Code Is More Than Text: Uncertainty Estimation for Code Generation

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed as code generators, where silently wrong programs pose real safety and reliability risks. Reliable uncertainty estimation (UE) is essential for selective prediction, human-in-the-loop review, and downstream agentic decisions. Yet most existing code UE methods are inherited from natural language (NL) generation and ignore properties that make code distinct. We argue that code differs from NL in three ways: a single wrong token can break an entire program (token fragility); algorithmic intent and concrete implementation can disagree independently (intent-code gap); and programs can be executed (executability). We instantiate these properties as three orthogonal uncertainty axes: lexical (Top-K token entropy), algorithmic (pseudo-code consistency), and functional (behavioral consistency). Across five code LLMs, our three-axis ensemble improves average AUROC from 0.696 for the strongest NL-derived baseline to 0.776 (+8.1 points). Notably, on Qwen3-14B, our single-pass Top-K token entropy matches the strongest multi-pass baseline while being over 3x cheaper; across models, it remains a competitive low-cost signal. These results suggest that code UE deserves code-specific design rather than direct NL ports.

Flexi-LoRA with Input-Adaptive Ranks: Efficient Finetuning for Speech and Reasoning Tasks

Parameter-efficient fine-tuning methods like Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) have become essential for deploying large language models, yet their static parameter allocation remains suboptimal for inputs of varying complexity. We present Flexi-LoRA, a novel framework that dynamically adjusts LoRA ranks based on input complexity during both training and inference. Through empirical analysis across question answering, mathematical reasoning, and speech tasks, we demonstrate that maintaining consistency between training and inference dynamics is important for effective adaptation, particularly for sequential reasoning tasks. Our findings reveal that input-dependent parameter allocation achieves higher performance with fewer parameters by optimally matching rank configurations to question complexity. Furthermore, task-specific dependency on rank dynamics varies, with mathematical reasoning tasks exhibiting higher dependency than QA tasks. Successful adaptation manifests not only in correctness but also in reasoning quality and instruction adherence. Flexi-LoRA consistently outperforms static LoRA while using fewer parameters, with performance gains more pronounced on tasks requiring strict reasoning chains. Our approach realizes key benefits of mixture-of-experts frameworks through a more streamlined implementation, reducing parameter redundancy while improving model capabilities. We provide comprehensive empirical studies across diverse tasks, establishing a basis for future work in input-adaptive and efficient fine-tuning approaches.

Breaking Training Bottlenecks: Effective and Stable Reinforcement Learning for Coding Models

Modern code generation models exhibit longer outputs, accelerated capability growth, and changed training dynamics, rendering traditional training methodologies, algorithms, and datasets ineffective for improving their performance. To address these training bottlenecks, we propose MicroCoder-GRPO, an improved Group Relative Policy Optimization approach with three innovations: conditional truncation masking to improve long output potential while maintaining training stability, diversity-determined temperature selection to maintain and encourage output diversity, and removal of KL loss with high clipping ratios to facilitate solution diversity. MicroCoder-GRPO achieves up to 17.6% relative improvement over strong baselines on LiveCodeBench v6, with more pronounced gains under extended context evaluation. Additionally, we release MicroCoder-Dataset, a more challenging training corpus that achieves 3x larger performance gains than mainstream datasets on LiveCodeBench v6 within 300 training steps, and MicroCoder-Evaluator, a robust framework with approximately 25% improved evaluation accuracy and around 40% faster execution. Through comprehensive analysis across more than thirty controlled experiments, we reveal 34 training insights across seven main aspects, demonstrating that properly trained models can achieve competitive performance with larger counterparts.

Scaling Data Difficulty: Improving Coding Models via Reinforcement Learning on Fresh and Challenging Problems

Training next-generation code generation models requires high-quality datasets, yet existing datasets face difficulty imbalance, format inconsistency, and data quality problems. We address these challenges through systematic data processing and difficulty scaling. We introduce a four-stage Data Processing Framework encompassing collection, processing, filtering, and verification, incorporating Automatic Difficulty Filtering via an LLM-based predict-calibrate-select framework that leverages multi-dimensional difficulty metrics across five weighted dimensions to retain challenging problems while removing simplistic ones. The resulting MicroCoder dataset comprises tens of thousands of curated real competitive programming problems from diverse platforms, emphasizing recency and difficulty. Evaluations on strictly unseen LiveCodeBench demonstrate that MicroCoder achieves 3x larger performance gains within 300 training steps compared to widely-used baseline datasets of comparable size, with consistent advantages under both GRPO and its variant training algorithms. The MicroCoder dataset delivers obvious improvements on medium and hard problems across different model sizes, achieving up to 17.2% relative gains in overall performance where model capabilities are most stretched. These results validate that difficulty-aware data curation improves model performance on challenging tasks, providing multiple insights for dataset creation in code generation.

