Deep End-to-end Causal Inference

Causal inference is essential for data-driven decision making across domains such as business engagement, medical treatment or policy making. However, research on causal discovery and inference has evolved separately, and the combination of the two domains is not trivial. In this work, we develop Deep End-to-end Causal Inference (DECI), a single flow-based method that takes in observational data and can perform both causal discovery and inference, including conditional average treatment effect (CATE) estimation. We provide a theoretical guarantee that DECI can recover the ground truth causal graph under mild assumptions. In addition, our method can handle heterogeneous, real-world, mixed-type data with missing values, allowing for both continuous and discrete treatment decisions. Moreover, the design principle of our method can generalize beyond DECI, providing a general End-to-end Causal Inference (ECI) recipe, which enables different ECI frameworks to be built using existing methods. Our results show the superior performance of DECI when compared to relevant baselines for both causal discovery and (C)ATE estimation in over a thousand experiments on both synthetic datasets and other causal machine learning benchmark datasets.

Disentangling in Variational Autoencoders with Natural Clustering

Learning representations that disentangle the underlying factors of variability in data is an intuitive precursor to AI with human-like reasoning. Consequently, it has been the object of many efforts of the machine learning community. This work takes a step further in this direction by addressing the scenario where generative factors present a multimodal distribution due to the existence of class distinction in the data. We formulate a lower bound on the joint distribution of inputs and class labels and present N-VAE, a model which is capable of separating factors of variation which are exclusive to certain classes from factors that are shared among classes. This model implements the natural clustering prior through the use of a class-conditioned latent space and a shared latent space. We show its usefulness for detecting and disentangling class-dependent generative factors as well as for generating rich artificial samples.