Inv-Entropy: A Fully Probabilistic Framework for Uncertainty Quantification in Language Models

Large language models (LLMs) have transformed natural language processing, but their reliable deployment requires effective uncertainty quantification (UQ). Existing UQ methods are often heuristic and lack a probabilistic foundation. This paper begins by providing a theoretical justification for the role of perturbations in UQ for LLMs. We then introduce a dual random walk perspective, modeling input-output pairs as two Markov chains with transition probabilities defined by semantic similarity. Building on this, we propose a fully probabilistic framework based on an inverse model, which quantifies uncertainty by evaluating the diversity of the input space conditioned on a given output through systematic perturbations. Within this framework, we define a new uncertainty measure, Inv-Entropy. A key strength of our framework is its flexibility: it supports various definitions of uncertainty measures, embeddings, perturbation strategies, and similarity metrics. We also propose GAAP, a perturbation algorithm based on genetic algorithms, which enhances the diversity of sampled inputs. In addition, we introduce a new evaluation metric, Temperature Sensitivity of Uncertainty (TSU), which directly assesses uncertainty without relying on correctness as a proxy. Extensive experiments demonstrate that Inv-Entropy outperforms existing semantic UQ methods. The code to reproduce the results can be found at https://github.com/UMDataScienceLab/Uncertainty-Quantification-for-LLMs.

Hierarchical Motion Planning Framework for Cooperative Transportation of Multiple Mobile Manipulators

Multiple mobile manipulators show superiority in the tasks requiring mobility and dexterity compared with a single robot, especially when manipulating/transporting bulky objects. When the object and the manipulators are rigidly connected, closed-chain will form and the motion of the whole system will be restricted onto a lower-dimensional manifold. However, current research on multi-robot motion planning did not fully consider the formation of the whole system, the redundancy of the mobile manipulator and obstacles in the environment, which make the tasks challenging. Therefore, this paper proposes a hierarchical framework to efficiently solve the above challenges, where the centralized layer plans the object's motion offline and the decentralized layer independently explores the redundancy of each robot in real-time. In addition, closed-chain, obstacle-avoidance and the lower bound of the formation constraints are guaranteed in the centralized layer, which cannot be achieved simultaneously by other planners. Moreover, capability map, which represents the distribution of the formation constraint, is applied to speed up the two layers. Both simulation and experimental results show that the proposed framework outperforms the benchmark planners significantly. The system could bypass or cross obstacles in cluttered environments, and the framework can be applied to different numbers of heterogeneous mobile manipulators.