Confident Rankings with Fewer Items: Adaptive LLM Evaluation with Continuous Scores

Computerized Adaptive Testing (CAT) has proven effective for efficient LLM evaluation on multiple-choice benchmarks, but modern LLM evaluation increasingly relies on generation tasks where outputs are scored continuously rather than marked correct/incorrect. We present a principled extension of IRT-based adaptive testing to continuous bounded scores (ROUGE, BLEU, LLM-as-a-Judge) by replacing the Bernoulli response distribution with a heteroskedastic normal distribution. Building on this, we introduce an uncertainty aware ranker with adaptive stopping criteria that achieves reliable model ranking while testing as few items and as cheaply as possible. We validate our method on five benchmarks spanning n-gram-based, embedding-based, and LLM-as-judge metrics. Our method uses 2% of the items while improving ranking correlation by 0.12 τ over random sampling, with 95% accuracy on confident predictions.

Failure Modes in Multi-Hop QA: The Weakest Link Law and the Recognition Bottleneck

Despite scaling to massive context windows, Large Language Models (LLMs) struggle with multi-hop reasoning due to inherent position bias, which causes them to overlook information at certain positions. Whether these failures stem from an inability to locate evidence (recognition failure) or integrate it (synthesis failure) is unclear. We introduce Multi-Focus Attention Instruction (MFAI), a semantic probe to disentangle these mechanisms by explicitly steering attention towards selected positions. Across 5 LLMs on two multi-hop QA tasks (MuSiQue and NeoQA), we establish the "Weakest Link Law": multi-hop reasoning performance collapses to the performance level of the least visible evidence. Crucially, this failure is governed by absolute position rather than the linear distance between facts (performance variance $<3%$). We further identify a duality in attention steering: while matched MFAI resolves recognition bottlenecks, improving accuracy by up to 11.5% in low-visibility positions, misleading MFAI triggers confusion in real-world tasks but is successfully filtered in synthetic tasks. Finally, we demonstrate that "thinking" models that utilize System-2 reasoning, effectively locate and integrate the required information, matching gold-only baselines even in noisy, long-context settings.

Steer Model beyond Assistant: Controlling System Prompt Strength via Contrastive Decoding

Large language models excel at complex instructions yet struggle to deviate from their helpful assistant persona, as post-training instills strong priors that resist conflicting instructions. We introduce system prompt strength, a training-free method that treats prompt adherence as a continuous control. By contrasting logits from target and default system prompts, we isolate and amplify the behavioral signal unique to the target persona by a scalar factor alpha. Across five diverse benchmarks spanning constraint satisfaction, behavioral control, pluralistic alignment, capability modulation, and stylistic control, our method yields substantial improvements: up to +8.5 strict accuracy on IFEval, +45pp refusal rate on OffTopicEval, and +13% steerability on Prompt-Steering. Our approach enables practitioners to modulate system prompt strength, providing dynamic control over model behavior without retraining.

Value of Information: A Framework for Human-Agent Communication

Large Language Model (LLM) agents deployed for real-world tasks face a fundamental dilemma: user requests are underspecified, yet agents must decide whether to act on incomplete information or interrupt users for clarification. Existing approaches either rely on brittle confidence thresholds that require task-specific tuning, or fail to account for the varying stakes of different decisions. We introduce a decision-theoretic framework that resolves this trade-off through the Value of Information (VoI), enabling agents to dynamically weigh the expected utility gain from asking questions against the cognitive cost imposed on users. Our inference-time method requires no hyperparameter tuning and adapts seamlessly across contexts-from casual games to medical diagnosis. Experiments across four diverse domains (20 Questions, medical diagnosis, flight booking, and e-commerce) show that VoI consistently matches or exceeds the best manually-tuned baselines, achieving up to 1.36 utility points higher in high-cost settings. This work provides a parameter-free framework for adaptive agent communication that explicitly balances task risk, query ambiguity, and user effort.

Confidence Estimation for LLMs in Multi-turn Interactions

While confidence estimation is a promising direction for mitigating hallucinations in Large Language Models (LLMs), current research dominantly focuses on single-turn settings. The dynamics of model confidence in multi-turn conversations, where context accumulates and ambiguity is progressively resolved, remain largely unexplored. Reliable confidence estimation in multi-turn settings is critical for many downstream applications, such as autonomous agents and human-in-the-loop systems. This work presents the first systematic study of confidence estimation in multi-turn interactions, establishing a formal evaluation framework grounded in two key desiderata: per-turn calibration and monotonicity of confidence as more information becomes available. To facilitate this, we introduce novel metrics, including a length-normalized Expected Calibration Error (InfoECE), and a new "Hinter-Guesser" paradigm for generating controlled evaluation datasets. Our experiments reveal that widely-used confidence techniques struggle with calibration and monotonicity in multi-turn dialogues. We propose P(Sufficient), a logit-based probe that achieves comparatively better performance, although the task remains far from solved. Our work provides a foundational methodology for developing more reliable and trustworthy conversational agents.

All Roads Lead to Rome: Graph-Based Confidence Estimation for Large Language Model Reasoning

Confidence estimation is essential for the reliable deployment of large language models (LLMs). Existing methods are primarily designed for factual QA tasks and often fail to generalize to reasoning tasks. To address this gap, we propose a set of training-free, graph-based confidence estimation methods tailored to reasoning tasks. Our approach models reasoning paths as directed graphs and estimates confidence by exploiting graph properties such as centrality, path convergence, and path weighting. Experiments with two LLMs on three reasoning datasets demonstrate improved confidence estimation and enhanced performance on two downstream tasks.