When Should a Robot Replan? Regret-Guided Update Scheduling in Time-Varying MDPs

Robots operating in non-stationary environments must continually adapt their policies as the dynamics drift, but onboard energy and compute budgets cap how often a full state estimation and re-planning step can be performed. This raises a question: \emph{when}, along a horizon, should a robot spend its limited budget? We formulate this problem in time-varying Markov decision processes (TVMDPs) with a known bound on the rate of transition drift. We model execution as a \emph{skip-update} scheme in which, at chosen update times, the agent estimates the transition kernel by maximum likelihood and computes a finite-horizon policy, and between updates reuses this policy under a propagated state estimate. We analyze the dynamic regret of this scheme and show how it grows during skip intervals in terms of the properties of the TVMDP and the skip lengths; the resulting bound answers the opening question via an online, regret-guided update rule that allocates the budget adaptively. We evaluate the rule in a simulated Mars-rover navigation task with time-varying slip dynamics and on a Crazyflie quadrotor in indoor obstacle fields. Adaptive allocation outperforms other budgeted baselines.

Task-Aware Environment Augmentation for Reliable Navigation via Shielded Conditional Diffusion

Reliable trajectory planning under partial observability depends not only on computing a feasible geometric path, but also on whether the robot receives informative observations while executing that trajectory. Existing approaches usually keep the environment fixed and adapt the robot through belief-space planning, active localization, or added sensing, often incurring costly uncertainty propagation and brittle behavior in observation-poor regions. We flip this perspective and address the largely open problem of \emph{task-aware environment augmentation}: given a mapped environment, a planned task trajectory, and a small budget of visual fiducial markers, where should the environment be augmented so that the planned trajectory can be executed reliably under uncertainty? Our key observation is that useful marker layouts are defined by the localization support they provide along the task trajectory: a small number of well-timed observations can be sufficient to prevent uncertainty from accumulating in regions where state-estimation error would otherwise compromise control. Building on this observation, we present \tbp{SCoDA}, $\textbf{S}$hielded $\textbf{Co}$nditional $\textbf{D}$iffusion for Environment $\textbf{A}$ugmentation. \tbp{SCoDA} learns a conditional distribution over high-performing fiducial layouts from data, using the environment, planned trajectory, disturbance context, and desired execution profile as conditioning. Its shielded sampler reasons over where along the planned execution pose corrections should occur, and steers this distribution toward task-relevant, finite-budget augmentations. Across simulated benchmarks and hardware deployments, we show that \tbp{SCoDA} improves trajectory execution reliability and completion time over strong baselines. Code, models and dataset available at: \hyperlink{scoda-diffusion.github.io}{https://scoda-diffusion.github.io/}

Muninn: Your Trajectory Diffusion Model But Faster

Diffusion-based trajectory planners can synthesize rich, multimodal robot motions, but their iterative denoising makes online planning and control prohibitively slow. Existing accelerations either modify the sampler or compress the network--sacrificing plan quality or requiring retraining without accounting for downstream control risk. We address the problem of making diffusion-based trajectory planners fast enough for real-time robot use without retraining the model or sacrificing trajectory quality, and in a way that works across diverse state-space diffusion architectures. Our key insight is that diffusion trajectory planners expose two signals we can exploit: a cheap probe of how their internal trajectory representation changes across steps, and analytic coefficients that describe how denoiser errors affect the sampler's state update. By calibrating the first signal against the second on offline runs, we obtain a per-step score that upper-bounds how far the final trajectory can deviate when we reuse a cached denoiser output, and we treat this bound as an uncertainty budget that we can spend over the denoising process. Building on this insight, we present Muninn, a training-free caching wrapper that tracks this uncertainty budget during sampling and, at each diffusion step, chooses between reusing a cached denoiser output when the predicted deviation is small and recomputing the denoiser when it is not. Across standard benchmarks Muninn delivers up to 4.6x wall-clock speedups across several trajectory diffusion models by reducing denoiser evaluations, while preserving task performance and safety metrics. Muninn further certifies that cached rollouts remain within a specified distance of their full-compute counterparts, and we validate these gains in real-time closed-loop navigation and manipulation hardware deployments. Project page: https://github.com/gokulp01/Muninn.

Online Learning of Deceptive Policies under Intermittent Observation

In supervisory control settings, autonomous systems are not monitored continuously. Instead, monitoring often occurs at sporadic intervals within known bounds. We study the problem of deception, where an agent pursues a private objective while remaining plausibly compliant with a supervisor's reference policy when observations occur. Motivated by the behavior of real, human supervisors, we situate the problem within Theory of Mind: the representation of what an observer believes and expects to see. We show that Theory of Mind can be repurposed to steer online reinforcement learning (RL) toward such deceptive behavior. We model the supervisor's expectations and distill from them a single, calibrated scalar -- the expected evidence of deviation if an observation were to happen now. This scalar combines how unlike the reference and current action distributions appear, with the agent's belief that an observation is imminent. Injected as a state-dependent weight into a KL-regularized policy improvement step within an online RL loop, this scalar informs a closed-form update that smoothly trades off self-interest and compliance, thus sidestepping hand-crafted or heuristic policies. In real-world, real-time hardware experiments on marine (ASV) and aerial (UAV) navigation, our ToM-guided RL runs online, achieves high return and success with observed-trace evidence calibrated to the supervisor's expectations.