Vehicle Behavior Prediction by Episodic-Memory Implanted NDT

In autonomous driving, predicting the behavior (turning left, stopping, etc.) of target vehicles is crucial for the self-driving vehicle to make safe decisions and avoid accidents. Existing deep learning-based methods have shown excellent and accurate performance, but the black-box nature makes it untrustworthy to apply them in practical use. In this work, we explore the interpretability of behavior prediction of target vehicles by an Episodic Memory implanted Neural Decision Tree (abbrev. eMem-NDT). The structure of eMem-NDT is constructed by hierarchically clustering the text embedding of vehicle behavior descriptions. eMem-NDT is a neural-backed part of a pre-trained deep learning model by changing the soft-max layer of the deep model to eMem-NDT, for grouping and aligning the memory prototypes of the historical vehicle behavior features in training data on a neural decision tree. Each leaf node of eMem-NDT is modeled by a neural network for aligning the behavior memory prototypes. By eMem-NDT, we infer each instance in behavior prediction of vehicles by bottom-up Memory Prototype Matching (MPM) (searching the appropriate leaf node and the links to the root node) and top-down Leaf Link Aggregation (LLA) (obtaining the probability of future behaviors of vehicles for certain instances). We validate eMem-NDT on BLVD and LOKI datasets, and the results show that our model can obtain a superior performance to other methods with clear explainability. The code is available at https://github.com/JWFangit/eMem-NDT.

Behavioral Intention Prediction in Driving Scenes: A Survey

In the driving scene, the road participants usually show frequent interaction and intention understanding with the surrounding. Ego-agent (each road participant itself) conducts the prediction of what behavior will be done by other road users all the time and expects a shared and consistent understanding. For instance, we need to predict the next movement of other road users and expect a consistent joint action to avoid unexpected accident. Behavioral Intention Prediction (BIP) is to simulate such a human consideration process and fulfill the beginning time prediction of specific behaviors. It provides an earlier signal promptly than the specific behaviors for whether the surrounding road participants will present specific behavior (crossing, overtaking, and turning, etc.) in near future or not. More and more works in BIP are based on deep learning models to take advantage of big data, and focus on developing effective inference approaches (e.g., explainable inference, cross-modality fusion, and simulation augmentation). Therefore, in this work, we focus on BIP-conditioned prediction tasks, including trajectory prediction, behavior prediction, and accident prediction and explore the differences among various works in this field. Based on this investigation and the findings, we discuss the open problems in behavioral intention prediction and propose future research directions.