most applicable problems in Reinforcement Learning (RL) by its sequential decision-making nature. Existing RL-based approaches, while inspiring, often lack scalability, reusability, or profundity of intake information to accommodate the ever-changing capital markets. In this paper, we design and develop MSPM, a novel Multi-agent Reinforcement learning-based system with a modularized and scalable architecture for portfolio management. MSPM involves two asynchronously updated units: Evolving Agent Module (EAM) and Strategic Agent Module (SAM). A self-sustained EAM produces signal-comprised information for a specific asset using heterogeneous data inputs, and each EAM possesses its reusability to have connections to multiple SAMs. A SAM is responsible for the assets reallocation of a portfolio using profound information from the EAMs connected. With the elaborate architecture and the multi-step condensation of the volatile market information, MSPM aims to provide a customizable, stable, and dedicated solution to portfolio management that existing approaches do not. We also tackle data-shortage issue of newly-listed stocks by transfer learning, and validate the necessity of EAM. Experiments on 8-year U.S. stock markets data prove the effectiveness of MSPM in profits accumulation by its outperformance over existing benchmarks.