Abstract:Current models for predicting social media virality rely heavily on static textual and structural features, effectively ignoring the highly dynamic nature of trend signals. We study whether real-world attention signals can improve the prediction of social-media virality beyond what post text alone reveals. We introduce ViralityNet, an architecture that predicts Reddit post virality by fusing internal platform representations with exogenous temporal signals derived from Wikipedia pageview spikes. We frame virality as a binary classification task that accounts for differences in subreddit scale, labeling posts as viral if they exceed the 90th percentile of per-subreddit engagement and a minimum absolute score threshold. ViralityNet combines four post-level streams: title embeddings, body embeddings, structural metadata, and learned subreddit embeddings with a cross-attention block that queries a daily sliding-window trends matrix encoding the top-512 Wikipedia spike terms from the preceding seven days. Empirical results suggest that incorporating external attention signals yields consistent gains, outperforming text-only baselines by +0.015 AUC-PR and achieving an overall AUC-ROC of 0.836. Overall, we provide evidence that incorporating external attention signals yields measurable improvements over text-only baselines, highlighting the importance of real-world dynamics in shaping online virality.
Abstract:In recent years, much speech separation research has focused primarily on improving model performance. However, for low-latency speech processing systems, high efficiency is equally important. Therefore, we propose a speech separation model with significantly reduced parameters and computational costs: Time-frequency Interleaved Gain Extraction and Reconstruction network (TIGER). TIGER leverages prior knowledge to divide frequency bands and compresses frequency information. We employ a multi-scale selective attention module to extract contextual features, while introducing a full-frequency-frame attention module to capture both temporal and frequency contextual information. Additionally, to more realistically evaluate the performance of speech separation models in complex acoustic environments, we introduce a dataset called EchoSet. This dataset includes noise and more realistic reverberation (e.g., considering object occlusions and material properties), with speech from two speakers overlapping at random proportions. Experimental results showed that models trained on EchoSet had better generalization ability than those trained on other datasets to the data collected in the physical world, which validated the practical value of the EchoSet. On EchoSet and real-world data, TIGER significantly reduces the number of parameters by 94.3% and the MACs by 95.3% while achieving performance surpassing state-of-the-art (SOTA) model TF-GridNet. This is the first speech separation model with fewer than 1 million parameters that achieves performance comparable to the SOTA model.
Abstract:The effectiveness of central bank communication is a crucial aspect of monetary policy transmission. While recent research has examined the influence of policy communication by the chairs of the Federal Reserve on various financial variables, much of the literature relies on rule-based or dictionary-based methods in parsing the language of the chairs, leaving nuanced information about policy stance contained in nonverbal emotion out of the analysis. In the current study, we propose the Fine-Grained Monetary Policy Analysis Framework (FMPAF), a novel approach that integrates large language models (LLMs) with regression analysis to provide a comprehensive analysis of the impact of the press-conference communications of chairs of the Federal Reserve on financial markets. We conduct extensive comparisons of model performance under different levels of granularity, modalities, and communication scenarios. Based on our preferred specification, a one-unit increase in the sentiment score is associated with an increase of the price of S\&P 500 Exchange-Traded Fund by approximately 500 basis points, a 15-basis-point decrease in the policy interest rate, while not leading to a significant response in exchange rates.