OrcaRouter: A Production-Oriented LLM Router with Hybrid Offline-Online Learning

The rapid development of large language models, each with distinct capabilities and inference costs, raises a practical deployment question: given an incoming request, which model should handle it? We present OrcaRouter, a production-oriented LLM router that combines a LinUCB-based contextual bandit over lexical and sentence-embedding features with a hybrid offline-online learning protocol. Offline, OrcaRouter obtains full-information feedback by evaluating each candidate model on a curated set of routing prompts, yielding a reward matrix used to fit one ridge regressor per arm. At deployment time, it initializes from these parameters and can optionally continue learning from bandit feedback, updating only the selected model's arm after observing its reward. At the time of our RouterArena submission (May 20, 2026), OrcaRouter-Adaptive ranked second on the public RouterArena leaderboard with an arena score of 72.08, achieving 75.54% accuracy at a cost of USD 1.00 per 1,000 queries.

Adversarial Counterfactual Environment Model Learning

A good model for action-effect prediction, named environment model, is important to achieve sample-efficient decision-making policy learning in many domains like robot control, recommender systems, and patients' treatment selection. We can take unlimited trials with such a model to identify the appropriate actions so that the costs of queries in the real world can be saved. It requires the model to handle unseen data correctly, also called counterfactual data. However, standard data fitting techniques do not automatically achieve such generalization ability and commonly result in unreliable models. In this work, we introduce counterfactual-query risk minimization (CQRM) in model learning for generalizing to a counterfactual dataset queried by a specific target policy. Since the target policies can be various and unknown in policy learning, we propose an adversarial CQRM objective in which the model learns on counterfactual data queried by adversarial policies, and finally derive a tractable solution GALILEO. We also discover that adversarial CQRM is closely related to the adversarial model learning, explaining the effectiveness of the latter. We apply GALILEO in synthetic tasks and a real-world application. The results show that GALILEO makes accurate predictions on counterfactual data and thus significantly improves policies in real-world testing.