StruMPL: Multi-task Dense Regression under Disjoint Partial Supervision and MNAR Labels

Estimating forest aboveground biomass (AGB) from Earth observation combines two structurally incompatible label sources: spaceborne lidar provides canopy structure at millions of locations but no biomass estimate, and ground-based plots provide biomass at thousands of biased locations but no metrics of structure. No single training sample carries labels for all target variables, plot labels are missing not at random (MNAR), and biomass is linked to the structural variables by known but biome-specific allometric laws. We formalise this as multi-task dense regression under heterogeneous disjoint partial supervision with MNAR labels and inter-task physical constraints, and propose StruMPL to address it jointly. A shared encoder feeds per-variable regression, imputation, and propensity heads for spatial MNAR correction, and a learnable physics module that evaluates the inter-task constraint on the model's own predictions at every pixel. The supervised loss uses an Augmented IPW (AIPW) pseudo-outcome with stop-gradients on the propensity and on the imputation baseline; we show analytically and empirically that both are necessary for joint optimisation to recover IPW-weighted stationary points while keeping the loss bounded. On two ecologically distinct biomes, StruMPL outperforms ablation variants and the closest published method on AGB RMSE and bias, with a stratified analysis showing AIPW reduces high-AGB bias by ~54%.

UFLUX v2.0: A Process-Informed Machine Learning Framework for Efficient and Explainable Modelling of Terrestrial Carbon Uptake

Gross Primary Productivity (GPP), the amount of carbon plants fixed by photosynthesis, is pivotal for understanding the global carbon cycle and ecosystem functioning. Process-based models built on the knowledge of ecological processes are susceptible to biases stemming from their assumptions and approximations. These limitations potentially result in considerable uncertainties in global GPP estimation, which may pose significant challenges to our Net Zero goals. This study presents UFLUX v2.0, a process-informed model that integrates state-of-art ecological knowledge and advanced machine learning techniques to reduce uncertainties in GPP estimation by learning the biases between process-based models and eddy covariance (EC) measurements. In our findings, UFLUX v2.0 demonstrated a substantial improvement in model accuracy, achieving an R^2 of 0.79 with a reduced RMSE of 1.60 g C m^-2 d^-1, compared to the process-based model's R^2 of 0.51 and RMSE of 3.09 g C m^-2 d^-1. Our global GPP distribution analysis indicates that while UFLUX v2.0 and the process-based model achieved similar global total GPP (137.47 Pg C and 132.23 Pg C, respectively), they exhibited large differences in spatial distribution, particularly in latitudinal gradients. These differences are very likely due to systematic biases in the process-based model and differing sensitivities to climate and environmental conditions. This study offers improved adaptability for GPP modelling across diverse ecosystems, and further enhances our understanding of global carbon cycles and its responses to environmental changes.

Multimodal deep learning for mapping forest dominant height by fusing GEDI with earth observation data

The integration of multisource remote sensing data and deep learning models offers new possibilities for accurately mapping high spatial resolution forest height. We found that GEDI relative heights (RH) metrics exhibited strong correlation with the mean of the top 10 highest trees (dominant height) measured in situ at the corresponding footprint locations. Consequently, we proposed a novel deep learning framework termed the multi-modal attention remote sensing network (MARSNet) to estimate forest dominant height by extrapolating dominant height derived from GEDI, using Setinel-1 data, ALOS-2 PALSAR-2 data, Sentinel-2 optical data and ancillary data. MARSNet comprises separate encoders for each remote sensing data modality to extract multi-scale features, and a shared decoder to fuse the features and estimate height. Using individual encoders for each remote sensing imagery avoids interference across modalities and extracts distinct representations. To focus on the efficacious information from each dataset, we reduced the prevalent spatial and band redundancies in each remote sensing data by incorporating the extended spatial and band reconstruction convolution modules in the encoders. MARSNet achieved commendable performance in estimating dominant height, with an R2 of 0.62 and RMSE of 2.82 m, outperforming the widely used random forest approach which attained an R2 of 0.55 and RMSE of 3.05 m. Finally, we applied the trained MARSNet model to generate wall-to-wall maps at 10 m resolution for Jilin, China. Through independent validation using field measurements, MARSNet demonstrated an R2 of 0.58 and RMSE of 3.76 m, compared to 0.41 and 4.37 m for the random forest baseline. Our research demonstrates the effectiveness of a multimodal deep learning approach fusing GEDI with SAR and passive optical imagery for enhancing the accuracy of high resolution dominant height estimation.

Forest aboveground biomass estimation using GEDI and earth observation data through attention-based deep learning

Accurate quantification of forest aboveground biomass (AGB) is critical for understanding carbon accounting in the context of climate change. In this study, we presented a novel attention-based deep learning approach for forest AGB estimation, primarily utilizing openly accessible EO data, including: GEDI LiDAR data, C-band Sentinel-1 SAR data, ALOS-2 PALSAR-2 data, and Sentinel-2 multispectral data. The attention UNet (AU) model achieved markedly higher accuracy for biomass estimation compared to the conventional RF algorithm. Specifically, the AU model attained an R2 of 0.66, RMSE of 43.66 Mg ha-1, and bias of 0.14 Mg ha-1, while RF resulted in lower scores of R2 0.62, RMSE 45.87 Mg ha-1, and bias 1.09 Mg ha-1. However, the superiority of the deep learning approach was not uniformly observed across all tested models. ResNet101 only achieved an R2 of 0.50, an RMSE of 52.93 Mg ha-1, and a bias of 0.99 Mg ha-1, while the UNet reported an R2 of 0.65, an RMSE of 44.28 Mg ha-1, and a substantial bias of 1.84 Mg ha-1. Moreover, to explore the performance of AU in the absence of spatial information, fully connected (FC) layers were employed to eliminate spatial information from the remote sensing data. AU-FC achieved intermediate R2 of 0.64, RMSE of 44.92 Mgha-1, and bias of -0.56 Mg ha-1, outperforming RF but underperforming AU model using spatial information. We also generated 10m forest AGB maps across Guangdong for the year 2019 using AU and compared it with that produced by RF. The AGB distributions from both models showed strong agreement with similar mean values; the mean forest AGB estimated by AU was 102.18 Mg ha-1 while that of RF was 104.84 Mg ha-1. Additionally, it was observed that the AGB map generated by AU provided superior spatial information. Overall, this research substantiates the feasibility of employing deep learning for biomass estimation based on satellite data.