Page-level Optimization of e-Commerce Item Recommendations

The item details page (IDP) is a web page on an e-commerce website that provides information on a specific product or item listing. Just below the details of the item on this page, the buyer can usually find recommendations for other relevant items. These are typically in the form of a series of modules or carousels, with each module containing a set of recommended items. The selection and ordering of these item recommendation modules are intended to increase discover-ability of relevant items and encourage greater user engagement, while simultaneously showcasing diversity of inventory and satisfying other business objectives. Item recommendation modules on the IDP are often curated and statically configured for all customers, ignoring opportunities for personalization. In this paper, we present a scalable end-to-end production system to optimize the personalized selection and ordering of item recommendation modules on the IDP in real-time by utilizing deep neural networks. Through extensive offline experimentation and online A/B testing, we show that our proposed system achieves significantly higher click-through and conversion rates compared to other existing methods. In our online A/B test, our framework improved click-through rate by 2.48% and purchase-through rate by 7.34% over a static configuration.

Filling the gap between GRACE- and GRACE-FO-derived terrestrial water storage anomalies with Bayesian convolutional neural networks

There is an approximately one-year observation gap of terrestrial water storage anomalies (TWSAs) between the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellite and its successor GRACE Follow-On (GRACE-FO). This poses a challenge for water resources management, as discontinuity in the TWSA observations may introduce significant biases and uncertainties in hydrological model predictions and consequently mislead decision making. To tackle this challenge, a Bayesian convolutional neural network (BCNN) is proposed in this study to bridge this gap using climatic data as inputs. Enhanced by integrating recent advances in deep learning, BCNN can efficiently extract important features for TWSA predictions from multi-source input data. The predicted TWSAs are compared to the hydrological model outputs and three recent TWSA prediction products. Results suggest the superior performance of BCNN in bridging the gap. The extreme dry and wet events during the gap period are also successfully identified by BCNN.