Generative models for decision-making under distributional shift

Many data-driven decision problems are formulated using a nominal distribution estimated from historical data, while performance is ultimately determined by a deployment distribution that may be shifted, context-dependent, partially observed, or stress-induced. This tutorial presents modern generative models, particularly flow- and score-based methods, as mathematical tools for constructing decision-relevant distributions. From an operations research perspective, their primary value lies not in unconstrained sample synthesis but in representing and transforming distributions through transport maps, velocity fields, score fields, and guided stochastic dynamics. We present a unified framework based on pushforward maps, continuity, Fokker-Planck equations, Wasserstein geometry, and optimization in probability space. Within this framework, generative models can be used to learn nominal uncertainty, construct stressed or least-favorable distributions for robustness, and produce conditional or posterior distributions under side information and partial observation. We also highlight representative theoretical guarantees, including forward-reverse convergence for iterative flow models, first-order minimax analysis in transport-map space, and error-transfer bounds for posterior sampling with generative priors. The tutorial provides a principled introduction to using generative models for scenario generation, robust decision-making, uncertainty quantification, and related problems under distributional shift.

Why Do Neural Networks Forget: A Study of Collapse in Continual Learning

Catastrophic forgetting is a major problem in continual learning, and lots of approaches arise to reduce it. However, most of them are evaluated through task accuracy, which ignores the internal model structure. Recent research suggests that structural collapse leads to loss of plasticity, as evidenced by changes in effective rank (eRank). This indicates a link to forgetting, since the networks lose the ability to expand their feature space to learn new tasks, which forces the network to overwrite existing representations. Therefore, in this study, we investigate the correlation between forgetting and collapse through the measurement of both weight and activation eRank. To be more specific, we evaluated four architectures, including MLP, ConvGRU, ResNet-18, and Bi-ConvGRU, in the split MNIST and Split CIFAR-100 benchmarks. Those models are trained through the SGD, Learning-without-Forgetting (LwF), and Experience Replay (ER) strategies separately. The results demonstrate that forgetting and collapse are strongly related, and different continual learning strategies help models preserve both capacity and performance in different efficiency.

Worst-case generation via minimax optimization in Wasserstein space

Worst-case generation plays a critical role in evaluating robustness and stress-testing systems under distribution shifts, in applications ranging from machine learning models to power grids and medical prediction systems. We develop a generative modeling framework for worst-case generation for a pre-specified risk, based on min-max optimization over continuous probability distributions, namely the Wasserstein space. Unlike traditional discrete distributionally robust optimization approaches, which often suffer from scalability issues, limited generalization, and costly worst-case inference, our framework exploits the Brenier theorem to characterize the least favorable (worst-case) distribution as the pushforward of a transport map from a continuous reference measure, enabling a continuous and expressive notion of risk-induced generation beyond classical discrete DRO formulations. Based on the min-max formulation, we propose a Gradient Descent Ascent (GDA)-type scheme that updates the decision model and the transport map in a single loop, establishing global convergence guarantees under mild regularity assumptions and possibly without convexity-concavity. We also propose to parameterize the transport map using a neural network that can be trained simultaneously with the GDA iterations by matching the transported training samples, thereby achieving a simulation-free approach. The efficiency of the proposed method as a risk-induced worst-case generator is validated by numerical experiments on synthetic and image data.

Scalable Gaussian Processes with Low-Rank Deep Kernel Decomposition

Kernels are key to encoding prior beliefs and data structures in Gaussian process (GP) models. The design of expressive and scalable kernels has garnered significant research attention. Deep kernel learning enhances kernel flexibility by feeding inputs through a neural network before applying a standard parametric form. However, this approach remains limited by the choice of base kernels, inherits high inference costs, and often demands sparse approximations. Drawing on Mercer's theorem, we introduce a fully data-driven, scalable deep kernel representation where a neural network directly represents a low-rank kernel through a small set of basis functions. This construction enables highly efficient exact GP inference in linear time and memory without invoking inducing points. It also supports scalable mini-batch training based on a principled variational inference framework. We further propose a simple variance correction procedure to guard against overconfidence in uncertainty estimates. Experiments on synthetic and real-world data demonstrate the advantages of our deep kernel GP in terms of predictive accuracy, uncertainty quantification, and computational efficiency.

Towards Graph-Aware Diffusion Modeling for Collaborative Filtering

Recovering masked feedback with neural models is a popular paradigm in recommender systems. Seeing the success of diffusion models in solving ill-posed inverse problems, we introduce a conditional diffusion framework for collaborative filtering that iteratively reconstructs a user's hidden preferences guided by its historical interactions. To better align with the intrinsic characteristics of implicit feedback data, we implement forward diffusion by applying synthetic smoothing filters to interaction signals on an item-item graph. The resulting reverse diffusion can be interpreted as a personalized process that gradually refines preference scores. Through graph Fourier transform, we equivalently characterize this model as an anisotropic Gaussian diffusion in the graph spectral domain, establishing both forward and reverse formulations. Our model outperforms state-of-the-art methods by a large margin on one dataset and yields competitive results on the others.