Abstract:Driven by the increasingly complex and decision-oriented demands of time series analysis, we introduce the Semantic-Conditional Time Series Reasoning task, which extends conventional time series analysis beyond purely numerical modeling to incorporate contextual and semantic understanding. To further enhance the mode's reasoning capabilities on complex time series problems, we propose a two-round reinforcement learning framework: the first round strengthens the mode's perception of fundamental temporal primitives, while the second focuses on semantic-conditioned reasoning. The resulting model, KairosVL, achieves competitive performance across both synthetic and real-world tasks. Extensive experiments and ablation studies demonstrate that our framework not only boosts performance but also preserves intrinsic reasoning ability and significantly improves generalization to unseen scenarios. To summarize, our work highlights the potential of combining semantic reasoning with temporal modeling and provides a practical framework for real-world time series intelligence, which is in urgent demand.
Abstract:Cable broadband networks are one of the few "last-mile" broadband technologies widely available in the U.S. Unfortunately, they have poor reliability after decades of deployment. The cable industry proposed a framework called Proactive Network Maintenance (PNM) to diagnose the cable networks. However, there is little public knowledge or systematic study on how to use these data to detect and localize cable network problems. Existing tools in the public domain have prohibitive high false-positive rates. In this paper, we propose CableMon, the first public-domain system that applies machine learning techniques to PNM data to improve the reliability of cable broadband networks. CableMon tackles two key challenges faced by cable ISPs: accurately detecting failures, and distinguishing whether a failure occurs within a network or at a subscriber's premise. CableMon uses statistical models to generate features from time series data and uses customer trouble tickets as hints to infer abnormal/failure thresholds for these generated features. Further, CableMon employs an unsupervised learning model to group cable devices sharing similar anomalous patterns and effectively identify impairments that occur inside a cable network and impairments occur at a subscriber's premise, as these two different faults require different types of technical personnel to repair them. We use eight months of PNM data and customer trouble tickets from an ISP and experimental deployment to evaluate CableMon's performance. Our evaluation results show that CableMon can effectively detect and distinguish failures from PNM data and outperforms existing public-domain tools.
Abstract:Two types of radio frequency (RF) impairments frequently occur in a cable broadband network: impairments that occur inside a cable network and impairments occur at the edge of the broadband network, i.e., in a subscriber's premise. Differentiating these two types of faults is important, as different faults require different types of technical personnel to repair them. Presently, the cable industry lacks publicly available tools to automatically diagnose the type of fault. In this work, we present TelApart, a fault diagnosis system for cable broadband networks. TelApart uses telemetry data collected by the Proactive Network Maintenance (PNM) infrastructure in cable networks to effectively differentiate the type of fault. Integral to TelApart's design is an unsupervised machine learning model that groups cable devices sharing similar anomalous patterns together. We use metrics derived from an ISP's customer trouble tickets to programmatically tune the model's hyper-parameters so that an ISP can deploy TelApart in various conditions without hand-tuning its hyper-parameters. We also address the data challenge that the telemetry data collected by the PNM system contain numerous missing, duplicated, and unaligned data points. Using real-world data contributed by a cable ISP, we show that TelApart can effectively identify different types of faults.