Rain Rate Estimation Bounds and Weather-Adaptive Pilot Allocation for LEO Satellite ISAC

Rain attenuates Ku-band satellite signals by up to 20~dB, encoding precipitation information along the Earth-space slant path. This paper derives the Bayesian Cramér-Rao bound (BCRB) for rain rate estimation from LEO broadband OFDM downlinks. Using corrected ITU-R P.838-3 coefficients, the standard CRB yields a minimum detectable rain rate $R_{\min} \approx 4.3\mmh$ for a single link at the $38^\circ$ reference elevation. We derive the prior Fisher information in closed form for log-normal rain ($c_v = 1.05$, from 186{,}292 samples) and show that a single-snapshot BCRB reduces $R_{\min}$ to $1.1\mmh$; exploiting temporal correlation ($ρ= 0.95$) over a 30-min window further tightens it to $0.95\mmh$, while multi-link fusion across $N = 215$ links lowers the operating-point RMSE \emph{lower bound} at $R = 20\mmh$ to approximately $0.07\mmh$. Building on these bounds, we formulate a weather-adaptive pilot allocation that minimizes the BCRB subject to a hard spectral-efficiency constraint, characterize its three-regime structure (full-sensing, throughput-tracking, outage), and pair it with a CUSUM rain onset detector achieving sub-10-min delay for $R \geq 20\mmh$. A closed-form analysis of dynamic LEO slant geometry identifies a sensing-optimal elevation at the P.618-validity floor of $15^\circ$ that yields a $1.58\times$ geometric improvement over the $38^\circ$ baseline, exposing a structural anti-correlation between sensing- and communication-optimal elevations along an orbital pass. Validation against 9.4~million radar samples from 215 Ku-band GEO satellite links ($r = 0.72$, RMSE~$= 1.24\dB$) and 113 rain gauges confirms the underlying attenuation model; the bounds transfer to LEO constellations under matched OFDM signal parameters, with dedicated LEO validation left for future work.

Received Signal and Channel Parameter Estimation in Molecular Communications

Molecular communication (MC) is a paradigm that employs molecules as information transmitters, hence, requiring unconventional transceivers and detection techniques for the Internet of Bio-Nano Things (IoBNT). In this study, we provide a novel MC model that incorporates a spherical transmitter and receiver with partial absorption. This model offers a more realistic representation than receiver architectures in literature, e.g. passive or entirely absorbing configurations. An optimization-based technique utilizing particle swarm optimization (PSO) is employed to accurately estimate the cumulative number of molecules received. This technique yields nearly constant correction parameters and demonstrates a significant improvement of 5 times in terms of root mean square error (RMSE). The estimated channel model provides an approximate analytical impulse response; hence, it is used for estimating channel parameters such as distance, diffusion coefficient, or a combination of both. We apply iterative maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) for the parameter estimation, which gives consistent errors compared to the estimated Cramer-Rao Lower Bound (CLRB).