GoT-CD: Graph-of-Thoughts Causal Discovery and the Fragility of Post-hoc Path-Specific Fairness Audits

Causal discovery recovers directed structure from observational data and is increasingly used in clinical settings to support mechanism reasoning and fairness audits of predictive models. Path-specific counterfactual fairness asks whether a protected attribute influences an outcome through illegitimate pathways, but these estimands are defined relative to a supplied causal graph and therefore inherit whatever errors the discovery step introduces. Discovery methods are routinely scored on aggregate structural metrics that weight all edges equally, and no established evaluation asks whether the specific pathway an audit depends on survives discovery---or what the audit reports when that pathway is missing. Here we show that full-graph Graph-of-Thoughts reasoning yields acyclic discovered graphs that are structurally competitive with large language model (LLM) baselines, yet that structural fidelity alone does not guarantee fairness-faithful audits. We introduce GoT-CD, in which the reasoning unit is a complete candidate edge set: multiple graphs are generated in parallel, scored by a deterministic validity function, and merged under a hard union constraint that forbids invented edges, with greedy projection enforcing a DAG before commitment. GoT-CD returns a valid DAG on all five reported benchmarks and achieves the best DAG-valid F1 score among LLM methods on Asia, Alzheimer's, and COVID-Respiratory datasets. On an Alzheimer's benchmark with known unfair path, a post-hoc path-specific audit shows that five of eight discovered graphs recover no path from the sensitive attribute to the outcome and therefore report a null overall effect while mediated effects persist, necessitating downstream path-specific fairness analysis along with structural discovery.

FairDiffuseVQVAE: Sampling-Time Fairness in Tabular Diffusion via Conditional Refinement of Vector-Quantized Latents

Synthetic tabular data is increasingly used in privacy-preserving data sharing, data augmentation, and to mitigate downstream classifier bias. State-of-the-art tabular diffusion models such as TabDDPM and TabSyn achieve excellent distributional fidelity but offer no mechanism for fairness; conversely, fairness-aware tabular generators (DECAF, FairTGAN, FairTabDDPM) impose explicit fairness penalties at training time, yielding modest fairness gains at substantial cost to either sample quality or downstream utility. We introduce FairDiffuseVQVAE, a two-stage architecture that decouples fidelity from fairness: a vector-quantized autoencoder with a row-level discriminator (Stage~1, no fairness terms) is followed by a DiffuseVAE-style continuous diffusion refiner that conditions on both the Stage-1 reconstruction and the protected attribute via classifier-free guidance (Stage~2). Fairness emerges as a property of the sampling distribution -- uniform sampling of the protected attribute at inference time enforces demographic parity by construction, rather than from competing loss terms. On the Adult, Bank and COMPAS datasets, FairDiffuseVQVAE achieves the highest mean Demographic Parity Ratio ($0.702$, $+47\%$ over FairTabDDPM) and Equalized Odds Ratio ($0.686$, $+100\%$). It also attains the lowest mean pair-wise correlation error ($0.034$) of any published method, while explicitly trading $\sim$$15$ AUC points for these fairness gains.

Personal Care Utility: Health as Everyday Infrastructure

Healthcare is essential, expert, and episodic by design - built around the roughly one hour per year a person spends with a clinician. The 8,759 hours outside clinical settings, where eating, sleeping, movement, medication, and stress actually shape long-term health, have no comparable infrastructure. The bottleneck for personalized health is not raw data or reasoning capability; it is the absence of that infrastructure layer. This paper introduces the Personal Care Utility (PCU): a layered, event-driven architecture proposed as the missing utility for everyday health, in the way that payments, networks, and power are utilities for their domains. PCU organizes continuous personal signals into semantically meaningful life events through a Personicle, estimates dynamic health state against personal baselines, reasons about cause and context, and routes guidance through an orchestrator that separates clinical decision logic, behavioral strategy selection, and natural-language expression. This separation lets large language models support reasoning and communication while keeping safety-critical clinical decisions grounded in validated evidence. We instantiate PCU for Type 2 Diabetes - turning CGM, meal, activity, medication, sleep, stress, and clinical data into glycemic events, individualized state estimates, causal explanations, and knowledge-grounded interventions. A day-in-the-life scenario shows the same infrastructure producing real-time nudges, weekly summaries, medication check-ins, silence, or deterministic safety alerts depending on context and risk. We close with how PCU generalizes to other chronic conditions and the governance questions any always-on personal health utility must address. The result is a blueprint that treats personalization not as a final messaging layer, but as an architectural property of everyday health guidance.

Evaluating Causal Discovery Algorithms for Path-Specific Fairness and Utility in Healthcare

Causal discovery in health data faces evaluation challenges when ground truth is unknown. We address this by collaborating with experts to construct proxy ground-truth graphs, establishing benchmarks for synthetic Alzheimer's disease and heart failure clinical records data. We evaluate the Peter-Clark, Greedy Equivalence Search, and Fast Causal Inference algorithms on structural recovery and path-specific fairness decomposition, going beyond composite fairness scores. On synthetic data, Peter-Clark achieved the best structural recovery. On heart failure data, Fast Causal Inference achieved the highest utility. For path-specific effects, ejection fraction contributed 3.37 percentage points to the indirect effect in the ground truth. These differences drove variations in the fairness-utility ratio across algorithms. Our results highlight the need for graph-aware fairness evaluation and fine-grained path-specific analysis when deploying causal discovery in clinical applications.

FairCauseSyn: Towards Causally Fair LLM-Augmented Synthetic Data Generation

Synthetic data generation creates data based on real-world data using generative models. In health applications, generating high-quality data while maintaining fairness for sensitive attributes is essential for equitable outcomes. Existing GAN-based and LLM-based methods focus on counterfactual fairness and are primarily applied in finance and legal domains. Causal fairness provides a more comprehensive evaluation framework by preserving causal structure, but current synthetic data generation methods do not address it in health settings. To fill this gap, we develop the first LLM-augmented synthetic data generation method to enhance causal fairness using real-world tabular health data. Our generated data deviates by less than 10% from real data on causal fairness metrics. When trained on causally fair predictors, synthetic data reduces bias on the sensitive attribute by 70% compared to real data. This work improves access to fair synthetic data, supporting equitable health research and healthcare delivery.

Knowledge-Infused LLM-Powered Conversational Health Agent: A Case Study for Diabetes Patients

Effective diabetes management is crucial for maintaining health in diabetic patients. Large Language Models (LLMs) have opened new avenues for diabetes management, facilitating their efficacy. However, current LLM-based approaches are limited by their dependence on general sources and lack of integration with domain-specific knowledge, leading to inaccurate responses. In this paper, we propose a knowledge-infused LLM-powered conversational health agent (CHA) for diabetic patients. We customize and leverage the open-source openCHA framework, enhancing our CHA with external knowledge and analytical capabilities. This integration involves two key components: 1) incorporating the American Diabetes Association dietary guidelines and the Nutritionix information and 2) deploying analytical tools that enable nutritional intake calculation and comparison with the guidelines. We compare the proposed CHA with GPT4. Our evaluation includes 100 diabetes-related questions on daily meal choices and assessing the potential risks associated with the suggested diet. Our findings show that the proposed agent demonstrates superior performance in generating responses to manage essential nutrients.