Proxy-Guided Measurement Calibration

Aggregate outcome variables collected through surveys and administrative records are often subject to systematic measurement error. For instance, in disaster loss databases, county-level losses reported may differ from the true damages due to variations in on-the-ground data collection capacity, reporting practices, and event characteristics. Such miscalibration complicates downstream analysis and decision-making. We study the problem of outcome miscalibration and propose a framework guided by proxy variables for estimating and correcting the systematic errors. We model the data-generating process using a causal graph that separates latent content variables driving the true outcome from the latent bias variables that induce systematic errors. The key insight is that proxy variables that depend on the true outcome but are independent of the bias mechanism provide identifying information for quantifying the bias. Leveraging this structure, we introduce a two-stage approach that utilizes variational autoencoders to disentangle content and bias latents, enabling us to estimate the effect of bias on the outcome of interest. We analyze the assumptions underlying our approach and evaluate it on synthetic data, semi-synthetic datasets derived from randomized trials, and a real-world case study of disaster loss reporting.

CAMO: Causality-Guided Adversarial Multimodal Domain Generalization for Crisis Classification

Crisis classification in social media aims to extract actionable disaster-related information from multimodal posts, which is a crucial task for enhancing situational awareness and facilitating timely emergency responses. However, the wide variation in crisis types makes achieving generalizable performance across unseen disasters a persistent challenge. Existing approaches primarily leverage deep learning to fuse textual and visual cues for crisis classification, achieving numerically plausible results under in-domain settings. However, they exhibit poor generalization across unseen crisis types because they 1. do not disentangle spurious and causal features, resulting in performance degradation under domain shift, and 2. fail to align heterogeneous modality representations within a shared space, which hinders the direct adaptation of established single-modality domain generalization (DG) techniques to the multimodal setting. To address these issues, we introduce a causality-guided multimodal domain generalization (MMDG) framework that combines adversarial disentanglement with unified representation learning for crisis classification. The adversarial objective encourages the model to disentangle and focus on domain-invariant causal features, leading to more generalizable classifications grounded in stable causal mechanisms. The unified representation aligns features from different modalities within a shared latent space, enabling single-modality DG strategies to be seamlessly extended to multimodal learning. Experiments on the different datasets demonstrate that our approach achieves the best performance in unseen disaster scenarios.

Causal Feature Selection for Responsible Machine Learning

Machine Learning (ML) has become an integral aspect of many real-world applications. As a result, the need for responsible machine learning has emerged, focusing on aligning ML models to ethical and social values, while enhancing their reliability and trustworthiness. Responsible ML involves many issues. This survey addresses four main issues: interpretability, fairness, adversarial robustness, and domain generalization. Feature selection plays a pivotal role in the responsible ML tasks. However, building upon statistical correlations between variables can lead to spurious patterns with biases and compromised performance. This survey focuses on the current study of causal feature selection: what it is and how it can reinforce the four aspects of responsible ML. By identifying features with causal impacts on outcomes and distinguishing causality from correlation, causal feature selection is posited as a unique approach to ensuring ML models to be ethically and socially responsible in high-stakes applications.