Abstract:Large language model pre-training typically exhibits a two-phase trajectory: a fast initial loss drop followed by a prolonged slow improvement. We identify an underlying spectral phenomenon, Stability of Singular Distribution (SoSD), where the trace-normalized singular value spectrum stabilizes early, even as parameter matrices continue to evolve. We demonstrate that synchronization between SoSD and the slow-descent regime is widely observed across diverse architectures (GPT-2, LLaMA) and settings, including various schedules (Step-wise, WSD, Cosine Decay), weight decays, and optimizers (AdamW, Muon). By analyzing a simplified Transformer, we prove that growing weight norms inevitably precipitate an early SoSD threshold, after which the rate of loss decrease becomes theoretically bounded by the variation in the singular distribution. We further interpret strategies like WSD and Muon through their ability to modulate the SoSD scale, offering a spectral lens for understanding efficient pre-training dynamics.
Abstract:Model merging has emerged as a lightweight paradigm for enhancing Large Language Models (LLMs), yet its underlying mechanisms remain poorly understood. In this work, we analyze late-stage pre-training trajectories and uncover a \textbf{Rank-1 Subspace} phenomenon: while raw optimization steps oscillate violently, consecutive \emph{merged} checkpoints collapse onto a stable, approximately one-dimensional linear manifold. We theoretically ground this observation in a \emph{river-valley} landscape analysis: averaging acts as a geometric low-pass filter that dampens high-curvature noise to reveal the optimal descent direction. Capitalizing on this insight, we propose \textbf{Extra-Merge}, a training-free strategy that extrapolates along this subspace to minimize loss without additional gradient updates. Extensive experiments across GPT-2 and LLaMA families (124M to 2B) demonstrate that Extra-Merge consistently outperforms standard merging baselines. Notably, it yields consistent zero-shot accuracy gains on Pythia-12B downstream tasks and generalizes effectively to the Muon optimizer \citep{jordan2024muon}.