Credibility-Aware Multi-Modal Fusion Using Probabilistic Circuits

We consider the problem of late multi-modal fusion for discriminative learning. Motivated by noisy, multi-source domains that require understanding the reliability of each data source, we explore the notion of credibility in the context of multi-modal fusion. We propose a combination function that uses probabilistic circuits (PCs) to combine predictive distributions over individual modalities. We also define a probabilistic measure to evaluate the credibility of each modality via inference queries over the PC. Our experimental evaluation demonstrates that our fusion method can reliably infer credibility while maintaining competitive performance with the state-of-the-art.

Building Expressive and Tractable Probabilistic Generative Models: A Review

We present a comprehensive survey of the advancements and techniques in the field of tractable probabilistic generative modeling, primarily focusing on Probabilistic Circuits (PCs). We provide a unified perspective on the inherent trade-offs between expressivity and the tractability, highlighting the design principles and algorithmic extensions that have enabled building expressive and efficient PCs, and provide a taxonomy of the field. We also discuss recent efforts to build deep and hybrid PCs by fusing notions from deep neural models, and outline the challenges and open questions that can guide future research in this evolving field.

Promoting Research Collaboration with Open Data Driven Team Recommendation in Response to Call for Proposals

Building teams and promoting collaboration are two very common business activities. An example of these are seen in the TeamingForFunding problem, where research institutions and researchers are interested to identify collaborative opportunities when applying to funding agencies in response to latter's calls for proposals. We describe a novel system to recommend teams using a variety of AI methods, such that (1) each team achieves the highest possible skill coverage that is demanded by the opportunity, and (2) the workload of distributing the opportunities is balanced amongst the candidate members. We address these questions by extracting skills latent in open data of proposal calls (demand) and researcher profiles (supply), normalizing them using taxonomies, and creating efficient algorithms that match demand to supply. We create teams to maximize goodness along a novel metric balancing short- and long-term objectives. We validate the success of our algorithms (1) quantitatively, by evaluating the recommended teams using a goodness score and find that more informed methods lead to recommendations of smaller number of teams but higher goodness, and (2) qualitatively, by conducting a large-scale user study at a college-wide level, and demonstrate that users overall found the tool very useful and relevant. Lastly, we evaluate our system in two diverse settings in US and India (of researchers and proposal calls) to establish generality of our approach, and deploy it at a major US university for routine use.

(Deployed Application) Promoting Research Collaboration with Open Data Driven Team Recommendation in Response to Call for Proposals

Building teams and promoting collaboration are two very common business activities. An example of these are seen in the TeamingForFunding problem, where research institutions and researchers are interested to identify collaborative opportunities when applying to funding agencies in response to latter's calls for proposals. We describe a novel system to recommend teams using a variety of AI methods, such that (1) each team achieves the highest possible skill coverage that is demanded by the opportunity, and (2) the workload of distributing the opportunities is balanced amongst the candidate members. We address these questions by extracting skills latent in open data of proposal calls (demand) and researcher profiles (supply), normalizing them using taxonomies, and creating efficient algorithms that match demand to supply. We create teams to maximize goodness along a novel metric balancing short- and long-term objectives. We validate the success of our algorithms (1) quantitatively, by evaluating the recommended teams using a goodness score and find that more informed methods lead to recommendations of smaller number of teams but higher goodness, and (2) qualitatively, by conducting a large-scale user study at a college-wide level, and demonstrate that users overall found the tool very useful and relevant. Lastly, we evaluate our system in two diverse settings in US and India (of researchers and proposal calls) to establish generality of our approach, and deploy it at a major US university for routine use.

Knowledge-based Refinement of Scientific Publication Knowledge Graphs

We consider the problem of identifying authorship by posing it as a knowledge graph construction and refinement. To this effect, we model this problem as learning a probabilistic logic model in the presence of human guidance (knowledge-based learning). Specifically, we learn relational regression trees using functional gradient boosting that outputs explainable rules. To incorporate human knowledge, advice in the form of first-order clauses is injected to refine the trees. We demonstrate the usefulness of human knowledge both quantitatively and qualitatively in seven authorship domains.

MACOptions: Multi-Agent Learning with Centralized Controller and Options Framework

These days automation is being applied everywhere. In every environment, planning for the actions to be taken by the agents is an important aspect. In this paper, we plan to implement planning for multi-agents with a centralized controller. We compare three approaches: random policy, Q-learning, and Q-learning with Options Framework. We also show the effectiveness of planners by showing performance comparison between Q-Learning with Planner and without Planner.

Human-guided Collaborative Problem Solving: A Natural Language based Framework

We consider the problem of human-machine collaborative problem solving as a planning task coupled with natural language communication. Our framework consists of three components -- a natural language engine that parses the language utterances to a formal representation and vice-versa, a concept learner that induces generalized concepts for plans based on limited interactions with the user, and an HTN planner that solves the task based on human interaction. We illustrate the ability of this framework to address the key challenges of collaborative problem solving by demonstrating it on a collaborative building task in a Minecraft-based blocksworld domain. The accompanied demo video is available at https://youtu.be/q1pWe4aahF0.

Explainable Models via Compression of Tree Ensembles

Ensemble models (bagging and gradient-boosting) of relational decision trees have proved to be one of the most effective learning methods in the area of probabilistic logic models (PLMs). While effective, they lose one of the most important aspect of PLMs -- interpretability. In this paper we consider the problem of compressing a large set of learned trees into a single explainable model. To this effect, we propose CoTE -- Compression of Tree Ensembles -- that produces a single small decision list as a compressed representation. CoTE first converts the trees to decision lists and then performs the combination and compression with the aid of the original training set. An experimental evaluation demonstrates the effectiveness of CoTE in several benchmark relational data sets.

Explaining Deep Tractable Probabilistic Models: The sum-product network case

We consider the problem of explaining a tractable deep probabilistic model, the Sum-Product Networks (SPNs).To this effect, we define the notion of a context-specific independence tree and present an iterative algorithm that converts an SPN to a CSI-tree. The resulting CSI-tree is both interpretable and explainable to the domain expert. To further compress the tree, we approximate the CSIs by fitting a supervised classifier. Our extensive empirical evaluations on synthetic, standard, and real-world clinical data sets demonstrate that the resulting models exhibit superior explainability without loss in performance.

Relational Neural Markov Random Fields

Statistical Relational Learning (SRL) models have attracted significant attention due to their ability to model complex data while handling uncertainty. However, most of these models have been limited to discrete domains due to their limited potential functions. We introduce Relational Neural Markov Random Fields (RN-MRFs) which allow for handling of complex relational hybrid domains. The key advantage of our model is that it makes minimal data distributional assumptions and can seamlessly allow for human knowledge through potentials or relational rules. We propose a maximum pseudolikelihood estimation-based learning algorithm with importance sampling for training the neural potential parameters. Our empirical evaluations across diverse domains such as image processing and relational object mapping, clearly demonstrate its effectiveness against non-neural counterparts.