Extracting clinical concepts from user queries

Clinical concept extraction often begins with clinical Named Entity Recognition (NER). Often trained on annotated clinical notes, clinical NER models tend to struggle with tagging clinical entities in user queries because of the structural differences between clinical notes and user queries. User queries, unlike clinical notes, are often ungrammatical and incoherent. In many cases, user queries are compounded of multiple clinical entities, without comma or conjunction words separating them. By using as dataset a mixture of annotated clinical notes and synthesized user queries, we adapt a clinical NER model based on the BiLSTM-CRF architecture for tagging clinical entities in user queries. Our contribution are the following: 1) We found that when trained on a mixture of synthesized user queries and clinical notes, the NER model performs better on both user queries and clinical notes. 2) We provide an end-to-end and easy-to-implement framework for clinical concept extraction from user queries.

Reliability and Sharpness in Border Crossing Traffic Interval Prediction

Short-term traffic volume prediction models have been extensively studied in the past few decades. However, most of the previous studies only focus on single-value prediction. Considering the uncertain and chaotic nature of the transportation system, an accurate and reliable prediction interval with upper and lower bounds may be better than a single point value for transportation management. In this paper, we introduce a neural network model called Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) for interval prediction of short-term traffic volume and improve it with the heuristic particle swarm optimization algorithm (PSO). The hybrid PSO-ELM model can generate the prediction intervals under different confidence levels and guarantee the quality by minimizing a multi-objective function which considers two criteria reliability and interval sharpness. The PSO-ELM models are built based on an hourly traffic dataset and compared with ARMA and Kalman Filter models. The results show that ARMA models are the worst for all confidence levels, and the PSO-ELM models are comparable with Kalman Filter from the aspects of reliability and narrowness of the intervals, although the parameters of PSO-ELM are fixed once the training is done while Kalman Filter is updated in an online approach. Additionally, only the PSO-ELMs are able to produce intervals with coverage probabilities higher than or equal to the confidence levels. For the points outside of the prediction levels given by PSO-ELMs, they lie very close to the bounds.

Probabilistic Dependency Networks for Prediction and Diagnostics

Research in transportation frequently involve modelling and predicting attributes of events that occur at regular intervals. The event could be arrival of a bus at a bus stop, the volume of a traffic at a particular point, the demand at a particular bus stop etc. In this work, we propose a specific implementation of probabilistic graphical models to learn the probabilistic dependency between the events that occur in a network. A dependency graph is built from the past observed instances of the event and we use the graph to understand the causal effects of some events on others in the system. The dependency graph is also used to predict the attributes of future events and is shown to have a good prediction accuracy compared to the state of the art.