ConfLUNet: Multiple sclerosis lesion instance segmentation in presence of confluent lesions

Accurate lesion-level segmentation on MRI is critical for multiple sclerosis (MS) diagnosis, prognosis, and disease monitoring. However, current evaluation practices largely rely on semantic segmentation post-processed with connected components (CC), which cannot separate confluent lesions (aggregates of confluent lesion units, CLUs) due to reliance on spatial connectivity. To address this misalignment with clinical needs, we introduce formal definitions of CLUs and associated CLU-aware detection metrics, and include them in an exhaustive instance segmentation evaluation framework. Within this framework, we systematically evaluate CC and post-processing-based Automated Confluent Splitting (ACLS), the only existing methods for lesion instance segmentation in MS. Our analysis reveals that CC consistently underestimates CLU counts, while ACLS tends to oversplit lesions, leading to overestimated lesion counts and reduced precision. To overcome these limitations, we propose ConfLUNet, the first end-to-end instance segmentation framework for MS lesions. ConfLUNet jointly optimizes lesion detection and delineation from a single FLAIR image. Trained on 50 patients, ConfLUNet significantly outperforms CC and ACLS on the held-out test set (n=13) in instance segmentation (Panoptic Quality: 42.0% vs. 37.5%/36.8%; p = 0.017/0.005) and lesion detection (F1: 67.3% vs. 61.6%/59.9%; p = 0.028/0.013). For CLU detection, ConfLUNet achieves the highest F1[CLU] (81.5%), improving recall over CC (+12.5%, p = 0.015) and precision over ACLS (+31.2%, p = 0.003). By combining rigorous definitions, new CLU-aware metrics, a reproducible evaluation framework, and the first dedicated end-to-end model, this work lays the foundation for lesion instance segmentation in MS.

Explainability of AI Uncertainty: Application to Multiple Sclerosis Lesion Segmentation on MRI

Trustworthy artificial intelligence (AI) is essential in healthcare, particularly for high-stakes tasks like medical image segmentation. Explainable AI and uncertainty quantification significantly enhance AI reliability by addressing key attributes such as robustness, usability, and explainability. Despite extensive technical advances in uncertainty quantification for medical imaging, understanding the clinical informativeness and interpretability of uncertainty remains limited. This study introduces a novel framework to explain the potential sources of predictive uncertainty, specifically in cortical lesion segmentation in multiple sclerosis using deep ensembles. The proposed analysis shifts the focus from the uncertainty-error relationship towards relevant medical and engineering factors. Our findings reveal that instance-wise uncertainty is strongly related to lesion size, shape, and cortical involvement. Expert rater feedback confirms that similar factors impede annotator confidence. Evaluations conducted on two datasets (206 patients, almost 2000 lesions) under both in-domain and distribution-shift conditions highlight the utility of the framework in different scenarios.