An alarm prediction framework for financial IT system using hybrid machine learning methods

Informatization grows rapidly in all walks of life, going with the enhancement of dependence on IT systems. It is of vital importance to ensure the safe and stable running of the system especially in the field of finance. This paper puts forward a machine learning-based framework for predicting the occurrence of the alarm cases of a financial IT system. We extracted the features from the system logs then build three sub modules which are time-series prediction module, alarm classification module and level division module that composing the whole work flow. We take multiple methods to deal with the problems facing the obstacles in each module. We built the time-series prediction model in terms of time and accuracy performance. To gain higher performance, we introduced ensemble learning methods in designing alarm classifier and alleviated the class-imbalance problem in alarm level division process. The evaluation results from all sides show that our framework could be exploited for real time applications with the veracity and reliability ensured.