Abstract:Financial markets pose fundamental challenges for asset return prediction due to their high dimensionality, non-stationarity, and persistent volatility. Despite advances in large language models and multi-agent systems, current quantitative research pipelines suffer from limited automation, weak interpretability, and fragmented coordination across key components such as factor mining and model innovation. In this paper, we propose R&D-Agent for Quantitative Finance, in short RD-Agent(Q), the first data-centric multi-agent framework designed to automate the full-stack research and development of quantitative strategies via coordinated factor-model co-optimization. RD-Agent(Q) decomposes the quant process into two iterative stages: a Research stage that dynamically sets goal-aligned prompts, formulates hypotheses based on domain priors, and maps them to concrete tasks, and a Development stage that employs a code-generation agent, Co-STEER, to implement task-specific code, which is then executed in real-market backtests. The two stages are connected through a feedback stage that thoroughly evaluates experimental outcomes and informs subsequent iterations, with a multi-armed bandit scheduler for adaptive direction selection. Empirically, RD-Agent(Q) achieves up to 2X higher annualized returns than classical factor libraries using 70% fewer factors, and outperforms state-of-the-art deep time-series models on real markets. Its joint factor-model optimization delivers a strong balance between predictive accuracy and strategy robustness. Our code is available at: https://github.com/microsoft/RD-Agent.
Abstract:Evaluating startups in their early stages is a complex task that requires detailed analysis by experts. While automating this process on a large scale can significantly impact businesses, the inherent complexity poses challenges. This paper addresses this challenge by introducing the Startup Success Forecasting Framework (SSFF), a new automated system that combines traditional machine learning with advanced language models. This intelligent agent-based architecture is designed to reason, act, synthesize, and decide like a venture capitalist to perform the analysis end-to-end. The SSFF is made up of three main parts: - Prediction Block: Uses random forests and neural networks to make predictions. - Analyst Block: Simulates VC analysis scenario and uses SOTA prompting techniques - External Knowledge Block: Gathers real-time information from external sources. This framework requires minimal input data about the founder and startup description, enhances it with additional data from external resources, and performs a detailed analysis with high accuracy, all in an automated manner