Dynamic Multi-period Experts for Online Time Series Forecasting

Online Time Series Forecasting (OTSF) requires models to continuously adapt to concept drift. However, existing methods often treat concept drift as a monolithic phenomenon. To address this limitation, we first redefine concept drift by categorizing it into two distinct types: Recurring Drift, where previously seen patterns reappear, and Emergent Drift, where entirely new patterns emerge. We then propose DynaME (Dynamic Multi-period Experts), a novel hybrid framework designed to effectively address this dual nature of drift. For Recurring Drift, DynaME employs a committee of specialized experts that are dynamically fitted to the most relevant historical periodic patterns at each time step. For Emergent Drift, the framework detects high-uncertainty scenarios and shifts reliance to a stable, general expert. Extensive experiments on several benchmark datasets and backbones demonstrate that DynaME effectively adapts to both concept drifts and significantly outperforms existing baselines.

Learning Discriminative Dynamics with Label Corruption for Noisy Label Detection

Label noise, commonly found in real-world datasets, has a detrimental impact on a model's generalization. To effectively detect incorrectly labeled instances, previous works have mostly relied on distinguishable training signals, such as training loss, as indicators to differentiate between clean and noisy labels. However, they have limitations in that the training signals incompletely reveal the model's behavior and are not effectively generalized to various noise types, resulting in limited detection accuracy. In this paper, we propose DynaCor framework that distinguishes incorrectly labeled instances from correctly labeled ones based on the dynamics of the training signals. To cope with the absence of supervision for clean and noisy labels, DynaCor first introduces a label corruption strategy that augments the original dataset with intentionally corrupted labels, enabling indirect simulation of the model's behavior on noisy labels. Then, DynaCor learns to identify clean and noisy instances by inducing two clearly distinguishable clusters from the latent representations of training dynamics. Our comprehensive experiments show that DynaCor outperforms the state-of-the-art competitors and shows strong robustness to various noise types and noise rates.